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A robust transfer learning approach for high-dimensional linear regression to support integration of multi-source gene expression data.

Transfer learning aims to integrate useful information from multi-source datasets to improve the learning performance of target data. This can be effectively applied in genomics when we learn the gene associations in a target tissue, and data from other tissues can be integrated. However, heavy-tail distribution and outliers are common in genomics data, which poses challenges to the effectiveness of current transfer learning approaches. In this paper, we study the transfer learning problem under high-dimensional linear models with t-distributed error (Trans-PtLR), which aims to improve the estimation and prediction of target data by borrowing information from useful source data and offering robustness to accommodate complex data with heavy tails and outliers. In the oracle case with known transferable source datasets, a transfer learning algorithm based on penalized maximum likelihood and expectation-maximization algorithm is established. To avoid including non-informative sources, we propose to select the transferable sources based on cross-validation. Extensive simulation experiments as well as an application demonstrate that Trans-PtLR demonstrates robustness and better performance of estimation and prediction when heavy-tail and outliers exist compared to transfer learning for linear regression model with normal error distribution. Data integration, Variable selection, T distribution, Expectation maximization algorithm, Genotype-Tissue Expression, Cross validation.

Linear Models

Simultaneous inference for generalized linear models with unmeasured confounders.

Tens of thousands of simultaneous hypothesis tests are routinely performed in genomic studies to identify differentially expressed genes. However, due to unmeasured confounders, many standard statistical approaches may be substantially biased. This paper investigates the large-scale hypothesis testing problem for multivariate generalized linear models in the presence of confounding effects. Under arbitrary confounding mechanisms, we propose a unified statistical estimation and inference framework that harnesses orthogonal structures and integrates linear projections into three key stages. It begins by disentangling marginal and uncorrelated confounding effects to recover the latent coefficients. Subsequently, latent factors and primary effects are jointly estimated through lasso-type optimization. Finally, we incorporate projected and weighted bias-correction steps for hypothesis testing. Theoretically, we establish the identification conditions of various effects and non-asymptotic error bounds. We show effective Type-I error control of asymptotic-tests as sample and response sizes approach infinity. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed method controls the false discovery rate by the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure and is more powerful than alternative methods. By comparing single-cell RNA-seq counts from two groups of samples, we demonstrate the suitability of adjusting confounding effects when significant covariates are absent from the model.

Hidden variables

BaGGLS: a Bayesian shrinkage framework for interpretable modeling of interactions in high-dimensional biological data.

MOTIVATION: Biological data is often high dimensional, noisy, and governed by complex interactions among sparse signals. This poses major challenges for interpretability and reliable feature selection. Tasks such as identifying motif interactions in genomics exemplify these difficulties, as only a small subset of biologically relevant features (e.g. motifs) are typically active, and their effects are often non-linear and context-dependent. While statistical approaches often result in more interpretable models, deep learning models have proven effective in modeling complex interactions and prediction accuracy, yet their black-box nature limits interpretability. RESULTS: We introduce BaGGLS, a flexible and interpretable probabilistic binary regression model designed for high-dimensional biological inference involving feature interactions. BaGGLS incorporates a Bayesian group global-local shrinkage prior, aligned with the group structure introduced by interaction terms. This prior encourages sparsity while retaining interpretability, helping to isolate meaningful signals and suppress noise. To enable scalable inference, we employ a partially factorized variational approximation that captures posterior skewness and supports efficient learning even in large feature spaces. In extensive simulations, we compare BaGGLS to frequentist probit regressions (unconstrained and with L1-penalty) as well as a probit model with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling under a horseshoe prior. We can show that BaGGLS outperforms the other methods with regard to interaction detection and is many times faster than MCMC sampling under the horseshoe prior. We also demonstrate the usefulness of BaGGLS in the context of interaction discovery from motif scanner outputs (e.g. Find Individual Motif Occurrences (FIMO)) and noisy attribution scores from deep learning models. This shows that BaGGLS is a promising approach for uncovering biologically relevant interaction patterns, with potential applicability across a range of high-dimensional tasks in computational biology. AVAILABILITY: Code is available at gitlab.com/dacs-hpi/baggls.

Bayes Theorem

A novel high-dimensional model for identifying regional DNA methylation QTLs.

Varying coefficient models offer the flexibility to learn the dynamic changes of regression coefficients. Despite their good interpretability and diverse applications, in high-dimensional settings, existing estimation methods for such models have important limitations. For example, we routinely encounter the need for variable selection when faced with a large collection of covariates with nonlinear/varying effects on outcomes, and no ideal solutions exist. One illustration of this situation could be identifying a subset of genetic variants with local influence on methylation levels in a regulatory region. To address this problem, we propose a composite sparse penalty that encourages both sparsity and smoothness for the varying coefficients. We present an efficient proximal gradient descent algorithm that scales to high-dimensional predictor spaces, providing sparse solutions for the varying coefficients. A comprehensive simulation study has been conducted to evaluate the performance of our approach in terms of estimation, prediction and selection accuracy. We show that the inclusion of smoothness control yields much better results over sparsity-only approaches. An adaptive version of the penalty offers additional performance gains. We further demonstrate the utility of our method in identifying regional mQTLs from asymptomatic samples in the CARTaGENE cohort. The methodology is implemented in the R package sparseSOMNiBUS, available on GitHub.

Humans

Composition-on-composition regression analysis for multi-omics integration of metagenomic data.

MOTIVATION: Compositional data are frequently encountered in many disciplines, such as in next-generation sequencing experiments widely used in biomedical studies. Regression analysis with compositional data as either responses or predictors has been well studied. However, when both responses and predictors are compositional, the inventory of analysis tools is surprisingly limited, especially in the high-dimensional setting. Among the few existing methods, most of them rely on a log-ratio transformation to move compositional data from the simplex to real numbers. Yet, a serious weakness of these methods is their failure to handle the substantial fraction of zeroes observed in data collected from next-generation sequencing experiments. RESULTS: To investigate associations between two high-dimensional multi-omics compositions, we propose a composition-on-composition (COC) regression analysis method which does not require log-ratio transformations and hence can handle zeroes in the data. To account for high dimensionality, we estimate regression coefficients using a penalized estimation equation approach. Finally, inference procedures for COC regression are also proposed. Superior performance of COC is demonstrated through both comprehensive numerical simulations and case studies. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Source R codes to implement COC method is available at https://github.com/nrios4/COC.

Regression Analysis

Beyond predictive performance: A systematic review and critical methodological appraisal of AI/ML and conventional modelling strategies in breast, colorectal, and pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Predictive modelling for cancer risk, treatment-related complications, and survival is central to precision oncology. Conventional logistic regression (LR) and Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) regression remain widely used but are limited when modelling nonlinear interactions, high-dimensional imaging features, and multimodal clinical-metabolic predictors. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods offer expanded capability through automated feature extraction, ensemble learning, and flexible survival modelling, but the evidence on when AI/ML adds value over conventional models across cancer sites and predictive tasks remains fragmented. OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the methodological performance, validation strategies, and translational limitations of AI/ML models compared with conventional statistical models in published predictive-modelling studies for breast, colorectal, or pancreatic cancer. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for studies published between January 2019 and March 2025. Two reviewers independently conducted title-and-abstract screening, full-text eligibility assessment, and PROBAST risk-of-bias assessment. Sixty-five studies (n = 907,567 participants) were narratively synthesised by cancer site, predictive task, model family, comparator, validation strategy, predictor modality, and calibration or explainability reporting. RESULTS: The 65 studies comprised breast cancer (n = 35), colorectal cancer (n = 21), and pancreatic cancer (n = 9). AI/ML superiority over LR and CoxPH was task- and data-dependent. CNN- and U-Net-based models predominated in imaging and body-composition tasks, tree-based ensembles consistently outperformed LR for tabular perioperative complication prediction, and CoxPH remained competitive, and in the largest pancreatic risk study, superior to XGBoost (C-index 0.802 vs 0.723) in well-structured datasets. PROBAST analysis-domain risk was moderate in 54 of 65 studies (83%), driven by limited external validation, sparse calibration reporting (11/65), and few decision-curve analyses (7/65). CONCLUSION: AI/ML adds the most methodological value in imaging-derived feature extraction and nonlinear perioperative prediction, while conventional regression remains preferable in large, structured datasets with linear predictors. Clinical translation requires standardised body-composition definitions, external validation, calibration assessment, decision-curve analysis, and explainability, in line with TRIPOD+AI and CLAIM standards.

Humans

HighDimMixedModels.jl: Robust high-dimensional mixed-effects models across omics data.

High-dimensional mixed-effects models are an increasingly important form of regression in which the number of covariates rivals or exceeds the number of samples, which are collected in groups or clusters. The penalized likelihood approach to fitting these models relies on a coordinate descent algorithm that lacks guarantees of convergence to a global optimum. Here, we empirically study the behavior of this algorithm on simulated and real examples of three types of data that are common in modern biology: transcriptome, genome-wide association, and microbiome data. Our simulations provide new insights into the algorithm's behavior in these settings, and, comparing the performance of two popular penalties, we demonstrate that the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty consistently outperforms the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalty in terms of both variable selection and estimation accuracy across omics data. To empower researchers in biology and other fields to fit models with the SCAD penalty, we implement the algorithm in a Julia package, HighDimMixedModels.jl.

Algorithms

MWENA: a novel sample re-weighting-based algorithm for disease classification and data interpretation using extracellular vesicles omics data.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Extracellular vesicles (EVs), considered as a form of liquid biopsy, have gained significant attention in recent years due to their stability and the preservation of disease markers. Research studies underscore the clinical significance of molecules found in EVs, highlighting their role as communicative mediators between cells. However, analyzing this data is challenging due to noisy measurements, having far more variables than samples, and some groups (e.g., disease subtypes or experimental conditions) having much less data than others. We therefore develop an algorithm to address aforementioned challenges for the classification of imbalanced EVs omics data. METHODS AND RESULTS: We propose the EV Meta-Weight Elastic Net Algorithm (MWENA), which utilizes logistic regression with elastic net regularization for the classification and identification of EV signatures, effectively addressing the challenges posed by high-dimensional small sample sizes. To mitigate issues related to class imbalance and high noise levels, MWENA incorporates an automatic sample re-weighting function, which uses a meta-net to adaptively learn generalizable patterns directly from the data itself. We validate the MWENA algorithm on both simulated data and EVs omics data, covering six classification tasks that involve four different types of diseases (pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, interstitial lung diseases, colorectal cancer, and ovarian cancer) and three clinical scenarios (disease diagnosis, disease-stage screening, and disease-subtype classification). Compared to other machine learning methods, MWENA demonstrates superiority in identifying small class samples and achieves the highest scores in both sensitivity and G-means. Biological analysis is also performed to further explore the significance of selected signatures as biological markers and their roles in disease mechanisms. CONCLUSIONS: We anticipate that our proposed approach will take a modest step in harnessing EV omics data to discover biomarkers, aiding researchers in gaining a comprehensive understanding of biological processes.

Extracellular Vesicles

Application of semilinear canonical correlation to the measurement of opioid drug effect.

To examine the relationship between the electroencephalograph (EEG) and plasma opioid concentration, one would like to collapse the high-dimensional EEG signal into a univariate quantity. Such a simplification of the EEG is desirable because a univariate quantity can be modeled using standard nonlinear regression techniques, and because most of the information in the EEG is redundant or unrelated to drug concentration. In previous studies of the EEG response to opioids, the manner in which a univariate component was extracted from the EEG was ad hoc. In this paper, this extraction was performed optimally using a new statistical technique, semilinear canonical correlation. Data from 15 patients who received an intravenous infusion of the semisynthetic opioid alfentanil were analyzed. The components of the EEG that were nearly maximally correlated with plasma drug concentration were found, based on a standard pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model. Two new EEG components were produced from the powers in the frequency spectrum of the EEG: a weighted sum of the logarithms of the powers, and a weighted sum of the powers expressed as percentages of the total power. These components both had a median R2 of 0.84, compared to median R2s ranging from 0.37 to 0.83 for five commonly used ad hoc EEG components. The new components also had less variability in R2 between subjects.

Adult

Sparse polygenic risk score inference with the spike-and-slab LASSO.

MOTIVATION: Large-scale biobanks, with rich phenotypic and genomic data across hundreds of thousands of samples, provide ample opportunities to elucidate the genetics of complex traits and diseases. Consequently, there is growing demand for robust and scalable methods for disease risk prediction from genotype data. Inference in this setting is challenging due to the high-dimensionality of genomic data, especially when coupled with smaller sample sizes. Popular Polygenic Risk Score (PRS) inference methods address this challenge by adopting sparse Bayesian priors or penalized regression techniques, such as the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO). However, the former class of methods are not as scalable and do not produce exact sparsity, while the latter tends to over-shrink large coefficients. RESULTS: In this study, we present SSLPRS, a novel PRS method based on the Spike-and-Slab LASSO (SSL) prior, which offers a theoretical bridge between the two frameworks. We extend previous work to derive a coordinate-ascent inference algorithm that operates on GWAS summary statistics, which is orders-of-magnitude more efficient than corresponding individual-level-based implementations. To illustrate the statistical properties of the proposed model, we conducted experiments involving nine simulation configurations and nine quantitative phenotypes from the UK Biobank. Our results demonstrate that SSLPRS is competitive with state-of-the-art methods in terms of prediction accuracy and exhibits superior variable selection performance, especially in sparse genetic architectures. In simulations, this translates to upwards of 50% improvement in positive predictive value. In analysis of real phenotypes, we show that selected variants are highly enriched for meaningful genomic annotations and have better replication rates in larger meta-analyses. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: SSLPRS is available in the open-source package https://github.com/li-lab-mcgill/penprs.

Multifactorial Inheritance

LimROTS: a hybrid method integrating empirical Bayes and reproducibility-optimized statistics for robust differential expression analysis.

MOTIVATION: Differential expression analysis plays a vital role in omics research enabling precise identification of features that associate with different phenotypes. This process is critical for uncovering biological differences between conditions, such as disease versus healthy states. In proteomics, several statistical methods have been used, ranging from simple t-tests to more advanced methods like DEqMS, limma and ROTS. However, a flexible method for reproducibility-optimized statistics tailored for clinical omics data has been lacking. RESULTS: In this study, we developed LimROTS, a hybrid method that integrates a linear regression model and the empirical Bayes approach with reproducibility optimized statistics, to create a novel moderated ranking statistic, for robust and flexible analysis of proteomics data. We validated its performance using twenty-one proteomics gold standard spike-in datasets with different protein mixtures, MS instruments, and techniques for benchmarking. This hybrid approach improves accuracy and reproducibility of complex proteomics data, making LimROTS a powerful tool for high-dimensional omics data analysis. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: LimROTS has been implemented as an R/Bioconductor package, available at https://doi.org/doi:10.18129/B9.bioc.LimROTS. Additionally, the code used in this study is available in GitHub repository https://github.com/AliYoussef96/LimROTSmanuscript.

Bayes Theorem

A weakly supervised deep learning-based recurrence prediction and risk stratification of lung adenocarcinoma from pathology whole-slide images.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of postoperative recurrence in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is essential for guiding clinical decision-making and improving patient outcomes. Although various predictive models have been developed, most rely on complex genomic analyses and high-dimensional clinical data. The complexity of these approaches substantially limits their feasibility for routine clinical use. To address this clinical challenge, this study aims to predict postoperative recurrence using routinely available hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained images and characterize the associated biological features. METHODS: A total of 329 patients who underwent curative resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (FHWMU) were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to training and internal validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. An independent external validation cohort comprising 70 patients from the Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium (CPTAC) was included. Three patch-level feature extractors (Inception_V3, ResNet18, and DenseNet121) were evaluated within a weakly supervised multiple-instance learning (MIL) framework incorporating automated region-of-interest (ROI) detection on segmented whole-slide images (WSIs). Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Transcriptomic profiling and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were conducted to investigate biological differences between risk groups. RESULTS: The model achieved AUCs of 0.923 in the training cohort, 0.891 in the internal validation cohort, and 0.847 in the external validation cohort. The model effectively stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups with significantly different recurrence-free survival (RFS) across all cohorts (all P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and retained prognostic value within AJCC stages I-III. Transcriptomic analyses revealed consistent enrichment of cell cycle-related pathways and neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) formation in high-risk patients across both institutional and CPTAC cohorts, aligning with distinct biological profiles of the model-derived risk stratification. CONCLUSIONS: This weakly supervised deep learning framework enables accurate and externally validated prediction of postoperative recurrence in LUAD using routinely available histopathological images, and integration of histopathological features with molecular analyses enhances biological interpretability. This work provides a clinically accessible and cost-effective tool for postoperative risk assessment in LUAD patients.

Humans

Using high-dimensional environmental covariates to study genotype by environment interaction for reproductive traits in Duroc boars.

We investigated the potential of incorporating grid-cell-based environmental covariates (ECs) in the genetic evaluation of total sperm count (TSC), sperm motility (MOT), and sperm morphology (MOR) for Duroc boars. A total of 188,665 records derived from 3,684 genotyped boars, born between December 2018 and October 2024 and raised in three stud farms located in different U.S. states, were analyzed using multi-trait linear-threshold repeatability models. To account for genotype by environment interactions (GE), we constructed an interaction matrix as the Hadamard product of the genomic relationship matrix and an environmental (co)variance matrix. The environmental groups were defined in three ways: farm, farm-season, and farm-year-season. The (co)variance matrix was constructed based on daily ECs obtained from the NASA POWER database for each environmental group. Of all available ECs, those significantly associated with TSC, MOT, and MOR (temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, and wind speed and direction) were retained. We evaluated five models with different GE structures: M1 represented the baseline without accounting for GE, in M2 the GE included farm as environmental groups, in M3 the GE included farm-season as environmental groups, in M4 the GE included farm-year-season as environmental groups, and M5 involved M3 with an additional random effect of the farm-season. Estimates of heritability for TSC, MOT, and MOR ranged from 0.03 to 0.04, 0.05 to 0.08, and 0.04 to 0.08, respectively. Corresponding repeatability ranged from 0.15 to 0.23, 0.28 to 0.49, and 0.28 to 0.49. The proportion of phenotypic variance attributed to GE variance ranged from 0.00 to 0.32, 0.00 to 0.44, and 0.00 to 0.44. Lastly, estimates of genetic correlation, TSC-MOT, TSC-MOR, and MOT-MOR ranged from 0.27 to 0.31, 0.24 to 0.31, and 0.98 to 0.99, respectively, with minor differences across models. We assessed the predictive ability of models using the linear regression validation. Across traits and models, bias ranged from -0.05 to 0.02 standard deviations, slope varied from 0.88 to 0.99, the correlation ranged from 0.75 to 0.84, and accuracy from 0.41 to 0.53. Overall, building the GE matrix considering grid-cell-based ECs helped to account for GE, thereby reducing the proportion of phenotypic variance attributed to genetic components; however, it did not improve the validation metrics. Additional on-farm records for ECs may improve the model performance.

Animals

Penalized Cumulative Probability Model for a Continuous Outcome Subject to Detection Limits.

Mixed-type outcome data occur when the outcome variable's distribution is a mixture of both continuous and discrete ordinal variables. Such mixed-type outcomes are common in biomedical, psychological, and the health sciences, particularly for variables having either a detection or quantitation limit. When interest lies in identifying a combination of genomic features associated with a mixed-type outcome, any method used would require a variable selection strategy for high-dimensional data. Unfortunately, few variable selection methods exist for modeling a mixed-type outcome when the covariate space is high dimensional. This study develops a high-dimensional penalized cumulative probability model (CPM), to allow for the identification of genomic features associated with mixed-type outcome of interest. We demonstrated how such model may be estimated using the iterative penalization procedure-the generalized monotone incremental forward stagewise (GMIFS) algorithm. The Model-X knockoffs procedure was combined with the estimation algorithm to control the false discovery rates (FDR) when performing variable selection. Through extensive simulation studies, our penalized CPM was shown to outperform alternative methods in terms of controlled variable selection performance by achieving high statistical power with the FDR being controlled at the target level. We demonstrate the utility of our method by applying it to predict estimated glomeruli filtration rate (eGFR) in kidney transplant recipients at 24&#x2009;months post-transplant using baseline gene expression data as predictors. Our CPM model identified five genes associated with this mixed-type outcome which have important links to renal disease, which may provide prognostic guidance for kidney transplantation recipients.

Models, Statistical

A framework for block-wise missing data in multi-omics.

High-throughput technologies have generated vast amounts of omic data. It is a consensus that the integration of diverse omics sources improves predictive models and biomarker discovery. However, managing multiple omics data poses challenges such as data heterogeneity, noise, high-dimensionality and missing data, especially in block-wise patterns. This study addresses the challenges of high dimensionality and block-wise missing data through a regularization and constrained-based approach. The methodology is implemented in the R package bwm for binary and continuous response variables, and applied to breast cancer and exposome multi-omics datasets, achieving strong performance even in scenarios with missing data present in all omics. In binary classification task, our proposed model achieves accuracy in the range of 86% to 92%, and F1 in the range of 68% to 79%. And, in regression task the correlation between true and predicted responses is in the range of 72% to 76%. However, there is a slight decline in performance metrics as the percentage of missing data increases. In scenarios where block-wise missing data affects multiple omics, the model performance actually surpasses that of scenarios where missing data is present in only one omics. One possible explanation for this might be that the other scenarios introduce a greater diversity of observation profiles, leading to a more robust model. Depending on the specific omics being studied, there is greater consistency in feature selection when comparing block-wise missing data scenarios.

Humans