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PubMed2026

Prognostic value of the lactate-to-albumin ratio in adult sepsis: An updated systematic review of prognostic evidence.

BACKGROUND: The lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) has emerged as a potential prognostic biomarker in sepsis. This systematic review evaluated the prognostic value of LAR for mortality in adults with sepsis or septic shock. METHODS: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library were searched from inception through March 2026. Studies evaluating mortality-related prognostic performance of LAR in adults with sepsis or septic shock were included. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were evaluated separately because of methodological heterogeneity. Discrimination was assessed using study-specific area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and LAR thresholds. RESULTS: Fourteen primary studies were included. Higher LAR was consistently associated with increased mortality across emergency department and intensive care populations. AUC values generally ranged from approximately 0.65 to 0.87, although one smaller cohort reported an AUC of 0.976. Several multivariable analyses demonstrated associations between higher LAR and mortality after adjustment for clinical covariates. Adjusted ORs and HRs were not pooled because of differences in LAR scaling, thresholds, mortality endpoints, and adjustment strategies. Considerable variability was observed in reported cut-offs and diagnostic performance. CONCLUSIONS: Higher LAR is associated with mortality in adult sepsis and may provide complementary prognostic information. However, clinical and methodological heterogeneity precludes a universal cut-off or single pooled adjusted effect. Standardized prospective multicenter studies are required before routine clinical implementation.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Non-small cell lung cancer and tumor-educated platelets: screening of biomarkers and construction of a prognostic model.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, emphasizing the urgent need for effective early detection strategies. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) provides a unique perspective on tumor pathogenesis, focusing on concepts such as "long-term stasis leading to accumulation". Tumor-educated platelets (TEPs) offer potential as biomarkers due to their ability to reflect cancer heterogeneity and facilitate less invasive diagnostic approaches. This study aims to identify TEP-related prognostic biomarkers for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to construct and validate a multigene prognostic model by integrating platelet transcriptomic data with tumor tissue datasets. METHODS: We performed comprehensive analysis of gene expression datasets obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) repositories to characterize transcriptomic differences among lung cancer specimens, normal tissue samples, and TEPs. Using R software, we identified Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and subsequently applied a multi-stage analytical pipeline to TEP-associated DEGs, incorporating univariate Cox proportional hazards regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, multivariate Cox regression, and stepwise regression modeling to pinpoint genes with prognostic significance. These prognostically relevant genes served as the foundation for developing a risk stratification model. We computed individual risk scores across both training and validation cohorts, enabling patient stratification into high- and low-risk categories. Model robustness was assessed through internal cross-validation and external validation procedures, while predictive performance was quantified using risk calibration metrics and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Through systematic bioinformatics screening, we identified a four-gene prognostic signature comprising NELL2, C4orf48, PRAM1, and KLHL35, which served as the foundation for developing our risk stratification algorithm. Rigorous internal cross-validation and external cohort validation substantiated the moderate predictive performance of this signature. Comprehensive clinicopathological correlation analysis revealed that elevated risk indices, advanced pathological staging (stage III-IV), increased primary tumor dimensions, regional lymph node metastasis, and distant organ dissemination each demonstrated statistically significant associations with diminished overall survival (OS) outcomes in lung cancer patients. The clinical nomogram exhibited acceptable calibration, with calibration plots showing reasonable concordance between predicted and observed survival probabilities across all time points. Discriminative capacity assessment via time-dependent ROC analysis yielded area under the curve (AUC) values consistently surpassing 0.6, confirming moderate prognostic discrimination. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that our integrated multi-gene model conferred potential net clinical benefit compared to individual prognostic variables across the full spectrum of clinically relevant threshold probabilities (0-1 range), thereby establishing its potential utility for risk-informed clinical decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified NELL2, C4orf48, PRAM1, and KLHL35 as candidate TEP-related prognostic biomarkers for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The developed prognostic model shows preliminary potential for patient stratification, but its clinical application, particularly as a platelet-based liquid biopsy tool, requires further validation in independent TEP-based cohorts.

Tumor-educated platelets (TEPs)↗

PubMed2026

Development and internal validation of a six-gene prognostic model based on galactose metabolism for overall survival in lung adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer remains a leading cause of cancer incidence and mortality globally. Metabolic reprogramming promotes tumor progression and shapes an immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment. Galactose metabolism is involved in multiple malignancies, but its prognostic value in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) remains unclear. This study aimed to develop and internally validate a galactose metabolism-related multigene prognostic model for LUAD. METHODS: A retrospective prognostic model development and internal validation study was performed using RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) and clinical data from 585 LUAD patients in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Differential expression, functional enrichment, univariate and multivariate Cox regression were applied to construct a prognostic gene signature. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap resampling. Model performance was evaluated by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), C-index, calibration, and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Associations between the model and immune infiltration, immunotherapy responsiveness, and tumor stemness were also analyzed. RESULTS: A six-gene prognostic model (GALT, GANC, PGM1, GALM, B4GALT1, PGM2) was developed. The model showed good discrimination with 1-, 3-, and 5-year area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.719, 0.693, and 0.684, respectively. The low-risk group exhibited significantly longer survival, increased antitumor immune infiltration (CD8+ T cells, M1 macrophages, activated CD4+ memory T cells), higher expression of T cell proliferation-related genes, lower immune checkpoint expression, better predicted immunotherapy response, and lower tumor stemness compared with the high-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and internally validated a six-gene prognostic model for LUAD based on galactose metabolism. The model shows moderate prognostic performance and is associated with antitumor immunity and tumor stemness. It may be used for prognostic risk stratification and to guide personalized immunotherapy in LUAD.

Galactose metabolism↗

PubMed2026

Construction of molecular signatures based on the co-expression network of NECSO-related gene TRPM4 and its prognostic value in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrates significant prognostic variability that is not entirely accounted for by traditional staging systems. Necrosis by sodium overload (NECSO) is an emerging programmed cell death pathway, but its clinical relevance in HCC remains undefined. Therefore, this study aimed to identify TRPM4-associated core genes, develop and validate a prognostic signature, and investigate its relationship with the tumor immune microenvironment, tumor mutational burden, and single-cell expression patterns in HCC. METHODS: We integrated transcriptomic, clinical, and mutational datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) (n=421) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts (n=115) to identify genes co-expressed with TRPM4-a key NECSO mediator-and those differentially expressed in HCC. A prognostic signature was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox regression and validated through survival analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The immune landscape was characterized using CIBERSORT, somatic mutation data were used to calculate tumor mutational burden (TMB) and assess its correlation with the risk score, and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) resolved cell-type-specific expression patterns. RESULTS: From 294 TRPM4-associated core genes, we identified an 11-gene signature (BRSK1, MMP1, GRIN2D, GP6, MYOM2, N4BP3, CCDC112, TSEN54, MAP3K9, SPP1, B3GNT4) that independently predicted overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio =5.419, P<0.001) with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.779, 0.693, and 0.701 at 1, 3, and 5 years. These values were superior or comparable to conventional clinicopathologic variables after direct comparison. High-risk patients exhibited an immunosuppressive microenvironment, characterized by enrichment of M0 macrophage, a higher M2/M1 ratio (P<0.001) and distinct immune checkpoint profiles. When integrated with TMB, the prognostic stratification was further refined: high-TMB/high-risk patients had poorest outcomes (median OS, 15.3 months), while low-TMB/low-risk patients had the most favorable survival (median OS, 68.7 months). Single-cell analysis revealed that MMP1 was induced in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and SPP1 was downregulated in macrophages, single-cell risk scores confirmed TAFs and macrophages as the main contributors to the prognostic model. CONCLUSIONS: The TRPM4-centered 11-gene signature provides robust and independent prognostic stratification in HCC by integrating immune, mutational, and single-cell features. This signature serves as a potential tool for prognostic evaluation and may help inform immunotherapeutic strategies for HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)↗

PubMed2026

Prognostic value of genes associated with metastasis and propionate metabolism in rectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Research indicates that alterations in propionate metabolic pathways play a critical role in cancer development and invasion. Postoperative metastatic recurrence remains a major cause of mortality in patients with rectal cancer. However, propionate metabolism-related genes (PMRGs) in rectal cancer remain insufficiently characterized. Therefore, this study aimed to identify prognostic biomarkers associated with lymph node metastasis and propionate metabolism and construct a risk‑prediction model for rectal cancer via bioinformatic analyses. METHODS: The Cancer Genome Atlas-Rectum Adenocarcinoma (TCGA-READ) and GSE87211 datasets, together with a curated PMRGs gene set, were used in this study. Pearson correlation analysis was performed to assess associations between overlapping genes (differentially expressed genes between READ and normal tissues, as well as between N0 and N1-N2 stages) and PMRGs, leading to the identification of candidate genes. Functional enrichment analyses were subsequently conducted to characterize the biological roles of these candidates. Prognostic biomarkers were identified using univariate Cox regression combined with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and a prognostic model was constructed accordingly. Independent prognostic validation was then performed. In addition, immune checkpoint profiling and immunotherapy response analyses were conducted across risk subgroups. Single-gene Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was applied to elucidate the pathways associated with the identified biomarkers. Finally, drug sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 157 candidate genes were identified through the analytical pipeline. Functional enrichment analysis indicated that these genes were primarily involved in inflammatory response regulation and tumor necrosis factor (TNF) signaling pathways. Five prognostic biomarkers were subsequently identified and incorporated into a predictive model. External validation using the GSE87211 cohort confirmed the robustness of the model. Risk score and disease status were identified as independent prognostic factors. Six immune checkpoint molecules exhibited differential expression between risk groups. Correlation analyses revealed that the risk score was positively associated with most immune checkpoint genes. Single-gene GSEA demonstrated that the biomarkers were mainly enriched in ribosomal biogenesis and cell adhesion molecule-related pathways. Furthermore, 51 therapeutic agents exhibited significantly different half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) values between risk subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified five biomarkers (CCL24, IGFBP3, ODC1, PYGM, and VKORC1) associated with lymph node metastasis and propionate metabolism pathways, providing a potential foundation for prognostic prediction in patients with rectal cancer.

Rectal cancer↗

PubMed2026

Integrative analysis of the roles and prognostic value of RNA-binding proteins in papillary renal cell carcinoma.

RNA-binding proteins (RBPs) serve essential roles in various cancer types, but their functions in papillary renal cell carcinoma (pRCC) have not been elucidated to date. In our work, differentially expressed RBPs in pRCC were identified after acquisition of RNA-sequencing and clinical data related to pRCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas database(TCGA). Functional enrichment analysis and protein interaction network analysis, along with univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, were performed to uncover potential biological effects of the identified RBPs and screen the hub RBPs for pRCC prognosis. We identified 251 up-regulated and 129 down-regulated RBPs, and filtered out seven hub RBPs, namely, SRSF8, CD3EAP, HBS1L, ELAC2, MRPL34, NOP2 and IGF2BP2, for their prognostic relevance. A prognostic risk score model for overall survival of pRCC patients was constructed based on the seven hub RBPs. Further analysis showed that the low-risk group had higher survival rate than the high-risk group in both training and validation cohorts. The predictive accuracy was verified in the Human Protein Atlas database.In addition, we introduced the GSE15641 dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database for independent external validation, and confirmed the expression levels of HBS1L, MRPL34 and IGF2BP2 through real-time quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) and Western blotting (WB) using human renal tubular epithelial cell line HK-2 and human papillary renal cell carcinoma cell line Caki-2. In pRCC, CD3EAP was significantly elevated, while ELAC2, IGF2BP2, MRPL34, SRSF8 and HBS1L were significantly reduced. There was no significant difference between tumor and normal tissues in NOP2 expression. Risk score and tumor grade were independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival. In addition, we established a nomogram based on the seven prognostic RBPs to help predict overall survival at 1-3 years. In conclusion, seven differentially expressed hub RBPs were identified as potential prognostic biomarkers for pRCC. Our prognostic model might serve as a support for better treatment decision-making. Our work could provide potential new ideas for diagnosis and research on targeted drugs for pRCC.

Bioinformatics↗

PubMed2026

Stratifying lung adenocarcinoma: a novel prognostic model based on mitochondrial outer membrane permeabilization activity.

UNLABELLED: Mitochondrial outer membrane permeabilization (MOMP) is a core apoptotic regulatory event that dictates mitochondrial integrity, where full activation drives cell death and sublethal dysregulation contributes to tumor genomic instability. We used the Cancer Genome Atlas lung adenocarcinoma cohort (TCGA-LUAD) as the training cohort and the Gene Expression Omnibus dataset GSE42127 as the validation cohort to identify prognostic genes related to MOMP activity in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and to evaluate their potential biological significance. By intersecting MOMP-related genes with differentially expressed genes, combined with survival analysis, Mendelian randomization analysis, and 101 machine-learning algorithm combinations, seven prognostic genes, namely BIRC5, PSMD11, TNFRSF13C, YWHAZ, YWHAG, CYCS, and LTB, were identified. Next, an optimal prognostic model was constructed based on the gradient boosting machine (GBM) algorithm. Based on the risk score, LUAD patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, and patients in the high-risk group exhibited poorer overall survival in both the training and validation cohorts. Furthermore, a nomogram integrating the risk score and clinicopathological factors was developed and showed favorable predictive performance for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. Meanwhile, functional and immune analyses revealed that the high-risk group was enriched in DNA replication-related pathways and demonstrated a higher tumor mutation burden (TMB). Correlation analysis indicated that TNFRSF13C was positively correlated with activated B cells, whereas BIRC5 was negatively correlated with eosinophils, suggesting that MOMP-related genes might be involved in remodeling the immune microenvironment of LUAD. Drug sensitivity analysis showed differences in predicted half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) values between the risk groups, suggesting the potential value of this model in assisting therapeutic stratification. Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) further identified T lymphocytes as a key cell type, with numerous prognostic genes exhibiting differential expression in T cells or dynamic changes during differentiation. We suggest that the MOMP-related signature established in this study may provide a reference for prognostic stratification in LUAD and offers candidate prognostic genes for subsequent experimental and clinical validation. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s13205-026-05058-6.

Lung adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2026

Targeting RELA and STAT3 regulates TNFRSF10A-mediated apoptosis in a novel apoptosis-based prognostic model for clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) is the most common subtype of renal malignancy and remains a major cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Although advances in surgery, targeted therapy, and immunotherapy have improved outcomes for patients, reliable biomarkers for predicting prognosis remain limited. Therefore, robust gene-based prognostic models are urgently needed to improve risk stratification and guide individualized treatment strategies. METHODS: We developed a novel prognostic model integrating apoptosis and immune - related genes (AIRGs) to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with ccRCC. RESULT: Using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) combined with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression, we identified 7 key prognostic genes, namely, CCR4, TNFRSF10A, TEK, TGFA, CD14, IFITM1, and SEMA3G, that collectively demonstrated strong predictive performance in TCGA cohort with c-index = 0.711. Functional enrichment analyses revealed that apoptosis, immune regulation, and multiple oncogenic signaling pathways were significantly associated with the risk score, highlighting the critical role of the tumor microenvironment in ccRCC progression. Transcription factor binding analysis based on the JASPAR database suggested that RELA and STAT3 with scores of 0.829 and 0.951, respectively are potential upstream regulators within the prognostic network, particularly influencing TNFRSF10A expression. External validation using the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) dataset confirmed the robustness of the prognostic model with c-index = 0.612 Furthermore, in vitro experiments demonstrated that RELA and STAT3 regulate TNFRSF10A-mediated apoptotic signaling in ccRCC cells, providing mechanistic support for the bioinformatic findings. CONCLUSION: This study establishes a biologically informed and clinically relevant prognostic framework for ccRCC. Our findings highlight the therapeutic potential of targeting the RELA/STAT3-TNFRSF10A axis and contribute to the advancement of precision medicine in ccRCC.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Prognostic significance of DNA damage response-related markers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma using machine learning approaches.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) lacks reliable prognostic biomarkers. Homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) has been implicated in genomic instability across multiple cancers, but its prognostic significance in ESCC remains unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate HRD score as a prognostic biomarker and develop a machine learning-based predictive model for ESCC. METHODS: Transcriptomic and clinical data from 78 ESCC patients were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and randomly split into training (70%) and test (30%) cohorts. Prognostic models were constructed using 112 machine learning algorithm combinations based on DNA damage response (DDR)-related genes. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), somatic mutation profiling, and immune cell infiltration estimation via CIBERSORT were performed to characterize HRD-associated molecular features. RESULTS: High HRD scores were significantly associated with poorer overall survival (P<0.05). Among 112 algorithm combinations, the survival support vector machine (Survival-SVM) model demonstrated optimal performance [training concordance index (C-index): 0.741; test C-index: 0.708], identifying six hub genes: PARP1, MBD4, TELO2, NSMCE3, SMUG1, and BABAM1. A nomogram incorporating risk score (RS) and clinical variables achieved strong predictive accuracy for 1- to 3-year survival [area under the curve (AUC) >0.7]. High-HRD tumors exhibited distinct mutational patterns (TP53 and TTN) and enriched glutathione metabolism and cytochrome P450 pathways. Immune infiltration analysis revealed significant differences in plasma cell and neutrophil infiltration between risk groups (P<0.05), suggesting HRD-associated immune microenvironment remodeling. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel HRD-based prognostic model incorporating six DDR-related genes that demonstrates robust predictive performance in ESCC. HRD score is identified as an independent prognostic factor associated with genomic instability, immune microenvironment alterations, and clinical outcomes. These findings provide a theoretical basis for personalized treatment strategies, including potential applications of PARP inhibitors and immunotherapy in ESCC.

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC)↗

PubMed2026

Established and emerging prognostic factors in mycosis fungoides and Sézary syndrome.

Mycosis fungoides (MF) and Sézary syndrome (SS) are the most common subtypes of cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL), characterized by heterogeneous clinical behavior and variable prognosis. Accurate prognostication is essential for risk-adapted management. This review synthesizes emerging evidence on prognostic factors in MF and SS, with a focus on recent genomic advances. Traditional prognostic frameworks are outlined, highlighting the prognostic impact of demographics, stage, clinical features, and histologic findings. More advanced prognostics are then outlined, including genomic alterations and impact of the tumor microenvironment. We highlight realms in which integration of traditional and more biological prognostic frameworks can support more individualized treatment strategies.

Sézary syndrome↗

PubMed2026

Comprehensive In Silico Analysis Identifies MSTO1 and LIG1 as Candidate Biomarkers With Diagnostic and Prognostic Relevance in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and remains a major cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Its poor clinical outcomes are largely attributed to late-stage diagnosis and the limited accuracy of currently available diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. Therefore, identifying novel molecular markers with improved sensitivity, specificity, and therapeutic relevance is essential for enhancing early detection and guiding personalized treatment strategies. AIMS: To identify and prioritize novel candidate HCC biomarkers with diagnostic and prognostic value and potential therapeutic vulnerability using integrated multi-omics, survival, functional dependency, and tumor microenvironment analyses. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined the mRNA and protein expression levels of 8 DEGs in HCC tissues in the TCGA and CPTAC datasets using UALCAN, which showed that MSTO1 and LIG1 were overexpressed consistently in HCC relative to normal liver tissues. Moreover, elevated expression levels of these genes were significantly associated with higher tumor grade and advanced stage. Kaplan-Meier plotter survival data confirmed that increased expression of MSTO1 and LIG1 was associated with poorer overall survival. The DepMap CRISPR knockout data confirmed a functional dependency of both genes in HCC cell lines. CBioPortal analyses provided characterization of genomic alterations and enabled enrichment analysis of co-expressed genes, and the TCGA-UALCAN pan-cancer analyses supported the assessment of tissue specificity across tumor types. TIMER3 analyses linked candidate gene expression with immune cell infiltration patterns. Diagnostic performance by ROC analysis showed excellent discrimination for MSTO1 (AUC = 0.987) and good discrimination for LIG1 (AUC = 0.897). Multivariate Cox regression with Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across the eight genes supported MSTO1 as a candidate independent prognostic factor after adjustment for tumor stage, grade, etiology, age, and sex (HR = 1.29, p = 0.035), whilst LIG1 showed no independent prognostic value. Promoter methylation of MSTO1 and ADH4, assessed via UALCAN, showed that both genes were significantly differentially methylated in the promoter region of primary HCC tissues compared with normal liver tissues. Our study also confirmed the biological and clinical relevance of established HCC biomarkers: TERT, IRAK1, and ADH4. CONCLUSION: MSTO1 and LIG1 emerged as candidate diagnostic biomarkers in HCC. Additionally, MSTO1 showed a candidate prognostic association with overall survival that remained significant after adjusting for tumor stage, grade, and etiology, as well as patients' age, but not after further adjustment for AFP status. Functional data also highlighted MSTO1 as a candidate therapeutic dependency. On the other hand, LIG1 showed no independent prognostic association in either multivariate model. Their differential expression and functional essentiality in HCC cell lines highlighted their value for further experimental and independent-cohort validation before potential integration into biomarker development pipelines aimed at improving early detection and targeted therapy in HCC.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Prognostic and immunological implications of sialylation-associated gene signatures in hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The absence of effective biomarkers continues to limit early diagnostic accuracy and prognostic evaluation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Aberrant sialylation (SI) has been demonstrated to contribute to therapeutic resistance and tumor progression. The aim of this investigation was to identify a sialylation-related gene (SRG) signature, evaluate its prognostic significance, and investigate associated immunological characteristics in HCC. METHODS: Transcriptomic profiles and corresponding clinical data for patients with HCC were obtained from UCSC Xena, the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC), and the Molecular Signatures Database (MsigDB). Differential expression analysis, Cox regression analysis modeling, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis were applied to identify independent prognostic markers and develop predictive models. The tumor immune microenvironment and its relationship with the identified SRGs were assessed by evaluating immune infiltration patterns. A gene co-expression network for the prognostic SRGs was constructed using GeneMANIA to identify potentially targetable signaling pathways. RESULTS: Four SRGs (ST6GALNAC4, B4GALT5, B4GALNT1, and NEU1) were significantly associated with the prognosis of patients with HCC. Prognostic models constructed using these genes demonstrated strong predictive performance. Notable differences were observed in immune cell populations and immune checkpoint expression between the high-risk and low-risk groups. Additionally, the half-maximal inhibitory concentration values for 101 therapeutic compounds varied between these groups. Lipopolysaccharide and sphingolipid metabolism were identified as key biological processes linked to tumor progression and modulation of the immune microenvironment. CONCLUSION: The four identified SRGs were significantly associated with clinical outcomes and immunological features in HCC. These findings provide a foundation for advancing early diagnostic strategies, refining prognostic assessments, and guiding personalized therapeutic approaches for patients with HCC.

Humans↗

PubMed2020

Exploration of predictive and prognostic alternative splicing signatures in lung adenocarcinoma using machine learning methods.

BACKGROUND: Alternative splicing (AS) plays critical roles in generating protein diversity and complexity. Dysregulation of AS underlies the initiation and progression of tumors. Machine learning approaches have emerged as efficient tools to identify promising biomarkers. It is meaningful to explore pivotal AS events (ASEs) to deepen understanding and improve prognostic assessments of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) via machine learning algorithms. METHOD: RNA sequencing data and AS data were extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and TCGA SpliceSeq database. Using several machine learning methods, we identified 24 pairs of LUAD-related ASEs implicated in splicing switches and a random forest-based classifiers for identifying lymph node metastasis (LNM) consisting of 12 ASEs. Furthermore, we identified key prognosis-related ASEs and established a 16-ASE-based prognostic model to predict overall survival for LUAD patients using Cox regression model, random survival forest analysis, and forward selection model. Bioinformatics analyses were also applied to identify underlying mechanisms and associated upstream splicing factors (SFs). RESULTS: Each pair of ASEs was spliced from the same parent gene, and exhibited perfect inverse intrapair correlation (correlation coefficient = - 1). The 12-ASE-based classifier showed robust ability to evaluate LNM status of LUAD patients with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) more than 0.7 in fivefold cross-validation. The prognostic model performed well at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years in both the training cohort and internal test cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression indicated the prognostic model could be used as an independent prognostic factor for patients with LUAD. Further analysis revealed correlations between the prognostic model and American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, T stage, N stage, and living status. The splicing network constructed of survival-related SFs and ASEs depicts regulatory relationships between them. CONCLUSION: In summary, our study provides insight into LUAD researches and managements based on these AS biomarkers.

Adenocarcinoma of Lung↗

PubMed2026

Exploration and experimental verification of triaptosis-related prognostic genes and cells in gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Triaptosis is a recently characterized form of programmed cell death with unclear implications in cancer. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance and biological relevance of triaptosis in gastric cancer (GC). METHODS: Transcriptomic and clinical data from TCGA-STAD and GSE62254, and single-cell RNA sequencing data from GSE183904 were analyzed. Triaptosis-related gene (TRG) scores were calculated using single-sample gene set enrichment analysis. Differentially expressed genes identified in TRG-score and GC-versus-normal comparisons underwent functional enrichment, Cox regression, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to develop an externally validated signature. Immune profiles, pathway activity, somatic mutations, tumor mutational burden (TMB), predicted drug sensitivity, and clinical features were compared by risk group. Single-cell analyses assessed TRG activity, prognostic gene expression, cell-cell communication, and pseudotime. Reverse transcription-quantitative PCR and Western blotting assessed mRNA expression and protein levels, respectively. RESULTS: A TRG-based prognostic model comprising ASPN, GRB14, and VTN was developed and externally validated, effectively distinguishing patients into two distinct risk groups with notably different survival outcomes. mRNA expression of all three genes and their protein levels were significantly higher in SGC-7901 cells than in GES-1 cells. High-risk patients had higher stromal scores and distinct immune profiles; 15 immune cell types differed between groups. Single-cell analysis revealed fibroblasts and pericytes among high-TRG-active cell types. Prognostic genes were significantly overexpressed in fibroblasts, which also showed high TRG activity. Fibroblasts demonstrated enhanced communication with pericytes, whereas tumor-derived fibroblasts showed weaker communication with macrophages, indicating immune microenvironment remodeling. CONCLUSION: The three-gene prognostic signature predicted GC prognosis and was associated with distinct immune and genomic features, suggesting potential value for risk stratification and personalized treatment.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Prognostic role of thymidine kinase 1 activity in hormone receptor positive metastatic breast cancer. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Circulating thymidine kinase 1 activity (TKa) is a potential prognostic biomarker in patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) metastatic breast cancer (MBC); however, results are heterogeneous. In this study we aimed to summarize the current evidence on the prognostic role of circulating TKa in women with HR+ MBC. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases and abstracts from main international oncology meetings. Phase II-IV clinical trials and prospective observational studies in patients with MBC assessing circulating TK1 levels or TKa and reporting hazard ratios (HRs) for progression-free survival (PFS) and/or overall survival (OS) were included. HRs were pooled using random-effects models (restricted maximum likelihood with Hartung-Knapp adjustment), with heterogeneity quantified by I2 and prediction intervals. The primary study outcome was the association of baseline and on-treatment TKa with PFS and OS. Secondary analyses aimed at exploring the source of heterogeneity. RESULTS: Eighteen studies, reporting data from nearly 3000 women, were included in the systematic review and 15 studies were meta-analyzed. Patients with HR+ MBC and high baseline TKa showed a significantly higher risk of progression (PFS: HR 1.90; 95% CI 1.57-2.30; p < 0.001) and death (OS: HR 2.48; 95% CI 1.94-3.17; p < 0.001) than those with low TKa. TKa at 2 and 4 weeks on-treatment was also prognostic (2 weeks, PFS: HR 2.76; 95% CI 2.34-3.26; p < 0.001; 4 weeks, HR 2.26; 95% CI 1.93-2.66; p < 0.001). Similar pooled effects were obtained when accounting for different cut-offs, TKa assessment, and sample-type. CONCLUSION: Pre-treatment high TKa is an adverse prognostic factor in women with HR+ MBC. High on-treatment TKa is also associated with worse outcome, potentially serving as an early signal of treatment resistance. We provide a comprehensive summary of the currently available evidence on the prognostic value of circulating TKa.

Breast cancer↗

PubMed2026

Validation of the lung immune prognostic index in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer: Post hoc analysis of the caspian and IMpower133 phase 3 trials.

BACKGROUND: The Lung Immune Prognostic Index (LIPI) is an inflammation-based biomarker associated with outcomes to immunotherapy across several tumor types. Its prognostic value in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC), however, remains insufficiently validated. We aimed to validate the prognostic impact of LIPI in ES-SCLC using data from two phase III trials. METHODS: Patients enrolled in the CASPIAN (NCT03043872) and IMpower133 (NCT02763579) trials were included. LIPI groups were defined as good (dNLR<3 and LDH<ULN), intermediate (dNLR≥3 or LDH≥ULN) and poor (dNLR≥3 and LDH≥ULN). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed across LIPI categories and treatment arms. RESULTS: LIPI was available for 1140 patients (Good: 34%, Intermediate: 49%, Poor: 17%), including 708 treated with chemotherapy-immunotherapy and 432 with chemotherapy alone. Poor LIPI was associated with unfavorable characteristics, including lower albumin levels and higher rate of liver metastases. Median OS was 14.6 months (95%CI: 12.4-15.9) for LIPI Good, 10.9 (10.1-11.5) for Intermediate, and 8.4 (7.1-9.3) for Poor (p < 0.0001). In multivariate models adjusted on gender, age, ECOG, treatment arm and metastatic sites, LIPI remained an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR Poor vs. Good: 1.76, 95%CI: 1.45-2.15, p < 0.001) and PFS (HR: 1.59, 95%CI: 1.33-1.90, p < 0.001). Although patients with poor LIPI derived limited benefit from immunotherapy, no significant treatment-LIPI interaction was observed. CONCLUSION: This large post hoc analysis confirms LIPI as a robust and clinically applicable prognostic biomarker in ES-SCLC. Patients with poor LIPI have substantially worse outcomes and limited benefit from immunotherapy, highlighting the need for novel therapeutic strategies in this subgroup.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Discovery and validation of a prognostic SPP1/PLAU signature in HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify and validate robust prognostic biomarkers for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), with a specific focus on the high-risk HPV-negative subtype. METHODS: Integrated bioinformatics analysis was performed on transcriptomic data from four GEO datasets (n = 418 samples). Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified, and a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed for the most dysregulated genes. Key modules were analyzed via survival analysis and multivariate Cox regression. The top candidate genes were validated at the protein level using immunohistochemistry (IHC) in an independent cohort of 304 OPSCC patients. RESULTS: A 33-gene module related to extracellular matrix organization showed significant prognostic association. It stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups with markedly different overall survival (HR = 2.71, p < 0.001). From this module, SPP1 and PLAU were identified as independent prognostic factors through multi-step screening. Both genes were significantly overexpressed in tumors (approximately 20-fold and 10-fold, respectively, p < 0.001), with high expression strongly correlated with advanced tumor stage (p < 0.01) and, notably, the HPV-negative subtype (p < 0.001). In survival analysis, high expression of either SPP1 or PLAU was associated with poorer overall survival (SPP1: p < 0.001; PLAU: p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (p < 0.001). IHC validation confirmed high protein expression in 69.7% (SPP1) and 54.8% (PLAU) of cancer tissues. A prognostic nomogram integrating the SPP1/PLAU signature with clinical variables was constructed with strong predictive accuracy (C-index = 0.75). CONCLUSION: The SPP1/PLAU dual-gene signature is a robust and independent prognostic biomarker for OPSCC, with particular clinical utility for stratifying high-risk HPV-negative patients.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

An anti-androgen resistance-related gene signature acts as a prognostic marker and increases enzalutamide efficacy via PLK1 inhibition in prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Anti-androgen resistance remains a major clinical challenge in the treatment of prostate cancer (PCa), leading to disease progression and treatment failure. Despite extensive research on resistance mechanisms, a reliable prognostic model for predicting patient outcomes and guiding therapeutic strategies is still lacking. This study aimed to develop a novel gene signature related to anti-androgen resistance and evaluate its prognostic and therapeutic implications. METHODS: Anti-androgen resistance-related differentially expressed genes (ARRDEGs) were identified through transcriptomic analysis of enzalutamide- and dual enzalutamide abiraterone-resistant PCa cell lines from the GEO database. Functional enrichment analysis was performed to determine the biological roles of these genes. A prognostic gene signature was developed using univariate Cox regression, LASSO, and multivariate Cox regression models. The model was validated in independent PCa cohorts from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Additionally, we assessed the correlation between the signature, immune infiltration, immune checkpoint expression, and drug sensitivity. The efficacy of PLK1 inhibition combined with enzalutamide was further explored using in vitro and in vivo experiments. RESULTS: We identified 304 ARRDEGs, from which three key genes (LMNB1, SSPO, and PLK1) were selected to construct a prognostic signature. This gene signature effectively stratified PCa patients into high- and low-risk groups, with the high-risk group exhibiting shorter recurrence-free survival and distinct immune characteristics. High-risk patients demonstrated elevated immune checkpoint expression (B7H3, CTLA-4, B7-1, and TIGIT), increased M2 macrophage infiltration, and enhanced sensitivity to chemotherapy and targeted therapy. Mechanistically, PLK1 inhibition potentiated the antitumor effect of enzalutamide by downregulating SLC7A11 and inducing ferroptosis, providing a potential therapeutic strategy to overcome anti-androgen resistance. CONCLUSION: We established a novel ARRDEGs-based prognostic signature that predicts PCa progression and response to chemotherapy and targeted therapy. The integration of this signature with immune profiling and drug sensitivity analysis provides a valuable tool for precision oncology in PCa. Our findings highlight the potential of PLK1 inhibition as a therapeutic strategy to enhance enzalutamide efficacy and overcome resistance.

Humans↗