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Results for “Prospective cohort study”

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PubMed1992

Fibrinolytic activity as a predictor of the outcome of prolapsed intervertebral lumbar disc surgery with reference to background variables: results of a prospective cohort study.

In a prospective study 122 patients with a slipped lumbar disc and no previous surgery were preoperatively examined for fibrinolytic activity. Surgical results for these patients were evaluated 12 months postoperatively by clinical overall assessment. In a multiple linear regression analysis fibrinolytic variables, euglobulin clot lysis time and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1, were shown to have predictive value regarding outcome of surgery; that is, normal fibrinolytic activity favors a satisfactory outcome and vice versa. Background variables and lipid profile were also recorded preoperatively. Body mass index, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, triglycerides and smoking were of statistical significance in relation to euglobulin clot lysis time and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1. Postoperative fibrinolytic re-examination of 20 patients seem to confirm that patients at risk of surgical failure have a prolonged depression of fibrinolytic activity.

Cohort Studies↗

PubMed2026

Proteomics-driven discovery of intervention windows and risk subtypes in osteoporosis: A prospective cohort study.

Given the limited feasibility of population-wide bone mineral density screening and the infrequency of long-term monitoring in healthy individuals, identifying the window for early intervention and the populations to be prioritized for screening is critical. This study aimed to identify intervention windows for osteoporosis and to determine potential high-risk subtypes within the healthy population. Based on proteomic data from 41,408 healthy adults, we conducted the DE-SWAN method to identify change peaks in plasma protein during the pre-diagnostic osteoporosis phase, and employed finite Gaussian mixture model-based clustering to delineate high-risk subtypes of osteoporosis. We identified 122 protein biomarkers significantly associated with osteoporosis risk throughout the follow-up period. Importantly, we identified two critical peaks occurring approximately 10 and 6 years before diagnosis, with the former enriched in immune-related pathways and the latter prominently involving responses to retinoic acid and glucocorticoids. Furthermore, one high-risk subtype for osteoporosis was identified in both males and females, termed the Frailty and Obesity Subtype. This subtype is characterized by a high degree of frailty and obesity, accompanied by a significantly elevated risk of both osteoporosis and fractures. Finally, we developed a predictive model comprising 10 proteins for identifying high-risk subtypes of osteoporosis, which demonstrated better performance than the traditional risk factor model (AUC: 0.743 vs. 0.680). Our findings demonstrate that proteomic profiling can reveal early molecular changes and identify high-risk subtypes years before clinical onset, providing a foundation for screening and precision prevention of osteoporosis.

Proteomics↗

PubMed2026

Awake Craniotomy for Eloquent Region Glioblastoma Classified by Tumor Location-A Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The efficacy of awake craniotomy (AC) with intraoperative mapping for glioblastoma (GBM) in eloquent regions remains debated. This study aims to evaluate functional and survival outcomes of GBM patients undergoing AC stratified by tumor locations. METHODS: A combined retrospective (2015-2023, n = 114: 43 AC vs. 71 standard craniotomy) and prospective cohort (2023-2025, n = 28: 13 AC vs. 15 standard craniotomy) of GBM patients with motor/language-eloquent tumors was analyzed. Tumors were classified into motor subtypes (I: precentral gyrus; II: premotor/supplementary motor; III: internal capsule posterior limb; IV: other) and language subtypes (I: Broca's/precentral; II: postcentral/supramarginal gyrus; III: Wernicke's; IV: insular; V: other). Outcomes included extent of resection (EOR), postoperative motor/language recovery, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: The retrospective cohort demonstrated that AC has advantages in functional preservation across various motor/language subtypes. However, AC was associated with significantly deteriorated survival outcomes specifically in precentral gyrus GBMs. A prospective cohort study, enrolling only precentral gyrus GBMs for validation, yielded results consistent with the retrospective findings: worsened OS and PFS (OS: HR = 3.223, p = 0.0450; PFS: HR = 2.374, p = 0.0476); reduced EOR (AC: 74.3% ± 5.3%; standard craniotomy: 86.9% ± 12.3%, p = 0.0470); and better motor recovery. CONCLUSIONS: Functional preservation and survival outcomes of AC in GBM exhibited subtype-specific correlations with tumor locations. AC with intraoperative mapping effectively preserves neurological function in GBM patients. However, for tumors involving the precentral gyrus, the AC approach carries greater risks than benefits and should be considered with caution. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Strategic Intervention on Preserving Motor Function During Awake Craniotomy: NCT05143788. Strategic Intervention on Preserving Language Function During Awake Craniotomy: NCT05143775.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Association between fruit and vegetable intake and risk of depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

Depression is a leading cause of global disability, and identifying modifiable lifestyle factors is a public health priority. We conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies examining the association between fruit and vegetable intake and incident depression. PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, and Google Scholar were searched through November 2025. Data on study characteristics, dietary assessment, outcomes, effect estimates, and covariates were independently extracted by two reviewers. Random-effects models were used to calculate pooled relative risks (RRs), and linear and non-linear dose-response relationships were assessed. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2, and evidence certainty was rated with GRADE. Thirteen cohorts with 385,449 participants and 26,592 depression cases were included. Highest versus lowest combined fruit and vegetable intake was associated with a 37% lower risk of depression (RR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.80). Each 200 g/day increase corresponded to a 16% risk reduction (RR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.74-0.94). Separate analyses showed that fruit and vegetable intake reduced depression risk by 16% and 12%, respectively, with a non-linear dose-response for vegetables. These findings indicate that higher consumption of fruits and vegetables is associated with lower depression risk, supporting dietary strategies as a potential approach for mental health prevention. However, given the observational nature of the included studies, these results should be interpreted with caution, as residual confounding may partially account for the observed associations. Registration: This study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD420261279998).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Low-carbohydrate diet score subtypes and all-cause mortality in general and chronic disease populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

OBJECTIVES: To examine associations of overall, healthy and unhealthy low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) scores with all-cause mortality in general and chronic disease populations. Healthy and unhealthy subtypes were compared with assess whether the observed associations depend on macronutrient quality rather than carbohydrate restriction alone. DESIGN: Systematic review and pairwise category meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, MEDLINE, ProQuest Medical Database and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception to 12 May 2026. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Prospective cohort studies of adults assessing LCD adherence using a validated three-macronutrient composite score and reporting HRs for all-cause mortality were eligible. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Random-effects meta-analyses compared each higher reported LCD category with the lowest category, stratified by LCD score subtype and population type. Certainty of evidence was assessed using NutriGrade. RESULTS: 18 prospective cohort studies included 779 158 participants and 219 457 deaths; all scored 7-9/9 on the NOS. In chronic disease populations, the highest healthy LCD category was associated with lower mortality than the lowest category (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.76; I²=0%; high certainty), as was the highest overall LCD category (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.96; I²=68%; high certainty). In the general population, the highest healthy LCD category was not associated with lower mortality than the lowest category (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.01; I²=69%; moderate certainty), and neither was the highest overall LCD category (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03; I²=87%; low certainty). Unhealthy LCD scores were not associated with mortality in either population. CONCLUSIONS: Healthy LCD adherence was associated with lower all-cause mortality, particularly among individuals with chronic diseases. Unhealthy LCD scores were not associated with mortality in either population, suggesting that macronutrient quality and source may matter more than carbohydrate reduction alone.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Predicting bloodstream infection by plasma cell-free metagenomic sequencing: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients receiving myelosuppressive chemotherapy or haematopoietic cell transplantation are at high risk for life-threatening bloodstream infections. A novel pre-emptive treatment paradigm guided by pathogen detection before symptoms appear might reduce this risk, but no validated screening test is available. This study evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of plasma microbial cell-free DNA metagenomic sequencing (mcfDNA-Seq) for predicting bloodstream infections in children and adolescents receiving therapy for high-risk leukaemia. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, between Aug 9, 2017, and Feb 28, 2022, leftover clinical plasma samples were prospectively collected up to once per day from patients who were younger than 25 years, receiving care for leukaemia at St Jude Children's Research Hospital (Memphis, TN, USA), and at high risk for life-threatening bloodstream infections. mcfDNA-Seq was used to identify pathogen DNA in blood samples obtained during the 7 days before to 1 day after bloodstream infection onset, and in control samples from the same population in the absence of fever or infection. The testing laboratory was masked to sample status. Primary outcomes were predictive sensitivity of mcfDNA-Seq for detecting the expected bloodstream infection pathogen during the 3 days preceding the day of bloodstream infection onset, with a prespecified favourable sensitivity of 50%, and predictive specificity of mcfDNA-Seq in control samples. Exploratory analyses comprised assessing sensitivity and specificity restricted to bacteria or common bloodstream infection pathogens, and after applying a data-derived DNA fragment concentration cutoff; estimating the predictive sensitivity on each of the 7 days before bloodstream infection onset; identifying clinical characteristics that affected predictive sensitivity or specificity; and examining the clinical relevance of additional organisms identified by mcfDNA-Seq during bloodstream infection episodes. Diagnostic sensitivity was also assessed on samples collected on the day of, or day after, diagnosis of bloodstream infection. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03226158. FINDINGS: 94 evaluable bloodstream infections occurred in 60 (38%) of 158 enrolled participants; 19 episodes were previously described in the pilot phase of this study. The predictive sensitivity of mcfDNA-Seq was 51·9% (95% CI 40·5-63·1) for all bloodstream infection episodes, 53·8% (42·2-65·2) for bacterial infection only, and 51·9% (40·5-63·1) when applying a DNA fragment concentration cutoff of 140 molecules per μL. Sensitivity was lowest at day -7 and increased daily until the day of diagnosis. Diagnostic sensitivity was 81·3% (95% CI 71·0-89·1) for all bloodstream infection episodes and 83·1% (72·9-90·7) for bacterial infections only. Predictive specificity was 82·7% (95% CI 76·0-88·2), but improved to 88·9% (83·0-93·3) for common bloodstream infection pathogens, and to 93·8% (88·9-97·0) when also applying the DNA fragment concentration cutoff. Predictive sensitivity was higher in participants with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 11·1 [1·7-74·2] vs those with acute myeloid leukaemia), and it was lower in polymicrobial infections (aOR 0·0 [0·0-0·2] vs monomicrobial Gram-positive infections). Clinical false-positive results were positively associated with gastrointestinal disturbance alone (p=0·037) or combined with recent administration of high-dose cytarabine (p=0·012). Additional organisms identified by mcfDNA-Seq that were not identified by blood culture were less likely than expected organisms to have an increasing DNA concentration during the days preceding bloodstream infection diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: mcfDNA-Seq can detect causative pathogens before the onset of some bloodstream infection episodes in profoundly immunocompromised patients. Predictive specificity might be improved by restricting results to a subgroup of relevant organisms, excluding patients with high risk of false-positive results, or applying a higher concentration cutoff. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate mcfDNA-Seq-guided pre-emptive therapy for preventing life-threatening bloodstream infections in patients with high risk. FUNDING: The National Cancer Institute, American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, and Karius.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

Large-Scale Plasma Proteomics Enhances Prediction of Liver-Related Events Among Individuals With Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a protein risk score (ProRS) for predicting liver-related events (LREs) in patients with diabetes and compare its predictive performance with the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and an established polygenic risk score. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 13 516 individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models and LASSO regression were applied to identify proteins associated with incident LREs and construct the ProRS. Predictive performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 171 (1.3%) incident LREs occurred. We identified 877 proteins associated with LRE risk, primarily enriched in inflammatory signalling, extracellular matrix remodelling and complement/coagulation cascades. In the training set, we developed a 24-protein ProRS (C-index, 0.842; 95% CI 0.797-0.884) that stratified individuals into low-, medium- and high-risk groups, with 10-year cumulative incidences of LREs of 0.2%, 1.2% and 14.2%, respectively. Compared with the low-risk group, the hazard ratio for LREs was 57.1 (95% CI 31.9-102) in the high-risk group. In the internal validation set, the ProRS model (C-index, 0.876; 95% CI 0.827-0.920) accurately predicted both short- and long-term LREs and outperformed FIB-4 index (C-index, 0.733; 95% CI 0.657-0.807) and polygenic risk score (C-index, 0.636; 95% CI 0.564-0.706). CONCLUSIONS: The protein risk score demonstrated superior performance compared with the FIB-4 index and the polygenic risk score in predicting incident LREs among individuals with prediabetes and T2D. The score allows stratification of individuals according to liver-related risk, though external validation in multi-ethnic cohorts is warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Age-stratified associations of glycemia, blood pressure, and cholesterol with mortality in diabetes: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Optimization of HbA1c, blood pressure and cholesterol, referred to as the "ABCs", is central to the management of diabetes. However, the age-specific associations of these factors with mortality in patients with diabetes remains unclear. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 43,732 Chinese adults aged ≥ 40 years with diabetes were included from the China Cardiometabolic Disease and Cancer Cohort (4C) Study. Participants were stratified by age (< 55, 55-<65, 65-<75, ≥ 75 years). Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray competing risk models were employed to estimate the associations of HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality across age groups. Relative importance and population attributable fractions (PAFs) were computed for each metabolic factor. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 3,975 deaths were documented. Age significantly modified the associations of HbA1c, SBP, and LDL-C with all mortality outcomes (all P for interaction < 0.05). Among participants aged < 75 years, HbA1c showed graded positive associations with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality. The SBP thresholds associated with increased mortality risk were 140 mmHg in those aged < 65 years and 160 mmHg in those aged 65-<75 years. Among those aged ≥ 75 years, however, the patterns of these associations differed markedly. Elevated mortality risk was observed only at HbA1c ≥ 9%, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.51 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.91) for all-cause mortality and a subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of 1.70 (95% CI: 1.23-2.36) for cardiovascular mortality, while SBP showed no significant association with any mortality outcome in this age group. Moreover, LDL-C emerged as a significant risk factor for cardiovascular mortality. Compared with participants with LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, those with LDL-C of 1.8-<2.6 mmol/L exhibited a significantly higher risk (SHR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.11-3.11). Additionally, LDL-C had the largest PAF for cardiovascular mortality (9.6%) within this age group. CONCLUSIONS: The impacts of ABC factors on mortality risk vary substantially by age among adults with diabetes. In patients aged ≥ 75 years, less stringent glycemic and blood pressure targets may be appropriate, whereas lipid management remains critically important for reducing cardiovascular mortality.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Premenarche risk factors for future dysmenorrhoea: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dysmenorrhoea, or pain during menstruation, is common in adolescence and is often dismissed or left untreated. Dysmenorrhoea can interfere with daily functioning and can lead to other chronic pain conditions; however, little is known about the risk factors for dysmenorrhoea. We aimed to characterise premenarche risk factors for the presence and severity of future dysmenorrhoea. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we obtained data for female adolescents from the population-based Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study (USA) who were premenarchal at baseline (age 9-10 years) and had both reached menarche and completed the Menstrual Cycle Survey at 3-year follow-up (age 12-13 years). Parents or guardians provided sociodemographic information and completed the Child Behavior Checklist, the Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children, and the Pubertal Development Scale, which captured data on non-painful somatic symptoms, attention problems, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbances, and pubertal development at baseline. Our primary objective was to analyse associations between dysmenorrhoea at 3-year follow-up (status and severity) with select symptom domains (sleep problems, attention problems, somatic symptoms, anxious or depressive symptoms, and baseline pain status) at baseline. We also investigated associations between dysmenorrhoea and participant characteristics (pubertal status, race or ethnicity, and income-to-needs ratio) that underlie social determinants of health. Differences by race were tested using Fisher exact tests. Differences by ethnicity and baseline pain status were tested using χ2 tests. Differences in continuous variables were assessed using ANOVA. Wilcoxon-Rank Sum tests were used in analyses of sleep problems, attention problems, and somatic symptoms, and ANOVA was used for pubertal status and income-to-needs ratio. Multinomial logistic regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea severity, and linear regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea status and menstrual pain interference. FINDINGS: 2254 female adolescents were included in this study. 1299 (57·6%) participants developed dysmenorrhoea at age 12-13 years, and 247 (19·0% of those with dysmenorrhoea) reported severe dysmenorrhoea. Non-painful somatic symptoms were prospectively associated with future dysmenorrhoea (odds ratio [OR] 1·17 [95% CI 1·04-1·32]; p=0·0070), whereas anxiety or depression, sleep disturbances, and attention problems were not. Sleep disturbances were prospectively associated with menstrual pain interference (β coefficient 0·16 [95% CI 0·01-0·31]). Advanced pubertal status at ages 9-10 years was prospectively associated with risk of dysmenorrhoea 3 years later (OR 1·79 [95% CI 1·47-2·17]; p<0·0001), as was lower income-to-needs ratio (0·96 [0·93-1·00]; p=0·031). Black (1·38 [1·05-1·83]; p=0·024) and Hispanic (1·34 [1·03-1·68]; p=0·010) young females were at a significantly greater risk of experiencing dysmenorrhoea than were White and non-Hispanic young females, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Sociodemographic characteristics and clinical symptoms present before menarche might help to identify at-risk individuals for dysmenorrhoea before pain becomes a lifelong issue. FUNDING: The National Institute of Nursing Research, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute for Child Health and Human Development.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Source- and Solubility-specific Choline, Gut Microbiota, and Dyslipidemia Risk: Trimethylamine N-oxide-associated and Non-trimethylamine N-oxide-Associated Patterns in a Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Dietary choline, a major precursor of the gut microbial metabolite trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), is implicated in dyslipidemia risk; however, source- and form-specific associations and interactions with gut microbiota remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine longitudinal associations of source- and form-specific dietary choline with plasma TMAO and dyslipidemia and to identify gut microbiota interactions. METHODS: Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (2018-2023), dietary intake was assessed via 3 consecutive 24-h recalls in this prospective cohort study. Two-level generalized linear mixed-effects models were applied in 4828 adults (mean age: 55.9 ± 12.6 y, 56.6% females) to assess choline-dyslipidemia associations. Choline-TMAO and TMAO-dyslipidemia analyses were conducted in 1091 participants free of dyslipidemia at baseline. Among 7169 adults with gut microbiome data, Least Absolute Selection and Shrinkage Operator and logistic regression identified lipid-associated gut genera; TMAO relationships were examined in a subset of 693 participants. RESULTS: Higher intakes of total [Q4 compared with Q1: odds ratio (OR) = 1.261; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.007, 1.580], red meat-derived (OR: 1.753; 95% CI: 1.196, 2.568), and lipid-soluble choline (OR: 1.304; 95% CI: 1.047, 1.624) were associated with higher risk of elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL cholesterol), whereas vegetable-derived choline was inversely associated. Egg-derived and lipid-soluble choline were positively associated with plasma TMAO, which was prospectively associated with 5-y incident dyslipidemia (Q4 compared with Q1-OR: 1.620; 95% CI: 1.047, 2.509), elevated LDL cholesterol (Q3 compared with Q1-OR: 2.478; 95% CI: 1.187, 5.174), and hypertriglyceridemia (Q4 compared with Q1-OR: 1.829; 95% CI: 1.028, 3.225). Three TMAO-associated genera were identified: Lachnospiraceae and Phascolarctobacterium as pro-risk taxa and Turicibacter as protective. The adverse LDLcholesterol association of egg-derived choline was observed exclusively in Phascolarctobacterium-enriched individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary choline source and solubility differentially associated with dyslipidemia risk through TMAO-associated and non-TMAO-associated patterns, with gut microbiota as key modulators.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Molecular epidemiological surveillance for non-tuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease: a single-center prospective cohort study.

UNLABELLED: Bacterial species cultured from sputum change during treatment or observation for non-tuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease; however, strain-level changes remain unrecognized. Variable number tandem repeat typing is a standard technique for strain identification; nonetheless, its labor-intensive and time-consuming nature limits routine clinical use. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate species-subspecies and strain dynamics in non-tuberculous mycobacteria and develop a simple sequence-based strain-level determination method. We performed a single-center prospective cohort study of 112 patients with non-tuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease. Whole-genome sequencing was performed on two sputum samples collected at enrollment and at the end of follow-up, followed by variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) typing. We also developed a simple long-read sequencing-based digital VNTR (dVNTR) typing method and evaluated its efficacy. Our results demonstrate that core genome multi-locus sequencing typing revealed species/subspecies changes in 13 patients (11.6%); VNTR typing detected strain changes in 16 patients (14.3%) without species/subspecies changes. Overall, pathogen shifts occurred in 29 patients (shift [+] group, 25.9%), whereas 83 had no detectable pathogen shift (shift [-] group, 74.1%). Interestingly, macrolide and amikacin susceptibility changed in both groups, but resistance remained higher in shift (-) patients. dVNTR results aligned with those of conventional VNTR typing. In conclusion, since susceptibility factors remain unclear, routine species/subspecies identification and molecular typing, such as VNTR, are optimal for patient care. Core genome multi-locus sequencing typing with a dVNTR identified pathogen shifts, innovating non-tuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease management.Clinical TrialsThis study is registered with UMIN as UMIN 000056067. IMPORTANCE: Pulmonary non-tuberculous mycobacterial disease is a chronic infection in which the causative pathogens may change at the species, subspecies, or strain level over time. Accurate tracking of these changes is essential for optimizing treatment; however, conventional clinical practice lacks efficient methods for monitoring such dynamics. Our study revealed pathogen changes in approximately one-quarter of patients over 1.5 years, prompting the development of a novel surveillance system that integrates next-generation sequencing for both species-subspecies identification and strain-level molecular epidemiology. This innovation enables real-time monitoring of pathogen dynamics, allowing clinicians to promptly adjust treatment strategies and improve patient care through more informed decision-making.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Antibody responses in Klebsiella pneumoniae bloodstream infection: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Klebsiella pneumoniae is a leading cause of infection-related deaths globally, yet little is known about human antibody responses to invasive K pneumoniae. We sought to determine whether the O-specific polysaccharide antigen is immunogenic in humans with K pneumoniae bloodstream infection. We also sought to define the cross-reactivity of human antibody responses among structurally related K pneumoniae O-specific polysaccharide subtypes and to assess the effect of capsule production on O-specific polysaccharide-targeted antibody binding and function. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we compared plasma antibody responses to O-specific polysaccharide in a cohort of consecutively enrolled patients with K pneumoniae bloodstream infection with controls, specifically a cohort of healthy individuals and a cohort of individuals with Enterococcus spp bloodstream infection. Patients were enrolled at the Massachusetts General Hospital, a tertiary hospital with affiliated clinics in the USA. We excluded patients whose isolates were not confirmed to be K pneumoniae by whole-genome sequencing. The primary outcome was the measurement of plasma IgG, IgM, and IgA antibody responses. We performed flow cytometry to measure the effects of K pneumoniae capsule production on O-specific polysaccharide antibody binding and O-specific polysaccharide antibody-mediated complement deposition, using patient isolates with variable levels of capsule production and isogenic capsule-deficient strains derived from these isolates. FINDINGS: We enrolled 129 consecutive patients with suspected K pneumoniae bloodstream infection between July 24, 2021, and August 4, 2022, of whom 69 patients (44 [64%] male and 25 [36%] female) with confirmed K pneumoniae bloodstream infection were eligible for immunological evaluation. Common O-specific polysaccharide serotypes (O1, O2, O3, and O5) accounted for 57 (83%) of 69 infections. O-specific polysaccharide was immunogenic in patients with K pneumoniae bloodstream infection, and peak O-specific polysaccharide-IgG antibody responses in patients were ten-fold to 30-fold higher than antibody responses detected in healthy controls, depending on the serotype. There was cross-reactivity among similar O-specific polysaccharide subtypes, including the O1v1 and O1v2, O2v1 and O2v2, and O3 and O3b subtypes, as well as between the O1 and O2 types. Capsule produced by both hyperencapsulated and non-hyperencapsulated K pneumoniae inhibited O-specific polysaccharide-targeted antibody binding and function. INTERPRETATION: O-specific polysaccharide was immunogenic in patients with K pneumoniae bloodstream infection, supporting its potential as a candidate vaccine antigen. The cross-reactivity observed between similar O-specific polysaccharide subtypes in patients with K pneumoniae bloodstream infection suggests that it might not be necessary to include all subtypes in an O-specific polysaccharide-based vaccine. However, these observations are tempered by the fact that capsule production, even in non-highly encapsulated strains, has the potential to interfere with O-specific polysaccharide antibody binding. This finding could limit the effectiveness of vaccines that exclusively target O-specific polysaccharide. FUNDING: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases at the National Institutes of Health.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Evaluation of intravenous sedation in dental implant surgeries: A prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of intravenous sedation on patient-centered outcomes during implant and bone augmentation surgeries. METHOD: A prospective observational cohort study included 40 patients undergoing placement of ≥3 implants, with or without bone augmentation. Patients underwent surgery under either intravenous sedation (n = 20) or local anesthesia alone (n = 20), according to routine clinical decision-making and patient preference. The sedation group received intravenous sedation with a multimodal regimen comprising remimazolam, dexmedetomidine, alfentanil, and low-dose esketamine, whereas the control group received local anesthesia only. Patient-reported outcome measures, hemodynamic parameters (SBP, DBP, HR, SpO2), postoperative pain (0-10 scale), and OHRQoL (OHIP-14) were recorded from baseline through 7 days post-surgery. RESULTS: Intravenous sedation was associated with significantly lower intraoperative pain (0.5 [IQR: 0∼2.75] vs. 3.25 ± 2.40, p = 0.003), anxiety (1 [IQR: 0∼2.75] vs. 4 [IQR: 3∼6], p = 0.001), and experienced discomfort (2 [IQR: 1∼3.75] vs. 4.15 ± 2.16, p = 0.016), and shortened perceived treatment duration (2.90 ± 2.34 vs. 5 [IQR: 4∼5], p = 0.020). Early postoperative pain was lower in the sedation group from Days 1-4 (p = 0.003-0.010). Hemodynamic parameters were more stable under sedation, with lower SBP (116.42 ± 13.32 vs. 144.11 ± 17.42 mmHg, p < 0.001), DBP (73.21 ± 10.28 vs. 82.37 ± 11.03 mmHg, p = 0.012), and HR (71.00 [IQR: 62.50∼79.25] vs. 85.00 ± 10.72 bpm, p = 0.021). OHRQoL scores favored the sedation group in swallowing, diet, malaise, and daily activities, particularly during the first three postoperative days (p=0.006-0.040). CONCLUSION: Intravenous sedation may enhance the patient experience during implant and/or bone augmentation procedures by reducing intraoperative pain and anxiety, improving hemodynamic stability, and promoting better early-postoperative recovery and OHRQoL. These findings suggest that intravenous sedation provides a safe and effective alternative for implant dentistry surgery, particularly for anxious or pain-sensitive individuals.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Depressive Symptoms and Smoking Cessation Among Adolescents and Young Adults Who Smoke: A Prospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: This study examined the bidirectional prospective associations between depressive symptoms and smoking cessation among adolescent and young adults who smoke. METHODS: Data on 1,151 participants aged ≤25 years who smoke and receive peer-led quitline counseling in Hong Kong (2016-2022) were analyzed. Exposures included baseline depressive symptoms and smoking cessation (self-reported 7-day abstinence) at 1, 3, and 6 months; Outcome measures included smoking cessation at 1, 3, and 6 months and depressive symptoms at 6 months. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale, with a score ≥16 indicating at risk for depression. RESULTS: More severe baseline depressive symptoms were associated with lower odds of smoking cessation at 1, 3, and 6 months, which reversely was associated with lower depressive symptoms at 6 months (all p < .05). Similarly, being at risk for depression at baseline was associated with lower odds of smoking cessation at 1 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] .66, 95% confidential interval [CI] .47-.93) and 3 months (aOR .71, 95% CI .52-.97). Conversely, smoking cessation at 1 (aOR .40, 95% CI .23-.69), 3 (aOR .58, 95% CI .37-.92), and 6 months (aOR .44, 95% CI .29-.69) was associated with lower odds of at risk for depression at 6 months. DISCUSSION: More severe depressive symptoms were prospectively associated with lower odds of smoking cessation, while smoking cessation was associated with lower depressive symptoms and risk for depression. Integrated interventions simultaneously addressing psychological needs and smoking are warranted, when delivered in smoking cessation programs or embedded within mental health services for youth who smoke.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

The Effect of Pancreatic Exocrine Insufficiency and Pancreatic Enzyme Replacement Therapy on Gut Microbiome Composition in Pancreatic Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Increasing evidence demonstrates that pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PEI) is associated with harmful changes to the gut microbiome. The mainstay of PEI treatment is with pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (PERT), which has been shown to lead to significant survival benefit in pancreatic disease. The aim of this study was to determine how treatment of PEI with PERT affects gut microbiome composition. METHODS: This is a prospective observational cohort study of patients being treated for pancreatic disease at a single centre. PEI status of patients was assessed at the time of recruitment using published diagnostic criteria. Pre-PERT samples were taken before treatment was started and post-PERT samples were taken after at least 4 weeks of treatment. To profile the gut microbiome composition, shotgun metagenomic sequencing was performed with DNA extracted from stool samples. RESULTS: 25 patients with pancreatic disease were included. The abundance of pathogenic bacteria, such as Viridans group Streptococcus and Campylobacter species, was significantly increased in the gut microbiome of patients with PEI compared to those without PEI. Following PERT treatment, analysis of the gut microbiome of treated patients showed a significant reduction in the abundance of multiple pathogenic species, such as those from Viridans group Streptococci, compared to untreated PEI patients. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with PERT leads to significant changes in the gut microbiome composition of patients with pancreatic disease. Changes include a significant reduction in potentially pathogenic bacteria and so may contribute to the survival benefits seen with PERT treatment in pancreatic disease.

gut microbiome↗

PubMed2026

Risks of non-breast, non-ovarian cancers for BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The non-breast non-ovarian cancers associated with BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variants (PVs) are controversial. We aimed to examine this using a prospective cohort design. METHODS: This study included 1260 BRCA1 and 1058 BRCA2 PV carriers (91% were females) from two consortia: the Breast Cancer Family Registry (BCFR) and the Kathleen Cuningham Foundation Consortium for Research into Familial Breast Cancer Follow-Up Study (kConFab-FUS). The carriers were free of cancer other than breast or ovarian cancer at baseline and had a median baseline age of 45.5 years. For 16 types of non-breast, non-ovarian cancers, standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) relative to population incidence, the probabilities of relative risk effect size > 2 (i.e., moderate risk) and cumulative risks to age 80 years were estimated. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 11.4 years, 161 non-breast, non-ovarian cancers were observed. For BRCA1 PV carriers, little evidence of increased risk was observed. The prostate, pancreatic, and all non-pancreatic cancer SIRs were 1.7 (95% CI 0.7-4.2), 1.1 (95% CI 0.3-4.6) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.68-1.06), respectively; the probabilities of relative risk > 2 were 0 and 67% for prostate and pancreatic cancers, respectively. For BRCA2 PV carriers, increased risks of pancreatic (SIR = 6.6, 95% CI 3.8-11.6), prostate (SIR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.9-6.8) and stomach (SIR = 3.1, 95% CI 1.01-9.8) cancer were observed, with a cumulative risk to age 80 years of 8.3, 82.0, and 1.6%, respectively. For all the other non-breast, non-ovarian cancers combined, the SIR was 0.85 (95% CI 0.66-1.10). CONCLUSIONS: Apart from pancreatic, prostate, and possibly stomach cancers for BRCA2 PV carriers, and possibly pancreatic cancer for BRCA1 PV carriers, there is no evidence that BRCA1 and BRCA2 PV carriers have substantially increased risks of other non-breast, non-ovarian cancers. Our prospective risk estimates are informative for cancer risk assessment for people with BRCA1 and BRCA2 PVs.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Transmission of extended spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and antimicrobial resistance gene flow across One Health compartments in eastern Africa: a whole-genome sequence analysis from a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The One Health paradigm considers interdependence of human, animal, and environmental health. However, there is little evidence from high-income countries to support the importance of a One Health approach to addressing spread of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Given AMR is a global threat, understanding how the close interactions of humans with animals and the environment in low-income settings affect the spread of AMR is important. We aimed to investigate diversity and transmission of extended spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli across household-linked One Health compartments using genomic data. METHODS: We sequenced whole genomes of ESBL-producing E coli isolates from humans, animals, and the environment from a prospective, longitudinal cohort study conducted in Malawi (April 29, 2019, to Dec 3, 2020) and Uganda (July 16, 2020, to Aug 6, 2021). In the cohort study, 259 households were enrolled at baseline in Malawi and 92 in Uganda from a mix of urban, peri-urban, and rural areas. Households were followed up at months 1, 3, and 6 in Malawi and at months 1, 2, and 4 in Uganda. Samples collected at each visit included human and animal stool, environmental samples from hand-contact areas, food, and water, and broader environmental samples such as river water. Samples were cultured in buffered peptone water and then ESBL chromogenic agar to isolate ESBL-producing E coli. ESBL-producing E coli isolates underwent whole-genome sequencing. We performed phylogenetic analyses, and in-silico multi-locus sequence typing, characterised AMR determinants and linked genotypes with sample location, ecological source, and other covariates. We performed fine-scale single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and network analysis to infer strain and plasmid transmission across ecological compartments. The primary outcome was colonisation with ESBL-producing E coli. Secondary outcomes were genomic clusters and ESBL genomic determinants within and between One Health compartments. FINDINGS: We found high diversity of ESBL-producing E coli, with 170 sequence types and 166 genomic clusters identified from 2344 genomes, including 1814 genomes from Malawi (907 human, 221 animal, and 686 environmental) and 530 genomes from Uganda (380 human, 147 animal, and three environmental). Sequence type (ST)131 dominated in Malawi (209 [11·5%] of 1814 genomes), and ST10 dominated in Uganda (45 [8·5%] of 530 genomes). Common ESBL genes blaCTX-M-15 (1604 [68·4%] of 2344 genomes) and blaCTX-M-27 (336 [14·3%] of 2344 genomes) were carried on a complex network of 55 and 30 different plasmids. This diversity of plasmids presented multiple pathways for dissemination and revealed high force of selection. Phylogenetic analyses revealed common intermixing of isolates between humans, animals, and the environment. SNP transmission analysis revealed ecologically overlapping clusters, suggesting ESBL-producing E coli co-circulation both within and between compartments with frequent spillover events. Applying a five-SNP threshold, we inferred 463 human-environment transmission events, 146 human-animal events, and 142 animal-environment events. INTERPRETATION: Our work suggests that a One Health approach is crucial to addressing AMR in eastern Africa. Improving water, sanitation, and hygiene systems will create a safer environment, reduce spillovers of AMR bacteria between compartments, and eventually reduce AMR reservoirs in the environment and in animals. FUNDING: Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Wellcome Trust.

Humans↗

PubMed1992

Obesity and body fat distribution in relation to the incidence of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. A prospective cohort study of men in the normative aging study.

The relation between the abdominal accumulation of body fat, total-body adiposity, and blood glucose level and the risk of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus was evaluated prospectively among 1,972 male participants in the Department of Veterans Affairs Normative Aging Study cohort. The risk of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus was assessed by means of the proportional hazards model; 226 cases of diabetes occurred among the 1,972 men (mean age at entry, 41.9 years; range, 22-80 years) over 35,496 person-years of observation. The relation of body mass index to diabetes risk was partly explained by body fat distribution; after adjusting for age, the ratio of abdominal circumference to hip breadth, and cigarette smoking, men in the top tertile for body mass index had a 1.3-fold greater risk of diabetes than did men in the lowest tertile (95% confidence interval 0.9-1.8). Moreover, after adjusting for age, body mass index, and cigarette smoking, men in the top tertile for the ratio of abdominal circumference to hip breadth had a 2.4-fold greater risk of diabetes than did men in the lowest tertile (95% confidence interval 1.7-3.7). When blood glucose was analyzed as a continuous outcome variable, the findings were consistent, i.e., a positive association with abdominal fat independent of total-body adiposity. These results confirm previous reports of a prospective relation between abdominal adiposity and the risk of diabetes and provide prospective evidence of a relation between blood glucose levels and both body fat distribution and obesity.

Abdomen↗