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Results for “SUCRA”

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PubMed2026

Comparative effects of pharmacological interventions in the prophylactic treatment of tension-type headache: systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Tension-type headache (TTH) is the most common neurological disorder. The comparative effect of pharmacological interventions for TTH prophylaxis remains unclear. We aimed to assess the comparative effects of pharmacological interventions in the prophylactic treatment of TTH. METHODS: Ovid Medline, Embase, and Cochrane were searched from inception to 12 December, 2025. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of medications compared to placebo or another medication for preventing TTH were included. The primary outcome was headache days per month. A Bayesian random-effect model was employed as the primary analysis of chronic TTH. RESULTS: Thirty-five RCTs were included, 33 (88.6%) RCTs involved chronic TTH patients, and 24 RCTs provided available data for meta-analysis. Amitriptyline 100 mg presented more reduction of monthly headache days than placebo at 4 and 8 weeks (4 weeks: MD -6.59, 95% CrI -11.22 to -0.64; 8 weeks: MD -6.14, 95% CrI -10.27 to -0.87). BTX-A 100 U can reduce monthly headache days (MD -3.79, 95% CrI -7.16 to -0.33). Amitriptyline 100 mg was the highest-ranked treatment for monthly headache days at 4 (SUCRA 0.85), 8 (SUCRA 0.85), and 24 (SUCRA 0.87) weeks; 12 weeks was lidocaine 25 ml (SUCRA 0.75). Amitriptyline 100 mg and BTX-A 500 U showed a higher adverse event rate than placebo. CONCLUSION: Amitriptyline 100 mg and BTX-A 100 U may be options to reduce monthly headache days in patients with chronic TTH. Given the low to very low certainty of evidence, high risk of bias, and high heterogeneity, more studies are needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42025639586).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Machine learning vs. traditional methods for predicting postoperative cardiac complications after non-cardiac surgery: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate prediction of peri-operative cardiac complications is critical to optimise pre-operative decision-making. Traditional risk prediction scores, such as the Revised Cardiac Risk Index, show only modest discrimination. Machine learning can model complex, non-linear relationships but their predictive performance compared with traditional scores remains unclear. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis. The primary outcome was postoperative adverse cardiac events following non-cardiac surgery. Prediction models were assessed relative to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index. As many studies evaluated multiple versions of each model type, the highest performing ('best version') and lowest performing ('worst version') results were analysed. Models were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). RESULTS: Thirteen studies evaluating 54 models and 927,113 patients were included. Machine learning approaches generally outperformed traditional risk scores. Automated machine learning ranked highest (SUCRA 96.6) showed the greatest improvement in the best version analysis (mean difference (MD) 0.28 (95%CrI 0.16-0.40)) and remained superior in the sensitivity analysis (MD 0.30 (95%CrI 0.14-0.45)). Gradient boosting models showed superior performance over the Revised Cardiac Risk Index across analysis (best version: MD 0.20 (95%CrI 0.14-0.26), worst version: MD 0.18 (95%CrI 0.12-0.25), SUCRA 82.4). The Gupta Perioperative Risk for Myocardial Infarction or Cardiac Arrest score outperformed the Revised Cardiac Risk Index in the best version analysis (MD 0.16 (95%CrI 0.01-0.32)). Between-study heterogeneity was low. None of the included studies externally validated their machine learning models and only six were judged to be at low risk of bias. DISCUSSION: Most machine learning models showed better discrimination than traditional risk scores, with automated machine learning and gradient boosting models ranking highest. However, study quality, calibration reporting and absence of external validation limit immediate clinical adoption. Prospective, multicentre evaluation is required before integration of these models into peri-operative practice.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Comparative Efficacy of Janus Kinase Inhibitors Indicated for Severe Alopecia Areata: A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis and Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison.

Systemic Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKIs) have markedly advanced the therapeutic landscape for alopecia areata (AA). Although baricitinib and ritlecitinib are approved in the United States (US) and Europe, and deuruxolitinib in the US for severe AA, the lack of head-to-head randomized controlled trials (RCTs) limits evidence-based prescribing decisions. Moreover, prior meta-analyses excluded data on certain oral JAKIs or incorporated findings from agents and dosing regimens that were abandoned, investigational, clinically ineffective, or associated with unacceptable safety profiles. To compare the efficacy of oral JAKIs, limited to FDA, EMA, or MHRA approved drugs and doses-baricitinib (2 and 4 mg QD), ritlecitinib (50 mg QD), and deuruxolitinib (8 mg BID)-for severe AA, using advanced indirect comparison methodologies. A systematic review was performed following PRISMA 2020 guidelines (CRD420251116775). Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesized data from RCTs reporting Week 24 outcomes on Severity of Alopecia Tool (SALT) ≤ 10 and SALT ≤ 20 thresholds. Multilevel network meta-regression (ML-NMR) evaluated heterogeneity and adjusted for baseline imbalances. Additionally, unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparisons (MAIC) were conducted using individual patient-level data from THRIVE trials. Surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) values were calculated to rank treatments. Seven RCTs (n = 4560 participants) were included. Deuruxolitinib 8 mg significantly outperformed baricitinib 2 and 4 mg on both SALT endpoints. Differences with ritlecitinib 50 mg were directionally favorable for deuruxolitinib but not statistically significant in NMA and ML-NMR models. MAICs confirmed superior odds for deuruxolitinib versus baricitinib 2 mg (OR = 71.55) and ritlecitinib (OR = 18.27) for SALT ≤ 20. SUCRA rankings also consistently favored deuruxolitinib. Among approved oral JAKIs, deuruxolitinib 8 mg shows the highest short-term efficacy for severe AA. These findings provide preliminary evidence to guide treatment decisions but should be interpreted as exploratory pending confirmation.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Comparative Efficacy of Insulin and Alternative Therapies for Hypertriglyceridemia-Associated Acute Pancreatitis: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis is associated with high triglyceride levels and may lead to significant clinical complications. Rapid TG-lowering strategies, including insulin, therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE), heparin, hemofiltration, and conservative management, are used in clinical practice; however, their comparative efficacy and impact on clinical outcomes remain uncertain. METHODS: Following preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) registration (CRD420251239674), we searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL, Google Scholar, and Cochrane. Primary outcomes included TG reduction, C-reactive protein (CRP), length of stay, mortality, and organ failure. Secondary outcomes included renal and respiratory failure. Random-effects network meta-analyses estimated mean differences or relative risks with 95% confidence intervals; treatments were ranked using the Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking curve (SUCRA). Predefined sensitivity analyses were conducted according to study design (RCTs) and risk of bias (ROB). RESULTS: Across predominantly observational evidence, no intervention demonstrated statistically significant superiority over insulin-based therapy for mortality, organ failure, or length of stay, and no consistent clinical benefit was observed despite differences in biochemical TG reduction. Although some interventions showed relatively favorable SUCRA rankings across selected outcomes, these findings were not consistently supported by statistically significant or high-certainty evidence. In RCT-restricted analyses, therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) significantly reduced TG levels versus insulin (MD - 620.0; p = 0.03) and CRP versus conservative therapy (MD - 0.80; p < 0.01), while insulin plus heparin was associated with shorter hospital stay (MD - 1.60 days; p < 0.01). However, faster triglyceride reduction did not consistently translate into improved mortality, organ failure, ICU-related outcomes, or length of stay. CONCLUSION: Despite improvements in biochemical markers, the clinical significance of rapid TG reduction in HTG-AP remains uncertain, as these effects were not consistently associated with improvements in mortality, organ failure, ICU-related outcomes, or hospital length of stay. Given that most available evidence was derived from nonrandomized studies and that the certainty of evidence was predominantly low or very low, adequately powered randomized controlled trials are needed to determine whether accelerated triglyceride lowering improves clinically meaningful patient outcomes.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Comparative Efficacy of Non-opioid Analgesic Drugs for Chronic Cancer Pain: A Bayesian Network Meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: While opioids remain the primary pharmacological intervention for cancer pain management, their clinical utility is frequently compromised by dose-limiting toxicities. This study aimed to determine the comparative efficacy, opioid-sparing potential, and clinical hierarchy of non-opioid adjuvant drug classes. The study was structured around the PICO framework to evaluate the pharmacological strategies currently utilized in multimodal clinical oncology. METHODS: A systematic search of electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane) was conducted for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published between 2000 and 2025. The primary outcome was global analgesic efficacy (standardized mean difference [SMD]), while secondary outcomes included the opioid-sparing effect, defined as the percentage reduction in morphine equivalent daily dose (MEDD) and the incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (Harms). A Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to rank treatments using SUCRA values. The methodological quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias (RoB 2.0) tool. RESULTS: Twenty-three RCTs (n = 1845) met the inclusion criteria. Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (-1.10) and anticonvulsants (-1.06) demonstrated the most robust analgesic effects. The SUCRA ranking confirmed a clear hierarchy, with the combination of anticonvulsants and antidepressants showing the highest probability of efficacy. A significant opioid-sparing effect was observed for gabapentinoids and ketamine, facilitating MEDD reduction. While serious adverse events were rare, minor harms (somnolence, dizziness) were more frequent in the most effective classes. CONCLUSION: Our NMA provides a robust evidence base for a "Clinical Tier" system, ranking adjuvants by their balance of efficacy and safety. These findings support the early integration of Tier I agents (anticonvulsants and NSAIDs) to optimize pain control and reduce opioid-related toxicities in chronic cancer pain management.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Comparative effectiveness of percutaneous coronary intervention strategies for coronary small-vessel disease: a network meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: Coronary small-vessel disease (SVD) remains challenging for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) because small lumens magnify restenosis and ischemic risk. Multiple devices are available, yet their comparative performance is uncertain. This study evaluated and ranked PCI strategies for SVD. METHODS: A systematic review and network meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with PRISMA. PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched from inception to 15 August 2025. Eligible studies were English-language randomized controlled trials enrolling adults with angiographic SVD defined as reference vessel diameter ≤3.0 mm, comparing PCI strategies, and reporting target lesion revascularization (TLR), binary restenosis (BR), or myocardial infarction (MI). A frequentist random-effects network meta-analysis generated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and treatment rankings using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). RESULTS: Thirty-nine trials including 14,503 patients met the criteria. For TLR (37 studies; 11,980 patients), the highest SUCRA values were observed with sirolimus-eluting stents (SES 90.1%), zotarolimus-eluting stents (ZES 83.9%), and everolimus-eluting stents (EES 82.2%). For BR (32; 6,468), SES, ZES, and paclitaxel-coated balloons (DCB-PTX) ranked highest (95.0%, 80.0%, and 78.3%). For MI (37; 11,602), SES, DCB-PTX, and ZES ranked highest (79.0%, 78.7%, and 68.5%). Representative effects showed SES reduced TLR versus bare-metal stents (BMS) (OR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.15-0.43) and MI versus BMS (OR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21-0.79). Conventional approaches such as BMS, plain old balloon angioplasty (POBA), and gold-plated balloon angioplasty (GPBA) ranked lowest across outcomes. CONCLUSION: SES provides the most consistent clinical benefit for coronary SVD. ZES, EES, and DCB-PTX are effective alternatives in selected settings, whereas BMS, POBA, and GPBA are less effective. These findings offer comparative evidence to guide device selection in SVD.

Humans↗