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OBJECTIVE: Scoring poorly on the health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) has recently been shown to be a strong predictor of morbidity and mortality in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), while a good HAQ score is predictive of a better outcome. In patients presenting with early diffuse scleroderma prognosis is variable. Our goal was to determine possible baseline predictors of future good outcomes. METHODS: We used the raw data from two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in early diffuse scleroderma: methotrexate (Pope et al.) and D-penicillamine (Clements et al.). Subjects in the methotrexate trial were divided into the following groups: (1) those with at least 20% improvement in the primary outcome measurements [patient global assessment, physician global assessment, UCLA skin tethering score, modified Rodnan skin score (MRSS), DLCO as % predicted and HAQ disability] at 1 yr vs (2) the others. Baseline factors (including age, gender, skin scores, physician and patient global assessments, HAQ disability and pain scores, DLCO and physical parameters) were analysed to find baseline variables strongly correlated with later improvement. These variables were explored in the D-penicillamine trial to determine if (in a separate trial) they were still predictive of improved outcome at 1 and 2 yr. Adjusted models were used to find baseline predictors of good outcome. The median HAQ-DI was 1.3 (methotrexate) and 1.0 (D-penicillamine). RESULTS: A baseline HAQ disability score of less than the median was predictive of at least a 20% improvement at 1 and 2 yr with odds ratios of 1.77 to 5.05, in four of the five outcome measurements (in both groups); with strongly significant P values for 3 of 5 outcomes (UCLA skin score, MRSS, patient global skin score; P<0.02) from the methotrexate study group. These three outcomes were strongly correlated with improvement (r between 0.25 and 0.35). Although data from the D-penicillamine trial were less convincing, in both trials the less than median HAQ-DI and HAQ pain scores showed a stronger association with improved outcome, more so than age, gender, skin score and baseline global assessment. CONCLUSION: A low baseline HAQ (defined as less than the median HAQ score) is predictive of improved outcome in diffuse scleroderma at 1 and 2 yr.
A case of disseminated, circumscribed scleroderma with diffuse scleroderma of the acrosclerotic type is reported. The relationship between circumscribed and diffuse scleroderma is discussed. Obstructive changes of peripheral vessels are an early feature of scleroderma.
OBJECTIVE: Early diffuse scleroderma (systemic sclerosis; SSc) has no proven treatment. This study was undertaken to examine the efficacy of methotrexate (MTX) in improving the skin and other disease parameters in early diffuse SSc. METHODS: Seventy-one patients with diffuse SSc of <3 years' duration were enrolled in a multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. Thirty-five patients were treated with MTX and 36 with placebo. Treatment was administered for 12 months. The primary outcome measures were skin score (as determined with 2 different indices) and physician global assessment. RESULTS: At baseline, there were no statistically significant differences in skin scores, carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLco), physician global assessment, or other secondary outcome measurements between the 2 treatment groups. At study completion, results slightly favored the MTX group (mean +/- SEM modified Rodnan skin score 21.4+/-2.8 in the MTX group versus 26.3+/-2.1 in the placebo group [P < 0.17]; UCLA skin score 8.8+/-1.2 in the MTX group versus 11.0+/-0.9 in the placebo group [P < 0.15]; DLco in the MTX group 75.7+/-4.6 versus 61.8+/-3.4 in the placebo group [P < 0.2]). In addition, physician global assessment results favored MTX (P < 0.035), whereas patient global assessment did not differ significantly between groups. When between-group differences for changes in scores from baseline to 12 months were examined using intent-to-treat methodology, MTX appeared to have a favorable effect on skin scores (modified Rodnan score -4.3 in the MTX group versus 1.8 in the placebo group [P < 0.009]; UCLA score -1.2 in the MTX group versus 1.2 in the placebo group [P < 0.02]), but differences in the degree of change in the DLco and physician global assessment were not significant. For the UCLA skin score, these differences in results were not statistically significant after adjustment for baseline differences in sex distribution and steroid use. Dropout rates were similar in the 2 groups. CONCLUSION: Although results of this trial demonstrated a trend in favor of MTX versus placebo in the treatment of early diffuse SSc, the between-group differences were small and the power to rule out false-negative results was only 50%. Our findings do not provide evidence that MTX is significantly effective in the treatment of early diffuse SSc.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency and severity of kidney abnormalities in patients with diffuse scleroderma. METHODS: All patients with diffuse scleroderma seen at the University of Pittsburgh between 1972 and 1993 were included in the study. Kidney function tests were routinely obtained as part of the Pittsburgh Scleroderma Outcome Study. Additional kidney tests were obtained as part of the 1992 biannual outcome assessment. Patients who had kidney abnormalities including a serum creatinine > 1.2 mg/dl or proteinuria prior to 1993 were identified. The clinical setting and longterm outcome of kidney disease were evaluated. RESULTS: Renal crisis occurred in 129/675 (19.5%) patients. Kidney function abnormalities or proteinuria were present in 173 (26%); 48% had no abnormalities. Most patients had other explanations for the abnormality. Only 12 (2%) of the 675 patients with diffuse scleroderma had no explanation for the elevated creatinine level. Most patients with proteinuria had toxicity from D-penicillamine. No explanations for proteinuria were found in 16 (2%) of this cohort. Thus, a total of only 28 (4%) of these 675 patients had an unknown cause for their kidney dysfunction or proteinuria. None of these patients, who were followed for a mean of 10 years after onset of scleroderma, have developed chronic renal insufficiency that progressed to dialysis. CONCLUSION: Patients with diffuse scleroderma without renal crisis rarely have significant increases in serum creatinine or proteinuria that cannot be explained by other etiologies. These patients with scleroderma should be carefully evaluated for non-scleroderma causes of kidney disease.
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