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Results for “Treatment Effect Heterogeneity”

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PubMed2025

Unveiling non-small cell lung cancer treatment effect heterogeneity: a comparative analysis of statistical methods.

BACKGROUND: For patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer lacking targetable genomic alterations, the impact of clinicogenomic characteristics on the effectiveness of combining chemotherapy with immunotherapy is unclear. METHODS: We evaluated 4 statistical methods for detecting heterogeneous treatment effects related to clinical factors, including programmed death-ligand 1 expression, tumor mutation burden, and stage at diagnosis, using the American Association for Cancer Research Project Genomics Evidence Neoplasia Exchange BioPharma Collaborative dataset supplemented with institutional data collected under the same data curation model. A 2-sided P value of no more than .05 was used to denote statistical significance for all analyses. RESULTS: The mixture model revealed 2 latent subgroups: in one subgroup, there was no meaningful treatment effect, with average progression-free survival (PFS) only 5% longer with immunotherapy alone (95% confidence interval [CI] = -19% to 35%); in the second subgroup, immunotherapy alone was associated with a 35% decrease in average PFS (95% CI = -59% to 2%), corresponding to a ratio in treatment effects of 1.62 (95% CI = 1.02 to 2.57). There was a marginal association between lower tumor mutation burden levels and membership in the subgroup with improved PFS following receipt of chemoimmunotherapy. The causal survival forest highlighted the importance of tumor mutation burden (variable importance ranking: 1) and programmed death-ligand 1 (variable importance ranking: 3) when assessing heterogeneity. In contrast, the accelerated failure time and Cox proportional hazards models did not detect any statistically significant heterogeneous treatment effects. In simulations, the mixture model identified heterogeneous treatment effects more frequently than other methods, especially with weak covariate relationships, demonstrating its utility for informing personalized treatment approaches. CONCLUSIONS: The application of novel statistical methods to large scale clinico-genomic databases offers an opportunity to more accurately identify heterogeneous treatment effects in some settings as compared to traditional statistical methods. Applying such methods to the AACR Project GENIE BPC non-small cell lung cancer data indicated a potential association between decreasing tumor mutation burden and improved outcomes with chemoimmunotherapy as compared to immunotherapy alone.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

ALID score for treatment-effect heterogeneity of adjunctive low-voltage area ablation in persistent atrial fibrillation: A post hoc analysis of SUPPRESS-AF.

BACKGROUND: In persistent atrial fibrillation (AF), the incremental benefit of adjunctive low-voltage area (LVA) ablation beyond pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) remains inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether a simple clinical score characterizes treatment-effect heterogeneity of adjunctive LVA ablation among patients with mapped LVA > 5 cm2 and to perform an exploratory supportive analysis in an independent randomized cohort. METHODS: In this post-hoc analysis of SUPPRESS-AF, which included patients with persistent AF and mapped LVA > 5 cm2 after PVI, four variables-age ≥ 75 years, left atrial diameter > 44 mm, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and absence of diabetes-were combined into the ALID score (0-4). Patients were stratified into low (0-1), intermediate (2), and high (3-4) score groups. Because EARNEST-PVI did not use LVA-guided ablation or select patients based on mapped LVA, it was analyzed as an exploratory supportive cohort rather than as an external validation cohort. RESULTS: In SUPPRESS-AF (n = 336), a significant treatment-by-score interaction was observed (P < 0.001). Adjunctive LVA ablation was associated with increased recurrence in the low-score stratum (HR 3.92; 95% CI 1.50-10.20) and reduced recurrence in the high-score stratum (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.26-0.86). In EARNEST-PVI (n = 494), a qualitatively similar interaction pattern was observed for additional ablation beyond PVI (interaction P = 0.029), although the ablation strategy differed from LVA-guided ablation. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with persistent AF and mapped LVA >5 cm2, the ALID score identified heterogeneity in response to adjunctive LVA ablation. These hypothesis-generating findings require prospective validation before clinical implementation.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Racial outcomes in patients with diabetic cardiomyopathy treated with an aldose reductase inhibitor: the ARISE-HF trial.

BACKGROUND: Racial and ethnic differences in diabetic cardiomyopathy (DbCM) exist, with black and Hispanic participants showing poorer health status. It remains unclear whether these differences affect the natural progression of the disease. We aimed to evaluate disease progression in individuals with DbCM, as well as racial differences in the response to AT-001. METHODS: A total of 625 participants with DbCM were randomised to either placebo or AT-001 and followed for 15 months. The primary outcome was change in peak oxygen uptake (peak VO2) and secondary outcomes included Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) and Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly scores. Analyses were stratified by race and ethnicity (black, Hispanic, white). RESULTS: Black and Hispanic participants who received placebo experienced greater declines in peak VO2 (-0.74 and -1.67 mL/kg/min, respectively) compared with white participants (-0.23 mL/kg/min, p=0.005). AT-001 demonstrated a non-statistically significant trend towards slower declines in peak VO2 in black and Hispanic participants (-0.31 and -0.62 mL/kg/min, p=0.29, respectively). Black participants who received placebo had the largest declines in most KCCQ scores. CONCLUSION: Black and Hispanic participants with DbCM experienced faster disease progression, with black participants showing the most pronounced functional and quality of life declines. The effect of AT-001 on peak VO2 changes was not statistically significant with similar effects between racial and ethnic groups (NCT04083339). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04083339.

Aged↗

PubMed1992

The impact of stopping rules on heterogeneity of results in overviews of clinical trials.

This paper explores the extent to which application of statistical stopping rules in clinical trials can create an artificial heterogeneity of treatment effects in overviews (meta-analyses) of related trials. For illustration, we concentrate on overviews of identically designed group sequential trials, using either fixed nominal or O'Brien and Fleming two-sided boundaries. Some analytic results are obtained for two-group designs and simulation studies are otherwise used, with the following overall findings. The use of stopping rules leads to biased estimates of treatment effect so that the assessment of heterogeneity of results in an overview of trials, some of which have used stopping rules, is confounded by this bias. If the true treatment effect being studied is small, as is often the case, then artificial heterogeneity is introduced, thus increasing the Type I error rate in the test of homogeneity. This could lead to erroneous use of a random effects model, producing exaggerated estimates and confidence intervals. However, if the true mean effect is large, then between-trial heterogeneity may be underestimated. When undertaking or interpreting overviews, one should ascertain whether stopping rules have been used (either formally or informally) and should consider whether their use might account for any heterogeneity found.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed1991

Using empirical Bayes methods in biopharmaceutical research.

A compound sampling model, where a unit-specific parameter is sampled from a prior distribution and then observed are generated by a sampling distribution depending on the parameter, underlies a wide variety of biopharmaceutical data. For example, in a multi-centre clinical trial the true treatment effect varies from centre to centre. Observed treatment effects deviate from these true effects through sampling variation. Knowledge of the prior distribution allows use of Bayesian analysis to compute the posterior distribution of clinic-specific treatment effects (frequently summarized by the posterior mean and variance). More commonly, with the prior not completely specified, observed data can be used to estimate the prior and use it to produce the posterior distribution: an empirical Bayes (or variance component) analysis. In the empirical Bayes model the estimated prior mean gives the typical treatment effect and the estimated prior standard deviation indicates the heterogeneity of treatment effects. In both the Bayes and empirical Bayes approaches, estimated clinic effects are shrunken towards a common value from estimates based on single clinics. This shrinkage produces more efficient estimates. In addition, the compound model helps structure approaches to ranking and selection, provides adjustments for multiplicity, allows estimation of the histogram of clinic-specific effects, and structures incorporation of external information. This paper outlines the empirical Bayes approach. Coverage will include development and comparison of approaches based on parametric priors (for example, a Gaussian prior with unknown mean and variance) and non-parametric priors, discussion of the importance of accounting for uncertainty in the estimated prior, comparison of the output and interpretation of fixed and random effects approaches to estimating population values, estimating histograms, and identification of key considerations in the use and interpretation of empirical Bayes methods.

Bayes Theorem↗

PubMed1989

Prophylaxis of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in intensive care units: a meta-analysis.

A meta-analysis was performed of 15 randomized studies on the prophylaxis with cimetidine and/or ant-acids of upper GI bleeding acquired in the ICU. There were eight comparisons of a group receiving cimetidine with a control group, nine comparisons of a group receiving antacids with a control group, and ten comparisons of a group receiving cimetidine with a group receiving antacids. The incidence of upper GI bleeding ranged from 3.4% to 52.7% among 866 control patients who received either a placebo or no prophylaxis. In five of eight comparisons, cimetidine was significantly more effective than no treatment or a placebo to prevent occult and overt upper GI bleeding; the typical odds ratio was 0.32 (95% confidence interval 0.21 to 0.49). In six of nine comparisons, antacids were significantly more effective than no treatment or a placebo; the typical odds ratio was 0.12 (0.08 to 0.19). Finally, antacids were significantly more effective than cimetidine in two of ten comparisons; the typical odds ratio was 1.61 (0.97 to 2.65). However, weaknesses in the study designs, heterogeneity of treatment effects, the lack of strength of the accumulated evidence, and the fact that no utility has been shown in terms of reducing morbidity (shock, need for transfusion) or mortality, prevent any definitive conclusion in regard to compulsory use of upper GI bleeding prophylaxis for ICU patients.

Antacids↗

PubMed2026

Family-Wise Error Rate Control in Clinical Trials With Overlapping Populations.

We consider clinical trials with multiple, overlapping patient populations that test multiple treatment policies specifically tailored to these populations. Such designs may lead to multiplicity issues, as false statements will affect several populations. For type I error control, often the family-wise error rate (FWER) is controlled, which is the probability to reject at least one true null hypothesis. If the joint distribution of the test statistics is known, the FWER level can be exhausted by determining critical values or adjusted-levels. The adjustment is typically done under the common ANOVA assumptions. However, the performed tests are then only valid under the rather strong assumption of homogeneous null effects, that is, when the null hypothesis applies to all subpopulations and their intersections. We show that under cancelling null effects, when heterogeneous effects cancel out in some or all subpopulations, this procedure does not provide FWER control. We also suggest different alternatives and compare them in terms of FWER control and their power.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Differential Proteomic Profiling of Responders and Non-responders to Direct-Acting Antivirals Treatment in Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection.

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV), particularly genotype 3 (GT-3), is highly prevalent in India and is associated with faster progression to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and higher treatment failure rates. Although Direct-Acting Antivirals (DAAs) have revolutionized HCV therapy, 5-10% of patients fail to achieve sustained virological response (SVR). This proteomic study aimed to identify changes in the proteomic profile before and after treatment of both responders and non-responders to HCV treatment. Paired plasma samples from HCV GT-3 infected patients were collected before and 12 weeks after initiating DAAs treatment, along with healthy controls. Quantitative proteomic analysis was performed on the paired samples. Differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) were identified and subjected to functional analysis including gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis. GSEA revealed enrichment in extracellular matrix organization and innate immune pathways. Expression patterns of candidate proteins selected based on fold change and false discovery rate (FDR) criteria were further evaluated in an independent cohort. Western blot confirmed key expression trends of candidate proteins. Proteins linked to extracellular matrix remodeling and angiogenesis showed differential expression patterns. Successful validation of these candidate proteins in large independent cohorts holds potential to predict therapeutic outcomes.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Blood Pressure Lowering and Risk of Cancer: Individual Participant-Level Data Meta-Analysis and Mendelian Randomization Studies.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacologic blood pressure (BP) lowering is typically a lifelong treatment, and both clinicians and patients may have concerns about the long-term use of antihypertensive agents and the risk for cancer. However, evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarding the effect of long-term pharmacologic BP lowering on the risk for new-onset cancer is limited, with most knowledge derived from observational studies. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess whether long-term BP lowering affects the risk for new-onset cancer, cause-specific cancer death, and selected site-specific cancers. METHODS: Individual-level data from 42 RCTs were pooled using a one-stage individual participant data meta-analysis. The primary outcome was incident cancer of all types, and secondary outcomes were cause-specific cancer death and selected site-specific cancers. Prespecified subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the heterogeneity of the BP-lowering effect by baseline variables and over follow-up time. Cox proportional hazards regression, stratified by trial, was used for the statistical analysis. For site-specific cancers, analyses were complemented with Mendelian randomization, using naturally randomized genetic variants associated with BP lowering to mimic the design of a long-term RCT. RESULTS: Data from 314,016 randomly allocated participants without known cancer at baseline were analyzed. Over a median follow-up of 4 years (Q1-Q3: 3-5 years), 17,954 participants (5.7%) developed cancer, and 4,878 (1.5%) died of cancer. In the individual participant data meta-analysis, no associations were found between reductions in systolic or diastolic BP and cancer risk (HR per 5 mm Hg reduction in systolic BP: 1.03 [95% CI: 0.99-1.06]; HR per 3 mm Hg reduction in diastolic BP: 1.03 [95% CI: 0.98-1.07]). No changes in relative risk for incident cancer were observed over follow-up time, nor was there evidence of heterogeneity in treatment effects across baseline subgroups. No effect on cause-specific cancer death was found. For site-specific cancers, no evidence of an effect was observed, except a possible link with lung cancer risk (HR for systolic BP reduction: 1.17; 99.5% CI: 1.02-1.32). Mendelian randomization studies showed no association between systolic or diastolic BP reduction and site-specific cancers, including overall lung cancer and its subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: Randomized data analysis provided no evidence to indicate that pharmacologic BP lowering has a substantial impact, either increasing or decreasing, on the risk for incident cancer, cause-specific cancer death, or selected site-specific cancers.

epidemiology↗

PubMed2026

Emulated trial of artificial intelligence use and subsequent depressive outcomes in a survey of US adults.

BACKGROUND: Generative artificial intelligence (AI) use has been suggested to have adverse mental health consequences but a causal relationship has not been examined. OBJECTIVE: To simulate a randomised controlled trial of AI use in a work, school or personal context by applying target trial emulation to multiple waves of data from a nationally representative survey. METHODS: We conducted a target trial emulation using non-probability survey data from three waves of a nationally representative survey conducted between 18 June 2024 and 8 January 2025. Participants aged ≥18 years reported generative AI use frequency at baseline. High-frequency use was defined as multiple times per week or more. The primary outcome was depressive symptom severity measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire 9-item (PHQ-9) at follow-up. Generalised causal forests assessed heterogeneity of treatment effects. FINDINGS: Among 19 099 participants assessed at baseline, 2862 (15.0%) reported AI use at least multiple times per week. A subset of 3109 (16.3%) returned for follow-up. In the primary weighted analysis, high-frequency use was not significantly associated with change in PHQ-9 score at follow-up (mean difference -0.18, 95% CI -0.94 to 0.59; p=0.65). Multiple sensitivity analyses using alternate outcome definitions also did not identify significant causal effects. Generalised causal forests yielded no significant evidence of heterogeneity of effect (p=0.81). CONCLUSIONS: In an emulated randomised trial among US adults, generative AI use was not associated with subsequent depressive symptoms. This result does not support the premise that AI use causes greater depressive symptoms, although adverse outcomes among vulnerable individuals cannot be excluded. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: AI use is unlikely to cause increased depressive symptoms among most US adults. Continued monitoring should clarify potential risks among vulnerable populations.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Corticosteroids in ARDS: old controversies, new insights, and future directions.

Corticosteroids modulate key inflammatory and fibroproliferative pathways involved in ARDS through genomic and non-genomic glucocorticoid receptor signaling. Advances in ARDS pathophysiology have highlighted the importance of timing, inflammatory burden, and host response in determining treatment efficacy. Clinical evidence supports corticosteroid use in moderate-to-severe ARDS, particularly in COVID-19 ARDS and severe community-acquired pneumonia, with reductions in mortality and duration of mechanical ventilation. However, treatment effects remain heterogeneous across etiologies and biological subphenotypes. Recent identification of hyperinflammatory and hypoinflammatory ARDS phenotypes suggests that corticosteroid responsiveness is not uniform. Hyperinflammatory phenotypes and septic ARDS appear more likely to benefit, whereas evidence remains limited or conflicting in influenza-associated and non-septic ARDS. Long-term effects and adverse outcomes, including metabolic complications and ICU-acquired weakness, remain insufficiently characterized. Future research is increasingly focused on precision medicine approaches integrating biomarkers, adaptive platform trials, and phenotype-guided strategies. Emerging developments include lung-targeted corticosteroid delivery systems and selective glucocorticoid receptor modulators designed to improve efficacy while reducing systemic toxicity. Corticosteroids should therefore be considered a context-dependent therapy whose benefit is influenced by etiology, disease stage, inflammatory phenotype, and timing of administration.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Disentangling Sex Differences in Sulfonylurea Drug Response With Genome-Wide Association Studies in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes.

Sulfonylureas are a cornerstone of type 2 diabetes therapy despite interindividual variability in response. Despite well-documented sex-based differences, pharmacogenomic and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have largely overlooked sex as a biological variable. We conducted the first sex-stratified GWAS of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) response to sulfonylureas in Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) clinical trial participants (N = 871). Variants meeting genome-wide (P < 5.0 × 10-8) and suggestive (P < 5.0 × 10-6) significance were assessed for replication in the Pharmacogenomics of Metformin (PMET1) cohort. Replicated variants were further analyzed in the Study to Understand the Genetics of the Acute Response to Metformin and Glipizide in Humans (SUGAR-MGH) cohort to assess acute insulin and glucose responses to a single glipizide dose. Genome-wide significant loci with sex-specific effects were identified: KAZN, KIF2B, SLC39A10, and SPINK5 (combined-sex); CRACR2A, KCNK2, and TENM2 (male-only); and NACPH2 (female-only). Two suggestive variants in the TMEM64/NECAB1 locus, associated with reduced HbA1c response to sulfonylureas in the male-only ACCORD analysis, were directly replicated in the PMET1 male-only cohort. In SUGAR-MGH, one replicated variant (rs6471250-C) was significantly associated with reduced peak insulin in males (P = 0.035) but not females (P = 0.40), demonstrating sex-specific functional effects. This study identified statistically supported and biologically plausible loci with prior evidence linking nearby genes to pathways relevant to sulfonylurea action, including insulin secretion, insulin regulation/sensitivity, calcium signaling, potassium-channel biology, and glucose transport. The findings highlight sex-specific differences in sulfonylurea response, providing mechanistic insights and underscoring the importance of sex-specific precision medicine. Identification of genetic variants influencing sex-specific response could inform dosing to optimize sulfonylureas.

Humans↗

PubMed1990

Hierarchical models for multicentre binary response studies.

A three-stage hierarchical model is proposed for two treatment, binary response studies conducted in a number of centres. The approach adopted is Bayesian. Marginal densities for second stage parameters are shown to provide useful summaries both of comparative efficacy and of the heterogeneity of treatment effects across centres. Sensitivity studies of model assumptions are illustrated.

Bayes Theorem↗

PubMed2026

Exploring sex differences in endocannabinoid system biomarkers and their relationship with antidepressant treatment outcomes in major depressive disorder: a CAN-BIND 1 secondary analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sex differences in major depressive disorder (MDD) are well documented, but it remains unclear whether sex-related variation in peripheral endocannabinoid system (ECS)-related biomarkers is detectable in MDD. OBJECTIVES: To examine baseline sex differences in ECS-related mRNA expression, DNA methylation, and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in MDD, and associations between baseline ECS markers and antidepressant outcomes in sex-stratified analyses. METHODS: Among 178 participants with MDD from CAN-BIND-1, all received escitalopram for 8 weeks; non-responders then received adjunctive aripiprazole from Weeks 8-16.Response was defined as ≥ 50% reduction in MADRS score, and remission as MADRS ≤ 10. ANCOVAs examined baseline sex differences and sex-stratified biomarker associations with percent MADRS reduction at Weeks 8 and 16, as well as categorical response and remission outcomes. Covariates included site, baseline MADRS, age, and ethnicity. False discovery rate correction was applied. RESULTS: Baseline sex differences in methylation were observed for CACNA1H, GABRB2, MAGL, and GABRR2, though none survived correction. No baseline sex differences in mRNA expression or SNPs were detected after correction. Lower baseline DAGLA mRNA in males was associated with greater Week 8 symptom improvement (FDR corrected). This association was not observed in females. No associations with response or remission at Weeks 8 or 16 survived correction. IMPLICATIONS: Baseline sex differences in peripheral ECS-related markers were not detected in this sample. Larger studies are needed to verify whether ECS-related biomarkers, particularly DAGLA, contribute to antidepressant outcomes in a sex-specific manner.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Sex differences in sleep and alcohol consumption outcomes following a digital insomnia intervention.

BACKGROUND: Poor sleep is a well-established risk factor for heavy drinking, and evidence suggests that sleep could serve as a potential treatment target for reducing alcohol consumption. The relationship between poor sleep and problematic drinking appears to be stronger among females, but no studies to date have assessed sex differences in alcohol consumption following insomnia treatment. Here, we combine the samples from two clinical trials to investigate sex differences in the effects of a digital cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (Sleep Healthy Using the Internet; SHUTi) on sleep and alcohol outcomes. METHODS: 184 heavy drinking individuals with insomnia (weekly binge episodes: 4/5 + drinks in one sitting for females/males; AUDIT score >7; ISI score >14) were randomly assigned to either the SHUTi program (n = 102) or an active control program (n = 82). Participants completed self-report assessments at baseline, immediately following the 9-week intervention period, and at 3 and 6-months post-intervention. RESULTS: Linear mixed effects models showed that SHUTi effects over time were stronger among females than males for improved sleep outcomes and reduced frequency of total and heavy drinking days (ps ≤ 0.038). Follow-up comparisons of within-group effect sizes revealed consistently larger reductions in alcohol consumption among SHUTi females (Cohen's d range = 0.92-2.23) than SHUTi males (Cohen's d range = 0.65-1.95). CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that SHUTi may be more efficacious in improving sleep and reducing drinking among females with insomnia compared to males. These results could have important implications for sex-specific prevention and treatment efforts for heavy drinking individuals with insomnia.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Precision Optimization of Behavioral Activation for Major and Subthreshold Depression: A Meta-Analysis of Exploring Dose-Response Relationships and Moderating Factors.

OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy of behavioral activation (BA) in adolescents with subthreshold depression (SD) or major depressive disorder (MDD), exploring dose-response relationships and moderating factors. METHOD: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, EBSCO, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) through December 31, 2024. Risk of bias was assessed using RoB-2, and evidence quality with Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE). Analyses were performed with R, using standardized mean difference (SMD) for continuous variables and meta-regression for dose-response relationships. Subgroup analyses included symptom severity, intervention setting, delivery format, and parental involvement. The primary outcome was the reduction in depressive symptoms (PROSPERO: CRD42023444273). RESULTS: A total of 14 studies were included (11 RCTs meta-analyzed, comprising 572 participants). BA demonstrated a moderate effect size compared to treatment-as-usual (SMD = -0.42) and a large effect size compared to no-treatment controls (SMD = -0.87). BA was more effective for mild depressive symptoms (SMD = -0.93) than severe symptoms (SMD = -0.43), with significant efficacy in university settings (SMD = -0.94). Intervention without parental involvement exhibited significantly larger effects than those with parental participation (SMD = -0.94 vs -0.38; p < .0001), although this finding was likely confounded by age, symptom severity, and intervention setting. BA moderately improved both behavioral activation levels and functioning (SMD = 0.49). CONCLUSION: Short-term, school-based BA is significantly beneficial for older adolescents with mild depressive symptoms. Findings provide practical guidance for optimizing BA implementation and highlight directions for future research, including the need for larger sample sizes, standardized follow-up assessments, and more representative samples. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: This meta-analysis evaluated the effectiveness of behavioral activation (BA), a therapeutic approach focused on improving positive activities, in adolescents with subthreshold depression or major depressive disorder. Based on 14 included studies and 572 participants, BA was found to be more effective for subthreshold compared to major depression. These findings suggest a promising role for BA as an early intervention tool in adolescent depression. STUDY REGISTRATION INFORMATION: Precision Optimization of Behavioral Activation for Major and Subthreshold Depression: A Meta-Analysis of Exploring Dose-response Relationships and Moderating Factors; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD42023444273. DIVERSITY & INCLUSION STATEMENT: We worked to ensure sex and gender balance in the recruitment of human participants. We worked to ensure race, ethnic, and/or other types of diversity in the recruitment of human participants. We worked to ensure that the study questionnaires were prepared in an inclusive way. Diverse cell lines and/or genomic datasets were not available. We actively worked to promote sex and gender balance in our author group.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Systemic biomarkers of treatment response to methotrexate in people with painful knee osteoarthritis: A biological substudy of the PROMOTE randomised controlled clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: Stratification of therapeutic responses may help identify efficacious therapies for osteoarthritis (OA). In the PROMOTE randomised trial, participants with elevated baseline high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) showed greater pain reduction after methotrexate treatment. We set out to interrogate a broader panel of serum/plasma inflammatory response markers relevant to methotrexate actions as potential biomarkers of therapeutic effect. Our objectives were to: (i) characterize changes in these systemic markers during methotrexate treatment; determine whether (ii) baseline levels or (iii) changes in any marker during treatment were associated with treatment response; and (iv) compare these findings with the more established clinical inflammatory marker, hs-CRP. DESIGN: Plasma/serum samples from participants in PROMOTE's biological substudy were analysed for 35 inflammatory markers at baseline (pre-treatment) and at 6-months (post-treatment), by MesoScale V-plex multiplex assay. Those with paired biological and clinical data at both baseline and 6-months were included in the substudy analysis set. Relationships between markers and overall data structure were assessed by Pearson correlation and Principal Component analysis. Associations between markers (baseline levels or change over time) and change in average knee pain severity in past week (numerical rating scale, NRS) were evaluated by univariable linear regression, adjusting for baseline age, sex, and body mass index. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression with bootstrap resampling enabled marker selection. Benjamini-Hochberg correction adjusted for multiple testing (Padj). RESULTS: 87 participants with paired blood marker and clinical data were eligible for substudy analysis. 18/35 markers were quantifiable and analysed. Systemic IL-8 and TNF-α levels decreased (Padj=0.015, 0.048 respectively) while IL-15 increased (Padj=0.033) with methotrexate treatment over 6-months. Analysing within this active treatment randomised arm, higher baseline IFN-γ was associated with greater reduction in NRS pain change (0.66 [0.01, 1.31], P=0.047), as was decreasing TNF-α over 6-months (2.25 [0.00, 4.5], P=0.049). LASSO identified higher IFN-γ, lower plasma IL-15 and IL-16, and younger age as the most important baseline predictors of pain improvement. hs-CRP was highly selected by LASSO for treatment response in both arms. In a secondary univariate treatment arm-by-biomarker interaction analysis, of the 19 markers, only hs-CRP showed consistent effects in adjusted models (at baseline, coeffic. 2.34 [0.53, 4.15], P=0.001; change over 6-months, (0.36 [0.06, 0.66], P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Blood measurement of IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-15 and IL-16 as well as hs-CRP could act as potential markers to stratify the treatment response by average knee pain to methotrexate in knee osteoarthritis.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Characteristics of post-exercise responders versus non-responders following aerobic or isometric exercise in physically inactive adults of African and South Asian descent with high-normal blood pressure or grade I hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate interindividual variability in post-exercise hypotension (PEH) and to characterise cardiovascular and autonomic differences between responders and non-responders following aerobic and isometric exercise in adults of African and South Asian descent with elevated blood pressure (BP). METHODS: Physically inactive adults of African and South Asian descent living in Suriname (18-65 years) with high-normal BP or grade I hypertension participated in a randomised controlled crossover trial. In this randomised cross-over trial, 47 adults (50.1 ± 10.8 years; 38% male) with high-normal blood pressure or grade I hypertension completed three conditions: aerobic exercise (30 min at 40-60% heart rate reserve), isometric handgrip exercise, and a non-exercise control. Ambulatory BP was assessed over 24 h. PEH was defined as the net effect: (post-exercise - pre-exercise) - (post-control - pre-control). Participants were classified as responders if daytime BP decreased ≥5 mmHg. Arterial stiffness, cardiac, and autonomic parameters were assessed. RESULTS: Following aerobic exercise, 46% of participants were classified as systolic responders compared with 28% after isometric exercise. No baseline differences were observed in demographic or clinical characteristics between responders and non-responders, suggesting that PEH variability may reflect underlying physiological rather than clinical differences. Aerobic responders demonstrated greater reductions in aortic augmentation index (-19.4% vs. -10.9%, p = 0.05), larger increases in stroke volume (+8.1 vs. -5.3 mL, p = 0.05) and cardiac output (+1.54 ± 1.89 vs. +0.58 ± 1.60 L/min, p = 0.009), and more favourable autonomic recovery. Among all variables, only the change in cardiac output was associated with PEH magnitude (r = -0.46, p = 0.006). No consistent physiological differences were observed following isometric exercise. CONCLUSION: PEH following aerobic exercise is characterised by a distinct responder phenotype associated with greater reductions in aortic augmentation index and favourable cardiac adaptations. These findings highlight substantial interindividual variability in BP responses and support the need for individualised exercise strategies in hypertension management.

Adolescent↗