PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “ctDNA”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Longitudinal ctDNA tracking in early and recurrent breast cancer using an ultrasensitive structural variant-based assay: an extended analysis from the TRACER study.

BACKGROUND: Detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) following curative-intent therapy is prognostic of disease recurrence in early-stage breast cancer (EBC). An ultrasensitive structural variant (SV)-based ctDNA assay was evaluated previously in a 100-patient EBC cohort treated with neoadjuvant therapy, demonstrating high sensitivity, specificity, and a long lead-time to relapse. The stability of primary tumor-specific SVs at and after metastatic recurrence and their utility for longer-term ctDNA monitoring had not been established. PATIENTS AND METHODS: An updated retrospective analysis of ctDNA dynamics was conducted in an expanded cohort of 121 patients with EBC treated with neoadjuvant therapy. Plasma samples were collected at key clinical timepoints and serially in several patients who experienced metastatic recurrence. Clinical variables were abstracted from medical records. Associations between ctDNA detection, dynamics, and clinical outcomes were evaluated in the early-stage and metastatic settings. RESULTS: Thirty of 121 patients experienced clinical recurrence (28 distant, 2 local) over a median follow-up of 4.2 years (range 0.5-8.8; 25 ctDNA evaluable with adjuvant timepoints). All patients with detectable ctDNA in the adjuvant setting developed metastatic recurrence (22/22). Median lead time from ctDNA detection to metastatic recurrence was 346 days (range 0-1937). Among recurrent cases, 79% of primary tumor-specific SVs (n = 17 patients, tumor fraction ≥0.1%) remained detectable in plasma [range 7% (1/14 SV)-100% (15/15); median: 92%]. ctDNA dynamics in the recurrent metastatic setting demonstrated a strong relationship with radiographic outcomes in evaluable patients (n = 9). CONCLUSION: This SV-based digital PCR assay provided ultrasensitive ctDNA detection in an expanded EBC cohort, maintaining 100% positive predictive value for metastatic recurrence. In patients with recurrence, ctDNA dynamics were concordant with radiographic outcomes. Prospective studies evaluating the clinical utility of longitudinal ctDNA monitoring are warranted.

MRD↗
PubMed2026

Association of ctDNA RAS mutational status and clinical benefits in first-line metastatic colorectal cancer therapy with chemotherapy plus anti-EGFR (overall response rate and progression-free survival): a brief report of systematic review and meta-analysis.

Monitoring RAS mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly relevant in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). In patients with tissue RAS wild-type (WT) tumors treated with first-line chemotherapy plus anti-epidermal growth factor receptor therapy (1LChT + anti-EGFR), some studies suggest that RAS WT ctDNA is associated with better outcomes, whereas others reported no differences according to ctDNA RAS mutational status. These inconsistencies may be related to small sample sizes, methodological heterogeneity, differences in assay sensitivity and tumor heterogeneity. We performed a systematic review in patients with tissue RAS WT treated with 1LChT + anti-EGFR. PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched up to April 2026. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUIPS tool, and random-effect models were applied. Fourteen studies met the inclusion criteria (ten non-interventional studies and four clinical trials). Compared with ctDNA RAS mutated tumors, ctDNA RAS WT tumors showed significantly higher overall response rates [ORR: pooled odds ratio (OR) 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.3-3.4; P=0.002] and longer progression-free survival [PFS: pooled hazard ratio (HR) 1.6, 95% CI: 1.3-1.9; P<0.001] [non-interventional studies (NIS) + clinical trials (CT) data]. The pooled prevalence of ctDNA RAS mutations was 10.5% (95% CI: 6.2-14.8%). These findings support ctDNA RAS status as a potential biomarker of benefit from anti-EGFR-based therapy in mCRC, although methodological standardization and prospective validation remain necessary.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)↗
PubMed2026

High-Sensitivity ctDNA Analysis Uncovers Relevant Signals Missed by NGS in Pancreatic Cancer.

PURPOSE: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) carries high mortality despite multimodal therapy, and improved biomarkers are needed to guide perioperative care. This study evaluated the prognostic significance of Kirsten rat sarcoma virus (KRAS)-mutant circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detected by next-generation sequencing (NGS) and digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) in localized PDAC. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In this prospective cohort study (2020-2024), patients with localized PDAC undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) were enrolled across multiple sites within Northwestern Medicine. Blood samples for ctDNA were assessed at diagnosis, after NAC, and after resection using tumor-agnostic NGS and ddPCR targeting KRAS G12D/V/R mutations. Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: The cohort included 106 patients. At diagnosis, KRAS ctDNA was detected in 17.2% (17/99) by NGS and 64.9% (63/97) by ddPCR. Detection by both platforms was associated with shorter OS, with the higher-sensitivity ddPCR assay providing greater prognostic discrimination by identifying additional patients with poor outcomes not captured by NGS (NGS median OS 11.2 vs. 30.5 months, P < 0.001; ddPCR median OS 24.7 vs. 70.9 months, P = 0.004). Stratified by detection method, median OS was shortest in patients with ctDNA detected by both NGS and ddPCR (10.9 months), longest in those not detected by either platform (40.7 months), and intermediate in patients detected only by ddPCR (26.9 months; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In localized PDAC, KRAS-mutant ctDNA detected by NGS or ddPCR was associated with worse survival. ddPCR identified additional patients missed by NGS. Integrating ddPCR with NGS ctDNA measures may improve perioperative risk stratification, although validation is needed before clinical implementation.

Humans↗
PubMed2025

From Diagnosis, Therapy Decision-Making to Genetic Risk Assessment: The Impact of ctDNA Testing on Comprehensive Cancer Management-A Case Report.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing is a minimally invasive alternative to tissue biopsy and is ideal for inaccessible tumors or limited samples. It captures tumor heterogeneity over time and different anatomic locations, unlike the static snapshot provided by a biopsy. In this report, we describe a 68-year-old female with an initial diagnosis of metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma (a pancreas head mass with multiple bilateral lung nodules). Mutation profiling of the pancreatic mass biopsy using a comprehensive cancer next-generation sequencing (NGS) panel was unsuccessful due to insufficient tissue. Consequently, ctDNA testing using a pan-cancer NGS panel was performed, and an EGFR p.L858R variant at 2.15% was identified. Interestingly, this activating variant is highly specific to non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), which raised the possibility of a synchronous tumor unrelated to the pancreatic mass. Immunohistochemistry showed the EGFR variant in station 7 lymph nodes but not in pancreatic biopsy tissue, supporting the inference that the variant originated from the lung mass. Droplet digital PCR on the limited pancreatic biopsy identified a KRAS p.Q61 variant, which was absent by ctDNA testing, suggesting a pancreatic primary with low ctDNA levels. In addition to diagnosing a primary lung cancer, ctDNA testing guided treatment decisions. With a primary EGFR p.L858R-mutant NSCLC, osimertinib was administered, resulting in a partial response within 10 months. In addition, given the synchronous primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma, germline testing was performed, revealing a CDKN2A p.I49T variant consistent with melanoma-pancreatic cancer syndrome, prompting comprehensive cancer surveillance and familial testing. This case illustrates how ctDNA testing enabled a comprehensive evaluation by clarifying the diagnosis, identifying actionable biomarkers, and facilitating genetic risk assessment, ultimately having a significant impact on the patient's clinical management.

Humans↗
PubMed2025

ctDNA can detect minimal residual disease in curative treated non-small cell lung cancer patients using a tumor agnostic approach.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has the potential to become a reliable biomarker for identifying minimal residual disease (MRD) and predicting recurrence in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) following curative treatment. However, there is a lack of studies that investigate the clinical validity of ctDNA using a tumor-agnostic approach, which can provide significant clinical benefits. METHODS: We analyzed samples from 45 NSCLC patients recruited in a prospective national multicenter study, all of whom had undergone curative treatment. A total of 38 pre-treatment plasma samples and 76 post-treatment plasma samples were examined using a commercially available cancer personalized profiling by deep sequencing (CAPP-seq) strategy, and a tumor-agnostic approach. Post-treatment samples were collected at two distinct landmark time points: Follow-up 1 (0.5-4.5&#xa0;months post-treatment) and Follow-up 2 (4.5-7.5&#xa0;months post-treatment). RESULTS: Detectable ctDNA post-treatment was significantly associated with increased risk of tumor recurrence and shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS). Using only a single blood sample taken from Follow-up 2, we correctly identified MRD in 50% of the patients who later experienced recurrence. However, subgroup analysis further revealed that in patients treated with radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy (CRT), ctDNA detection was significantly linked to shorter RFS in the MRD analysis from Follow-up 2, but not in the MRD analysis from Follow-up 1. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that post-treatment ctDNA, detected using a tumor-agnostic approach, is a reliable biomarker for predicting recurrence in NSCLC patients following curative treatment. However, the optimal timing for blood sampling to detect MRD appears to depend on the type of curative treatment received.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Role of ctDNA Tumor Fraction in Selecting Immunotherapy-Based Regimens in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

PURPOSE: Immune checkpoint blockers (ICB) have transformed advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) treatment, but identifying patients who benefit from adding chemotherapy remains challenging, especially in PD-L1 &#x2265; 50%. PD-L1 is an imperfect biomarker, highlighting the need for better selection tools. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Liquid biopsy (LBx) assessment was performed using hybrid capture-based next-generation sequencing of plasma cell-free DNA. LBx data, molecular profile, and clinicopathologic data were collected. The predictive and prognostic values of tumor fraction (TF) were assessed using a deidentified nationwide (US-based) NSCLC clinicogenomic database [Clinico-Genomic Database (CGDB)]. An independent cohort with aNSCLC from Gustave Roussy was used to validate the findings and to study the correlation of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) TF and total metabolic tumor volume and its molecular correlates. RESULTS: In the CGDB database (n = 965), elevated ctDNA TF was prognostic for worse outcomes on ICBs and, when &#x2265;5%, predictive of benefit from ICB + chemotherapy [HR for real-world progression-free survival 0.58 (0.41-0.82); P = 0.002]. The 5% cutoff for TF was validated in an independent cohort from Gustave Roussy. In 283 patients with paired PET scans, ctDNA TF correlated with metabolic tumor volume (rho = 0.46; P < 0.001) and was influenced by TP53/RB1 mutations. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA TF integrates disease burden and biology. Patients with high ctDNA TF derive greater benefit from chemoimmunotherapy, supporting its use as a biomarker to guide treatment intensification.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

The role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to detect minimal residual disease in locally advanced gastroesophageal carcinoma: the BUTTERFLY study.

BACKGROUND: Despite advances in perioperative and neoadjuvant strategies, patients with locally advanced gastroesophageal cancers remain at high risk of recurrence after curative intent treatment. No validated biomarkers are available to detect minimal residual disease (MRD) or to guide post-operative risk-adapted management. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a noninvasive tool for disease monitoring; single-parameter or tumor-informed assays, however, may lack sensitivity in low-tumor burden settings. Multimodal, tumor-agnostic approaches may overcome these limitations. METHODS: The BUTTERFLY study is a prospective, multicenter observational study enrolling patients with stage II-III gastric, gastroesophageal junction, or esophageal cancer treated with perioperative chemotherapy or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery. It evaluates the diagnostic performance and prognostic value of an academic, tumor-agnostic, multimodal ctDNA assay for MRD detection and prognostic stratification. Serial plasma samples are collected from baseline through post-operative follow-up and at relapse. Cell-free DNA is analyzed using the Agnostic Liquid Biopsy Multimodal Advancement (ALMA) platform, integrating tumor fraction estimation, somatic copy number alterations, fragmentomic features, single-nucleotide variants, and whole-genome methylation profiling. Multimodal features are combined with clinical variables using machine learning-based models to enhance MRD detection and relapse risk stratification. The primary endpoint includes sensitivity and specificity of ALMA-defined ctDNA/MRD status at the 4-8 weeks after surgery landmark, whereas secondary endpoints assess diagnostic performance at other time points and associations between ctDNA status and dynamics with disease-free survival, overall survival, treatment response, and lead time to recurrence. FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: If validated, this tumor-agnostic, multimodal ctDNA approach may enable earlier molecular relapse detection and support personalized post-operative management strategies.

circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)↗
PubMed2026

Promises and Pitfalls of ctDNA testing in the Management of Cholangiocarcinoma.

Diagnosis and treatment of cholangiocarcinoma is often limited by the availability of tissue biopsies for genomic analysis. Liquid biopsies using blood circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) have emerged as a valuable and non-invasive alternative to conventional testing. ctDNA analysis has advanced the treatment paradigm for cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) by identifying targetable mutations and molecular mechanisms of treatment resistance. Additionally, it has shown preliminary promise in stratifying patients for adjuvant systemic therapy and enabling earlier detection of relapse. However, current ctDNA platforms face biological and technical challenges that limit their sensitivity for certain mutation types (i.e. gene fusions and amplifications), which are commonly found in CCA. To overcome these hurdles, new sequencing techniques and analytic methods involving artificial intelligence, epigenetic profiling, and diverse reference genomes are being developed. These advanced technologies underscore the promise of ctDNA testing as an indispensable tool in the management and study of CCAs.

Cholangiocarcinoma↗
PubMed2026

From detection to action: ctDNA-MRD surveillance and translational strategies in early breast cancer.

Recurrence remains a major cause of mortality in early breast cancer (EBC), and conventional follow-up often identifies relapse only after clinically detectable disease has emerged. Circulating tumor DNA-based minimal residual disease (ctDNA-MRD) testing offers the possibility of detecting molecular relapse earlier and refining recurrence-risk assessment during follow-up. This narrative review examines the evolving role of ctDNA-MRD in EBC, focusing on assay interpretation, longitudinal surveillance, MRD-guided trial design, and clinical implementation. Prospective studies consistently show that postoperative or surveillance ctDNA positivity is associated with an increased risk of recurrence. However, test performance and interpretation vary with assay characteristics and sampling strategies, and whether treatment initiated solely on the basis of MRD positivity can improve patient outcomes remains unresolved. The central challenge is no longer simply to detect residual disease earlier, but to determine when and how that information should influence care. Further prospective validation, assay standardization, clear pathways for uncertain findings, and patient-centered implementation will be needed before ctDNA-MRD can be integrated into routine management of EBC.

circulating tumor DNA↗
PubMed2025

MRDagent: iterative and adaptive parameter optimization for stable ctDNA-based MRD detection in heterogeneous samples.

MOTIVATION: Minimal residual disease (MRD) as critical biomarker for cancer prognosis and management plays a crucial role in improving patient outcomes. However, detecting MRD via next-generation sequencing-based circulating tumor DNA variant calling remains unstable due to the extremely low variant allele frequency and significant inter- and intra-sample heterogeneity. Although parameter optimization can theoretically enhance the detection performance of variants, achieving stable MRD detection remains challenging due to three key factors: (i) the necessity for individualized parameter tuning across numerous heterogeneous genomic intervals within each sample, (ii) the tightly interdependent parameter requirements across different stages of variant detection workflows, and (iii) the limitations of current automated parameter optimization methods. RESULTS: In this study, we propose MRDagent, a novel variant detection tool designed specifically for MRD detection. MRDagent incorporates an iterative and self-adaptive optimization framework capable of handling unknown objectives, varying constraints, and highly coupled parameters across stages. A key innovation of MRDagent is the integration of a convolutional neural network-based meta-model, trained on historical data to enable rapid parameter prediction. This significantly enhances computational efficiency and generalization performance. Extensive evaluations on simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate MRDagent's superior and stable performance, providing an efficient, reliable solution for MRD detection in clinical and high-throughput research applications. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: MRDagent is freely available at https://github.com/aAT0047/MRDagent.git. The corresponding dataset and software archive are available at Zenodo: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15458496.

Circulating Tumor DNA↗
PubMed2025

In-depth assessment of BRAF, NRAS, KRAS, EGFR, and PIK3CA mutations on cell-free DNA in the blood of melanoma patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibition.

INTRODUCTION: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) holds promise for guiding immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy and stratifying responders from non-responders. While tumor-informed ctDNA detection approaches are sensitive and mutation-inclusive, they require tumor tissue, which limits applicability in real-world settings. Conversely, tumor-agnostic methods often have limited genomic coverage. In this study, we evaluated a tumor-agnostic, broad-panel ctDNA assay in patients with advanced melanoma treated with ICI. METHODS: We conducted a prospective analysis of 241 longitudinal samples from 39 patients with unresectable stage III/IV melanoma using a SYSMEX targeted NGS panel covering 1,114 COSMIC mutations. Plasma samples were collected at baseline and during ICI therapy. The assay's sensitivity reached seven mutant molecules, corresponding to a 0.07% mutation allele frequency (MAF). ctDNA profiles were compared with matched tumor tissue and correlated with clinical features and survival. RESULTS: At baseline, ctDNA was detected in 64.5% of patients. Common mutations included BRAFV600E (43.8%) and NRASG12D (36.4%), followed by KRAS, EGFR, and PIK3CA variants. Overall tissue-plasma concordance was 51.6%, with more extended biopsy-plasma intervals associated with discordance (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0105). Notably, 12.2% of cases exhibited partial concordance, characterized by shared mutations and additional plasma-only alterations, underscoring the complementary value of blood-based profiling. Persistent or re-emerging ctDNA positivity post-therapy correlated with shorter progression-free survival (PFS, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.003), while ctDNA-negative patients showed significantly improved outcomes. Patients that remained ctDNA-negative had significantly longer progression-free survival (median not reached) compared to those with persistent ctDNA positivity (median 3&#xa0;months) or those converting to positive (median 7.5&#xa0;months; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0073). Early NRAS and KRAS ctDNA levels strongly predicted poor response (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0069 and p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.028). The prognostic impact extended beyond canonical drivers, as non-hotspot variants also correlated with the outcome. Notably, even low-level ctDNA persistence (5-10 MM/mL) carried adverse prognostic implications (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0054). Concerning a shorter PFS, ctDNA positivity was also associated with elevated S100 levels (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.047). Organ-specific mutation enrichment (e.g., KRASG12D in brain, EGFRG719A in lymph nodes) suggested possible metastatic tropism. CONCLUSION: Broad tumor-agnostic ctDNA analysis effectively identified clinically relevant mutations and predicted outcomes in ICI-treated melanoma patients. This approach enables tissue-independent and real-time ctDNA monitoring and may inform patient selection and therapeutic strategies in future interventional trials.

Humans↗
PubMed2025

Molecular Residual Disease and Recurrence in Rectal Cancer Patients Undergoing Upfront Surgery: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic utility of postoperative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) for recurrence and treatment response in patients with rectal cancer undergoing upfront surgery. BACKGROUND: ctDNA-based molecular residual disease (MRD) testing shows promise in colorectal cancer, but its role in patients with rectal cancer not receiving neoadjuvant therapy is unclear. This study evaluates whether postoperative ctDNA predicts disease-free survival (DFS) and guides adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) decisions. METHODS: We analyzed ctDNA from patients with stage II to III rectal cancer (N=250) enrolled in the GALAXY study, a multicenter registry in Japan. A clinically validated, personalized, tumor-informed 16-plex PCR next-generation sequencing assay (Signatera) was used to detect and quantify ctDNA. The primary outcome was DFS, defined as the time from landmark to recurrence, death, or the latest radiologic assessment. RESULTS: In the MRD window (2-10&#xa0;wk postsurgery, before ACT), 14.2% (35/246) of patients were ctDNA-positive and had significantly shorter DFS (HR: 9.96, 95% CI: 5.76-17.2, P <0.0001). Among patients who were ctDNA-positive in the MRD window, a significant benefit from ACT was observed (HR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.09-0.89, P =0.031), whereas no benefit was seen in ctDNA-negative patients (HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.26-1.35, P =0.211). When analyzing ctDNA dynamics from the MRD window to 6 months postsurgery, recurrence risk was higher in patients who converted from ctDNA-negative to positive (HR: 8.22, 95% CI: 1.86-36.32, P =0.0055) and who remained ctDNA-positive (HR: 45.48, 95% CI: 14.31-144.57, P <0.0001) compared with serially ctDNA-negative patients. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative ctDNA status is a robust biomarker predicting recurrence risk and ACT benefit in patients with rectal cancer undergoing upfront surgery.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Circulating Tumor DNA Profiling Defines Risk Classification in Patients With Ewing Sarcoma: A Report From the Children's Oncology Group and the LEOPARD Study.

PURPOSE: Identification of discrete risk groups remains a high priority for patients with Ewing sarcoma (EWS). We sought to prospectively validate circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic factor and develop clinical-molecular risk groups. METHODS: We conducted a prospective investigator-initiated biology study for patients with localized EWS (LEOPARD) and embedded ctDNA analysis into the North American frontline metastatic study AEWS1221. Eligible patients were younger than 50 years with newly diagnosed EWS. All patients provided a baseline blood sample for analysis, which was subjected to ultralow-pass whole-genome sequencing and hybrid capture panel sequencing for ctDNA quantification, fusion detection, and characterization of STAG2 and TP53 alterations. Serial ctDNA sequencing was conducted on a subset of patients in each study. We tested for associations between ctDNA burden and secondary genomic events, and clinical features and outcomes. RESULTS: One hundred forty patients with localized disease and 255 with metastatic disease provided evaluable pretreatment samples for ctDNA analysis. Elevated baseline ctDNA was associated with stage, tumor size, primary site, indeterminate pulmonary nodules, and metastatic pattern. Elevated pretreatment ctDNA burden was associated with inferior outcomes in patients with localized (n = 140, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.36, P = .032) and metastatic disease (n = 255, HR = 2.15, P = .001). Patients with metastatic disease and TP53 variants and/or persistent on-therapy ctDNA had dismal outcomes. Patients with localized disease, low ctDNA, small tumors, and favorable genomics had no events and constitute a novel low-risk group. Among patients with metastatic disease, those with lung-only disease, low ctDNA, and favorable genomics represent an intermediate-risk group. CONCLUSION: This study prospectively validates pretreatment ctDNA burden as prognostic in EWS. Risk groups that integrate ctDNA burden with clinical-molecular features differentiate patients with low-, intermediate-, and high-risk disease.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2026

Neoadjuvant Paclitaxel, Trastuzumab, and Pertuzumab for Stage II to III, ERBB2-Positive Breast Cancer: A Secondary Analysis of the DAPHNe Trial.

IMPORTANCE: The neoadjuvant combination of paclitaxel, trastuzumab, and pertuzumab (THP) represents a promising abbreviated regimen for early-stage ERBB2-positive breast cancer, but long-term outcomes and the role of ultrasensitive circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) monitoring remain incompletely defined. OBJECTIVE: To assess 5-year outcomes and characterize ctDNA dynamics with an ultrasensitive assay in patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant THP. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This study was a prespecified secondary analysis of the prospective, single-arm, investigator-initiated phase 2 DAPHNe nonrandomized clinical trial. Patients were enrolled in the DAPHNe trial from November 2018 to January 2020. The trial took place at a multicenter academic cancer center and affiliated community practices. Participants included patients with stage II to III ERBB2-positive breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant THP for 12 weeks. Ultrasensitive ctDNA analyses were performed in patients with available tumor tissue and serial plasma samples. The secondary analysis was conducted between between March 2023 and April 2025. INTERVENTIONS: Neoadjuvant THP administered for 12 weeks, followed by surgery and adjuvant therapy guided by pathologic response. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Main outcomes included 5-year event-free survival, recurrence-free interval (RFI), distant RFI, and overall survival. ctDNA detection and clearance were assessed using a whole-genome-based, tumor-informed ultrasensitive assay at 4 predefined time points (baseline, preoperative, postoperative, and late adjuvant). RESULTS: The overall trial cohort included 98 patients (median [IQR] age, 49.5 years [24.0-78.0 years]; 97 female patients [99.0%]; 1 male patient [1.0%]), with mostly stage 2 disease (91 patients [92.9%]) and hormone receptor-positive tumors (65 patients [66.3%]). With a median (IQR) follow-up of 5.2 (5.0-5.4) years, the 5-year event-free survival was 99% (95% CI, 97%-100%), the 5-year RFI was 98% (95% CI, 93%-100%), the 5-year distant RFI was 100% (95% CI, 100%-100%), and the 5-year overall survival was 99% (95% CI, 97%-100%). Among 57 patients included in ctDNA analyses, baseline ctDNA was detected in 51 individuals (89.5%). After neoadjuvant therapy, ctDNA clearance occurred in 49 of 51 patients (96.1%), with only 2 individuals (3.9%) remaining ctDNA-positive preoperatively; detectability remained low (<10%) during postoperative follow-up. One single patient experienced a local recurrence, with ctDNA detected at time of recurrence and cleared following surgical resection. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this secondary analysis of the DAPHNe nonrandomized clinical trial, neoadjuvant THP was associated with excellent long-term outcomes in patients with early-stage ERBB2-positive breast cancer. Ultrasensitive ctDNA analyses demonstrated high baseline detection rates and near-universal clearance after abbreviated neoadjuvant therapy, supporting further investigation of ctDNA-guided de-escalation strategies in this setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03716180.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Prognostic Value of Circulating Tumor DNA-Based Minimal Residual Disease for Recurrence-Free Survival in Resectable Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis with Serial Monitoring Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-based minimal residual disease (MRD) is an emerging biomarker, but its utility in resectable gastric cancer remains incompletely characterized. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of eight studies (520 patients) to evaluate the prognostic value of ctDNA-based MRD for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in resectable gastric cancer. RESULTS: In localized resectable gastric cancer (Stage I-III), the setting in which postoperative ctDNA most coherently represents true molecular residual disease after curative-intent surgery, postoperative ctDNA positivity was associated with diminished recurrence-free survival (RFS: HR 12.26, 95% CI 3.30-45.52) and overall survival (OS: HR 8.57, 95% CI 3.06-23.98). The test for subgroup differences between localized and mixed-stage cohorts was not statistically significant (P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.57), and the numerically higher HR in the localized subgroup should therefore not be interpreted as evidence of a quantitatively stronger prognostic effect. Postoperative ctDNA detection demonstrated substantially stronger prognostic value (overall RFS: HR 10.00, 95% CI 4.53-22.10) compared to preoperative assessment (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.10-4.28). Both tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic strategies effectively stratified high-risk patients. However, these effect sizes should be interpreted cautiously given the small number of studies and substantial heterogeneity (I2&#x2009;=&#x2009;65-72%). Results from mixed-stage cohorts including Stage IV disease are supportive but should not be considered equivalent to localized-disease findings, as ctDNA in metastatic disease reflects persistent systemic burden rather than minimal residual disease in the postoperative sense. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative ctDNA-based MRD shows a consistent adverse prognostic association in resectable gastric cancer, with localized disease (Stage I-III) representing the most biologically and clinically coherent setting for interpretation. However, the large pooled hazard ratios (HR 10.00-12.26) should be interpreted as a directionally consistent signal rather than precise quantitative estimates, given the small number of studies, wide confidence intervals, and substantial heterogeneity (I2&#x2009;=&#x2009;65-73%). This heterogeneity is largely driven by substantial variation in postoperative sampling timing (4&#xa0;days to 16&#xa0;weeks) and ctDNA assay characteristics (platform, sensitivity, coverage, variant filtering, and positivity thresholds), which require standardization in future studies. While ctDNA is prognostically valuable, its clinical utility remains unestablished. Prospective randomized trials are needed to determine whether ctDNA-guided strategies improve patient outcomes before routine clinical implementation can be recommended.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Prospective Evaluation of Circulating Tumor DNA in Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: There are few established prognostic biomarkers in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). Disease volume and timing of metastases are prognostic and predictive factors but may be inadequate due to heterogeneity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) provides both circulating volume (tumor fraction [TF]) and genomic data. There are limited data on ctDNA in mHSPC. METHODS: This was a multicenter, prospective study of ctDNA testing in mHSPC. Presented here are the results before androgen-deprivation therapy initiation. The primary objective was to evaluate the association between TF and overall survival (OS) and time to mCRPC (TTCRPC). Secondary analyses included evaluating outcomes in subgroups of interest and key genomic subtypes. RESULTS: Between 2018 and 2024, 85 patients were enrolled, of whom 72 (25% Black) had evaluable baseline ctDNA samples and are included herein. Baseline TF was positive in 46 patients (64%). Compared with patients with negative ctDNA TF, most patients with positive ctDNA TF had de novo (87% v 39%, P < .001) and high-volume disease (80% v 46%, P = .01). At a median follow-up of 20.8 months, median OS was not reached (NR) with those with negative ctDNA TF and 33 months with positive ctDNA TF (hazard ratio [HR], 3.33 [95% CI, 1.1 to 9.9]; P = .03). However, a negative TF at baseline was associated with an undetectable 7-month prostate-specific antigen, a validated OS surrogate. Median TTCRPC was NR versus 13 months (HR, 3.43 [95% CI, 1.5 to 7.9]; P = .004). ctDNA TF was also potentially prognostic in high-volume disease and those who received doublet therapy. CONCLUSION: In this diverse cohort, a positive ctDNA TF at baseline was associated with worse outcomes in mHSPC and may potentially complement current further risk stratification tools.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Molecular residual disease assessment in colorectal and bladder cancer by somatic structural variant analysis of cell-free DNA whole-genome sequencing data.

BACKGROUND: Whole-genome sequencing (WGS)-based methods for circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection typically rely on tumor-informed identification of somatic single nucleotide variants (SNVs). Somatic structural variants (SVs) are another type of cancer-specific genomic alteration, which owing to their larger genomic footprint and unique breakpoint junctions, are easier to distinguish from sequencing noise than SNVs. They are, however, rarely used for ctDNA detection because of (1) artifacts from WGS procedures that SV callers may falsely interpret as genuine SVs. This makes it difficult to establish high-confidence SV catalogos from short-read tumor WGS and can cause false-positive ctDNA detections. (2) Lack of robust strategies to quantify SV-supporting reads in plasma WGS. To address these barriers and enable integration of SV biomarkers into WGS-based ctDNA detection, we present a bioinformatic framework for algorithmic curation of somatic SV calls from fresh-frozen and formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumors, coupled with a novel approach for sensitive, accurate mapping and quantification of SV breakpoint-supporting reads in plasma WGS. METHODS: Tumor, normal and plasma WGS data from 144 patients with stage III colorectal cancer was used to establish the bioinformatic framework. This included ~30x WGS data from 1564 serially collected plasma samples. The framework was validated using tumor/normal/plasma WGS data from 32 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer. SV-based ctDNA detection was benchmarked against previously published SNV-based ctDNA results for the same samples. RESULTS: After curation of SV calls and quantification in plasma WGS, our SV-based approach enabled robust ctDNA detection with overall specificity exceeding 99% in plasma samples. Furthermore, we observed strong concordance (Pearson&#x2019;s r&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.93, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;2.2&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10&#x2212; 16) between ctDNA-positive samples identified by our SV-based method and previous SNV-based analyses, validating the reliability of our approach. Finally, we demonstrated application of the method in an independent bladder cancer cohort, highlighting its generalizability and potential clinical use. CONCLUSIONS: We provide a bioinformatic framework that establishes somatic SVs as ultra-specific biomarkers for WGS-based, tumor-informed ctDNA detection. The approach delivers specific detection even when the SV catalogos are established from FFPE samples. The SV framework can stand alone or enhance SNV-based analysis pipelines.

Humans↗