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Robust pleiotropy-decomposed polygenic scores identify distinct contributions to elevated coronary artery disease polygenic risk.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk score (PRS) have proved to offer robust risk prediction for coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the global CAD PRS summarizes the joint effects of all the markers in the genome, masking potential genetic heterogeneity that may be important for disease interpretation and targeted interventions. METHODS: Using summary-level data, we identified 43 significant CAD-related traits based on genetic correlations, and further classified them into eight pleiotropy clusters based on their biological functions. We then partitioned the genome into 2,353 near-independent regions. Variants in each region were assigned to the trait most genetically similar to CAD, and then were labeled with the corresponding pleiotropy cluster. We grouped variants without labels into a ninth, non-specific cluster. The Pleiotropy Decomposed (PD) PRSs for each of the nine clusters were calculated using variants assigned to each cluster for 407,903 samples of European ancestry from the UK Biobank (UKBB). RESULTS: We decomposed the CAD PRS into nine PD-PRSs and further stratified individuals with high CAD-PRS into nine subgroups. Each PD-PRS accounted for a higher proportion of the global CAD-PRS within its corresponding subgroup than in the remaining subjects with high CAD-PRS (e.g., 25.2% (0.07) vs. 10.06% (0.07) for lipids-PD-PRS). Additionally, these subgroups showed distinct clinical features. For example, in the lipids-related subgroup, lipoprotein(a) and LDL-cholesterol levels were 67.5% and 18.3% higher, respectively, compared to the remaining high-risk individuals. Furthermore, significant interactions were observed between blood pressure and BP PD-PRS, and between current smoking and respiratory system PD-PRS. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that PD-PRSs may reveal substantial genetic and phenotypic heterogeneity among individuals with high CAD-PRS. The unique PD-PRS compositions of each individual can highlight the relative importance of different pleiotropic regions.

Humans

Development and pilot testing of a prostate cancer polygenic risk report.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are increasingly being incorporated into clinical care, yet optimal strategies for communicating PRS results to patients and clinicians remain undefined. Effective report design is critical to ensure comprehension and appropriate use, particularly for complex conditions such as prostate cancer where screening decisions are nuanced. We developed and pilot tested patient-facing materials to communicate integrated polygenic and monogenic risk for prostate cancer in the context of a randomized clinical trial. METHODS: We designed a summary report and accompanying Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) page to communicate prostate cancer genetic risk within the Prostate Cancer, Genetic Risk, and Equitable Screening Study (ProGRESS). Materials were developed through an iterative, multidisciplinary process informed by existing literature on genomic risk communication. We conducted semi-structured interviews with a national sample of eight men eligible for prostate cancer screening to evaluate comprehension, interpretation of visual elements, perceived usefulness, and preferences for improvement. Interviews were transcribed and analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis. RESULTS: Participants generally found the summary report and FAQ page understandable and visually engaging. Graphical displays of absolute risk, particularly pictograph arrays, facilitated comprehension and helped contextualize risk. Visual cues such as color and bold formatting effectively directed attention to key information, with red coloring perceived as particularly salient for high-risk results. In contrast, more complex visualizations, including bell curves and incidence curves, were frequently misunderstood or not interpreted as intended. Participants expressed a desire for clearer guidance regarding next steps and additional accessible information, suggesting supplementary resources such as hyperlinks or QR codes. Concerns about readability included small font size and high text density. CONCLUSIONS: In this qualitative pilot study, patient-facing materials for communicating prostate cancer PRS were generally well received, with specific design features such as simple visualizations and clear formatting enhancing understanding. Findings highlight the importance of intuitive risk displays and actionable guidance in PRS reporting. These results provide practical insights to inform the design of genomic risk reports as PRS-based prostate cancer screening approaches move toward clinical implementation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05926102; date of registry: July 3, 2023.

Aged

Development and evaluation of patient-centred polygenic risk score reports for glaucoma screening.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS), which provide an individual probabilistic estimate of genetic susceptibility to develop a disease, have shown effective risk stratification for glaucoma onset. However, there is limited best practice evidence for reporting PRS and patient-friendly reports for communicating PRS effectively are lacking. Here we developed patient-centred PRS reports for glaucoma screening based on the literature, and evaluated them with participants using a qualitative research approach. METHODS: We first reviewed existing PRS reports and literature on probabilistic risk communication. This informed the development of a draft glaucoma screening PRS report for a hypothetical high risk individual from the general population. We designed three versions of the report to illustrate risk using a pictograph, a pie chart and a bell curve. We then conducted semi-structured interviews to assess preference of visual risk communication aids, understanding of risk, content, format and structure of the reports. Participants were invited from an existing study, which aims to evaluate the clinical validity of glaucoma PRS among individuals > 50 years from the general population. Numeracy and literacy levels were assessed. RESULTS: We interviewed 12 individuals. The cohort was highly educated (42% university education), all were European and 50% were female. Numeracy (mean 2.1 ± 0.9, range 0 to 3), graph literacy (mean 2.8 ± 0.8, range 0 to 4) and genetic literacy (mean 24.2 ± 6.2, range - 20 to + 46) showed a range of levels. We analysed the reports under three main themes: visual preferences, understanding risk and reports formatting. The visual component was deemed important to understanding risk, with the pictograph being the preferred visual risk representation, followed by the pie chart and the bell curve. Participants expressed preference for absolute risk in understanding risk, along with the written content explaining the results. The importance of follow-up recommendations and time to glaucoma onset were deemed important. Participants expressed varied opinions in the level of information and the colours used, which informed revisions of the report. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed preferences for reporting PRS information in the context of glaucoma screening, to support the development of clinical PRS reporting. Further research is needed to assess PRS communication in other groups representative of target populations and with other target audiences (e.g. referring clinicians), and its potential psychosocial impact in the wider community.

Humans

Patient and provider perspectives on polygenic risk scores: implications for clinical reporting and utilization.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS), which offer information about genomic risk for common diseases, have been proposed for clinical implementation. The ways in which PRS information may influence a patient's health trajectory depend on how both the patient and their primary care provider (PCP) interpret and act on PRS information. We aimed to probe patient and PCP responses to PRS clinical reporting choices METHODS: Qualitative semi-structured interviews of both patients (N=25) and PCPs (N=21) exploring responses to mock PRS clinical reports of two different designs: binary and continuous representations of PRS. RESULTS: Many patients did not understand the numbers representing risk, with high numeracy patients being the exception. However, all the patients still understood a key takeaway that they should ask their PCP about actions to lower their disease risk. PCPs described a diverse range of heuristics they would use to interpret and act on PRS information. Three separate use cases for PRS emerged: to aid in gray-area clinical decision-making, to encourage patients to do what PCPs think patients should be doing anyway (such as exercising regularly), and to identify previously unrecognized high-risk patients. PCPs indicated that receiving "below average risk" information could be both beneficial and potentially harmful, depending on the use case. For "increased risk" patients, PCPs were favorable towards integrating PRS information into their practice, though some would only act in the presence of evidence-based guidelines. PCPs describe the report as more than a way to convey information, viewing it as something to structure the whole interaction with the patient. Both patients and PCPs preferred the continuous over the binary representation of PRS (23/25 and 17/21, respectively). We offer recommendations for the developers of PRS to consider for PRS clinical report design in the light of these patient and PCP viewpoints. CONCLUSIONS: PCPs saw PRS information as a natural extension of their current practice. The most pressing gap for PRS implementation is evidence for clinical utility. Careful clinical report design can help ensure that benefits are realized and harms are minimized.

Clinical Decision-Making

Polygenic risk score and its role in cancer susceptibility.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk score (PRS) has the ability to stratify inherited susceptibility to cancer and, as a complement to monogenic testing, can identify individuals at increased genetic risk even when no pathogenic variant is detected in high- or moderate-penetrance genes. It reflects the combined additive effects of a large number of low-penetrance variants across the genome, and represents a continuum of genetic susceptibility with an approximately normal distribution. Clinically relevant differences are typically observed in individuals in the highest and lowest percentiles of the PRS distribution, while relative risk gradients depend on the cancer type, the specific PRS model, and the reference population used. PRS is not a single test but rather a family of statistical models that differ in their design, predictive performance, and transferability across populations, underscoring the need for external validation and population-specific calibration of absolute risk. Broader implementation is thus still held back by differences between individual PRS models, limited transferability, and the lack of harmonized guidance on indication, reporting, and clinical decision-making. Consequently, clinical use in the European Union remains largely confined to pilot studies and local projects. Within these initiatives, PRS is most commonly applied in two main ways - either as a triage tool for intensified diagnostics or screening in higher-risk groups, or as a component of multifactorial absolute-risk models (e. g. BOADICEA/CanRisk) that integrate PRS with other risk factors such as pathogenic variants in moderate-penetrance genes (e. g. ATM or CHEK2), family history, or lifestyle factors. By refining absolute-risk estimates, PRS may shift individuals across clinical decision thresholds for more intensive surveillance and preventive strategies. AIM: This review summarizes the principles of PRS, the main sources of variability between models, and its potential applications in risk stratification and personalized cancer screening. It also addresses limitations in transferability, the need for calibration, and the currently limited evidence for improvements in hard clinical outcomes.

Humans

Consistent and idiosyncratic pleiotropy in shaping genetic correlations.

Pleiotropy, the phenomenon where a single mutation influences multiple phenotypic traits, creates genetic correlations that can constrain evolutionary trajectories. Yet genetic correlations differ in their persistence: some remain stable over long evolutionary timescales, whereas others change rapidly across generations or environments. One explanation is that similar values of genetic correlation, rG, can arise from different pleiotropic architectures: broadly aligned effects across many loci, or disproportionate covariance contributions from a few large effect loci. Motivated by the distinction between vertical and horizontal pleiotropy, here, we develop a bivariate marker effect framework for recombinant mapping populations that separates candidate large covariance contributors from the polygenic background correlation, rD. We define rD as the correlation among marker effects after trimming markers with unusually large covariance contributions. rD is a trait-pair summary of how consistently small and moderate effect markers align across the genome; high rD is expected when many perturbations propagate through shared developmental, physiological, causal, or geometric structure. Applying this framework to high-dimensional yeast single-cell morphology, we show that trait pairs with similar rG can differ substantially in rD, and that a small number of candidate outlier regions can strongly influence some marker effect correlations. We then test whether rD predicts the environmental stability of genetic correlations under geldanamycin-mediated Hsp90 perturbation. Trait pairs with stronger rD show smaller absolute changes in rG. These results suggest that genetic correlations supported by a strong polygenic marker effect background are more environmentally stable than correlations shaped primarily by a few large covariance contributors.

Genetic Pleiotropy

Development and Validation of a Clinical Polygenic Risk Report in U.S.-Based Health Systems for 8 Cardiovascular Conditions.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) stratify inherited cardiovascular risk, but their path to clinical implementation remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate integrated PRS for 8 cardiovascular conditions and outline a framework for their clinical reporting. METHODS: We analyzed genotype and clinical data from 245,394 All of Us Research Program participants. Publicly available PRS for 8 traits-coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, type 2 diabetes, venous thromboembolism (VTE), thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA), extreme hypertension, severe hypercholesterolemia, and elevated lipoprotein(a)-were combined using PRSmix, an elastic-net approach. Integrated PRS were externally validated in 53,306 Mass General Brigham Biobank participants using logistic regression, adjusting for age, sex, and ancestry. RESULTS: Of 53,306 genotyped Mass General Brigham Biobank participants (55.6% women, mean age 53 ± 17 years), integrated PRS demonstrated robust discrimination and appropriate calibration across 8 cardiovascular traits. Comparing high genetic risk (top 10% of PRS distribution, or top 20% for rarer TAA and VTE) vs average risk (26th-75th percentiles, or 21st-80th percentiles for TAA and VTE) yielded ORs: coronary artery disease (3.7 [95% CI: 3.4-4.1]), type 2 diabetes (3.1 [95% CI: 2.8-3.3]), atrial fibrillation (3.0 [95% CI: 2.7-3.3]), VTE (1.9 [95% CI: 1.6-2.0]), TAA (1.7 [95% CI: 1.5-1.9]), hypertension (2.1 [95% CI: 1.8-2.3]), hypercholesterolemia (4.1 [95% CI: 3.7-4.5]), and lipoprotein(a) (41.0 [95% CI: 27.0-62.2]). Incorporating integrated PRS into clinical models improved risk classification, while prospective analyses confirmed significant associations with incident cardiovascular outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Integrated PRS offer an implementable framework for genetic risk reporting, and are now available as a clinically orderable test. Broader prospective validation studies are needed to further establish clinical utility.

Humans

Associations of red blood cell fatty acids with personality traits: 10-year follow-up in the Kibbutzim Family Study (KFS).

BACKGROUND: The ability of hostility and type-A personality to predict cardiovascular outcomes makes understanding antecedents of these personality traits an important public health objective. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine whether blood-measured fatty acids (the exposure) are associated with hostility and type-A personality (the outcome), while accounting for lifestyle, sociodemographic factors, and polygenic background. METHODS: Personality traits, sociodemographic, and lifestyle data were obtained in 1992-1993 from 452 family members living in kibbutz settlements in Israel (visit 1) and remeasured 8 to 10 y later in 379 individuals (visit 2). Red blood cell (RBC) fatty acid concentrations were determined in visit 1 by gas chromatography. Longitudinal associations of visit 1 fatty acids with visit 2 personality traits were examined using linear models, before and after controlling for baseline personality scores. The contribution of environmental factors to personality scores beyond heritability was estimated by variance decomposition. RESULTS: In longitudinal analysis, 1% increase in visit 1 total n-6 (ω-6) fatty acid was associated with a 0.328-unit decrease in visit 2 type-A score [95% confidence interval (CI): -0.571, -0.085]. After adjustment for baseline personality levels, the association was slightly attenuated (β= -0.204; CI: -0.399, -0.009). One percent higher total n-6 was also associated with 1.119 units lower visit 2 hostility score (CI: -2.777, 0.038; P = 0.055). Finally, independent of the genetic contribution (32%-38% of adjusted variability in hostility and type-A personality), 1% increase in total n-3 and total n-6 was associated with 2.539 (CI: -3.907, -1.171) and 0.201 (CI: -0.365, -0.037) units lower hostility and type-A scores, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Higher RBC total n-6 fatty acid concentrations are associated with lower type-A personality scores. After adjustment for baseline personality levels, the associations between total n-6 and hostility and between total n-3 and hostility are attenuated. These findings support further investigation of the relationship between fatty acid biology and personality traits using study designs better suited to causal inference.

Humans

Integrating rare and common variation in epilepsy genetics: from genetic architecture to penetrance and clinical expressivity.

Epilepsy genetics has often been interpreted through a useful but simplified dichotomous framework in which severe epilepsies, particularly developmental and epileptic encephalopathies, are attributed mainly to rare, high-effect variants, whereas more common epilepsies are viewed as arising largely from the cumulative effects of common, small-effect variation. Although this framework has been instrumental for gene discovery, molecular diagnosis, and mechanism-based treatment, it does not fully explain incomplete penetrance, intrafamilial phenotypic heterogeneity, or marked differences in severity among individuals sharing the same molecular diagnosis. Evidence from exome sequencing, copy number variant (CNV) studies, and genome-wide association studies increasingly suggests that rare SNVs/indels, CNVs, and common variant should not be interpreted as entirely independent risk sources, but may partially converge on shared genes, pathways, cell types, and neurobiological processes relevant to neuronal excitability, network stability, and seizure susceptibility. Here, we review evidence across epilepsy subtypes, focusing on convergence and divergence across the allelic spectrum, and discuss how polygenic background and other modifiers may influence penetrance and clinical expressivity among carriers of rare pathogenic variants and CNVs. We also consider implications for variant interpretation, genetic counseling, risk stratification, and precision medicine, while emphasizing that most rare-common integrated models remain insufficiently validated for routine clinical decision-making.

common variants

Large-scale multi-omics enhance risk prediction for type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS), metabolomics, and proteomics have each shown promise in improving type 2 diabetes risk prediction, but their combined utility beyond established clinical models remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate whether integrating multi-omics biomarkers enhances 10-year type 2 diabetes risk prediction beyond single-omics extensions and the clinical Cambridge Diabetes Risk Score (CDRS), which includes HbA1c measurements. METHODS: We analysed data from 42,840 UK Biobank participants without diagnosed diabetes at baseline. The study population was split into a derivation set (Phase 1 metabolomics release, N&#x2009;=&#x2009;23,108) to fit models and an independent validation set (Phase 2 release, N&#x2009;=&#x2009;19,732) to evaluate performance. Data for a PRS for type 2 diabetes, 11 metabolites, and 15 proteins were added to the CDRS to develop multi-omics prediction models. Model performance was evaluated using Harrell's C-index and the net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: During 10 years of follow-up, 1090 participants developed incident type 2 diabetes. Among individual omics layers, proteomics contributed the greatest improvement in predictive performance, increasing the C-index from 0.862 (clinical CDRS) to 0.884 (&#x394;C-index; + 0.022; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), with a continuous NRI of 42.0%. The full multi-omics model further significantly increased the C-index compared to a model combining the clinical CDRS with proteomics data (C-index, 0.891; &#x394;C-index; + 0.007; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). CONCLUSION: Integrating proteomics, metabolomics, and a diabetes-PRS into a clinical model substantially improves type 2 diabetes risk prediction beyond single-omics extensions. Several of the selected proteins and metabolites are on cardiovascular disease pathways, highlighting the link between diabetes and cardiovascular risk. However, the C-index difference between the proteomics extended and full multi-omics extended models is small, and the clinical models extended with proteomics data would be easier to translate into routine care because it needs only the measurement of 15 proteins. External validation and cost-effectiveness analyses are needed to support clinical adoption.

Humans

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: a genome-wide association meta-analysis and polygenic risk score.

BACKGROUND: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a heritable trait with marked variability in expression and outcomes. Our aims were to discover new genetic loci associated with HCM and to test the effect of a new polygenic risk score (PRS) on incidence, phenotype and outcomes stratified by genotype status. METHODS: A discovery genome-wide association study (GWAS) was performed on 2284 HCM cases and 4525 controls. Two fixed-effects meta-analyses combined our discovery GWAS with single-trait and multi-trait results from a published study. Discovered loci underwent comprehensive bioinformatic analysis including functional and druggability annotations. A PRS using loci from the two meta-analyses was evaluated for association with HCM diagnosis in 411&#x2009;213 individuals from UK Biobank (UKBB); imaging phenotypes in individuals without HCM; a composite endpoint (including all-cause mortality and transplantation); and sudden cardiac death (SCD) in 1756 HCM cases. PRS analyses were stratified by genotype status. RESULTS: Three loci were found in the discovery GWAS (BAG3, FHOD3 and novel locus PPP1R3A). In the meta-analyses, 70 unique loci were identified, four novel (MYPN, YWHAE, NOS1AP and OBSCN). Bioinformatic analyses identified NOS1AP as a candidate HCM gene. A new PRS was significantly associated with HCM diagnosis (HR=3.19, 95%&#x2009;CI 2.46 to 4.14 for top 5% vs lower 95%; HR=1.88, 95%&#x2009;CI 1.72 to 2.06 per SD increase). Significant associations were found between PRS and greater left ventricular (LV) wall thickness and higher LV ejection fraction in UKBB participants without HCM. Genotype-negative HCM cases in the top 20% of the PRS distribution had an increased risk of SCD (HR=2.72, 95%&#x2009;CI 1.03 to 7.17). CONCLUSIONS: We report novel HCM loci. A new PRS predicted the risk of HCM development and associated imaging characteristics in the UKBB and outcomes in an HCM cohort.

Cardiomyopathies

The association between GLP-1R expression and cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic-related diseases in non-diabetic and non-obese population: evidence triangulation using Mendelian randomization, observational and polygenic score association analysis.

BACKGROUND: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1R) agonists are emerging as promising therapies for cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) related diseases in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) or obesity. But their effects in non-obese and non-diabetic individuals are unclear. This study triangulates evidence using Mendelian randomization (MR), polygenic scores (PGS) and observational analyses to estimate the associations of GLP-1R expression with chronic kidney disease (CKD), heart failure (HF) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). METHODS: For the MR analysis, instruments mimicking GLP-1R expression were identified using pancreas-specific cis-expression quantitative trait loci from GTEx (N&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;305). MR-Robust method was used as the primary MR approach. PGS and observational analyses were performed both in non-diabetic and non-obese individuals separately. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) for MASLD (14,231 cases and 348,091 controls) was performed in the general population using data from UK Biobank. RESULTS: GLP-1R expression showed robust effects on CKD (odds ratio [OR] 0.96, 95%CI 0.95 to 0.97, q&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.7&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-&#x2009;10 ), HF (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96, 95%CI 0.94 to 0.97, q&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.5&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-&#x2009;8) and MASLD (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96, 95%CI 0.93 to 0.98, q&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.3&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-&#x2009;3) in the general population. Consistent results were observed in validation analyses. Furthermore, PGS and observational analyses among non-T2DM and non-obese individuals found little evidence to support its association with CKD, HF or MASLD. GWAS analysis identified eight conditionally independent variants associated with MASLD, in which rs563199662 was a new signal located at TFPI region. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides multilayered evidence for GLP-1R expression in mitigating CKD, HF and MASLD risks in the general population, while de-prioritized its effect on CKM-related diseases in non-obese and non-diabetic individuals. Further clinical trials are needed to validate the effects of GLP-1R agonists in relative health population.

Humans

Enhancing detection of polygenic adaptation: a comparative study of machine learning and statistical approaches using simulated evolve-and-resequence data.

BACKGROUND: Detecting signals of polygenic adaptation remains a significant challenge in population genomics, as traditional methods often struggle to identify the associated subtle, multi-locus allele-frequency shifts. Here, we introduced and tested several novel approaches combining machine learning techniques with traditional statistical tests to detect polygenic adaptation patterns in time-series of allele frequency changes from whole genome data. We implemented a Naive Bayesian Classifier (NBC) and One-Class Support Vector Machines (OCSVM), and compared their performance against the classical Fisher's Exact Test (FET). Furthermore, we combined machine learning and statistical models (OCSVM-FET and NBC-FET), resulting in 5 competing approaches. The framework is mainly designed and validated for evolve-and-resequence (EaR) experimental designs, where defined selection pressures and temporal sampling are feasible, but might be applicable for certain natural experiments as well. RESULTS: Using a simulated dataset based on empirical C. riparius Pool-Seq data, we evaluated methods across evolutionary scenarios varying in generation, selection strength, and number of loci under selection. Our results demonstrate that the combined OCSVM-FET approach consistently outperformed competing methods, achieving the lowest false positive rate, highest area under the curve, and high accuracy. The performance peak aligned with what we term the 'late dynamic phase' of adaptation - the period after initial selection has occurred but before fixation - highlighting the method's sensitivity to ongoing selective processes. CONCLUSIONS: Furthermore, we emphasize the critical role of parameter tuning, balancing biological assumptions with methodological rigor. While broader applicability remains an important direction for future work, the present benchmarking is intentionally scoped to EaR experimental contexts.

Machine Learning

Polygenic Risk Based Detection and Treatment of Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis in the PROACT Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic risk scores (PRS) may identify individuals at elevated genetic risk "flying under the radar" in contemporary practice. The aims of the PROACT (Polygenic Risk Based Detection and Treatment of Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis) trials are to prospectively identify these individuals, quantify subclinical coronary plaque, and slow its progression with pharmacologic interventions. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study is to report interim feasibility and implementation findings from PROACT, a genotype-first, biobank-enabled trial, characterizing eligibility yield, callback engagement, and subclinical coronary atherosclerosis on coronary computed tomographic angiography among individuals with high CAD PRS. METHODS: Within a hospital-based biobank, adults 40 to 75 years of age with high CAD PRS, without cardiovascular disease, and not on lipid-lowering therapy were invited. The authors characterize 2,495 eligible individuals with high CAD PRS, report on the feasibility and early operational outcomes of a genotype-first callback strategy for a clinical trial in the first 1,314 invited, and describe plaque prevalence by age and sex in the first 204 participants using coronary computed tomographic angiography. RESULTS: Among 64,092 genotyped participants, 2,495 (3.9%) were eligible and had high CAD PRS despite low clinical risk (median 10-year pooled cohort equations risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease 3%; Q1-Q3: 1%-8%). Recruitment showed high engagement: among 1,314 invited individuals, 283 (21.5%) opted in, and 204 (15.5%) completed baseline imaging. Compared with participants who did not opt in, those who opted in had higher specialty care engagement and lived closer to the study site. Analysis of the first 204 participants enrolled by January 31, 2025 (mean age 56.3 &#xb1; 8.5 years, 69% women), showed that despite the low clinical risk and favorable cardiovascular health (mean Life's Essential 8 score 73.3 &#xb1; 11.5 vs the U.S. average of &#x223c;65), one-half the participants (102 of 204) had subclinical plaque. Subclinical plaque prevalence was 76.2% in men and 38.3% in women and was high across age groups. CONCLUSIONS: These exploratory findings highlight the feasibility of implementing genotype-first recruitment for prevention trials and reveal a large proportion of "silent" high-genetic risk individuals with subclinical plaque for whom pharmacotherapy could be beneficial but who remain undetected by standard clinical assessments. (Polygenic Risk Based Detection of Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis and Change in Cardiovascular Health [PROACT 1], NCT05819814; Polygenic Risk Based Detection of Subclinical Coronary Atherosclerosis and Intervention With Statin and Colchicine [PROACT 2], NCT05850091).

Adult

Coronary Artery Disease-Based Polygenic Risk Score in Early-Onset Acute Myocardial Infarction Subtypes.

BACKGROUND: The coronary artery disease-based polygenic risk score (PRS-CAD) estimates risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), but its performance across AMI subtypes in younger individuals, especially women, remains uncertain. OBJECTIVES: The authors assessed PRS-CAD's performance in AMI subtypes. METHODS: We included 2,079 AMI patients aged 18 to 55 years with a 2:1 female-to-male ratio from the VIRGO (Variation in Recovery: Role of Gender on Outcomes of Young Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients) study and 3,761 controls from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) study. AMI subtypes were classified using the VIRGO taxonomy. We evaluated PRS-CAD's association with AMI subtypes using multinomial logistic regression and with 1-year outcomes in AMI subtypes using Cox regression. RESULTS: PRS-CAD was significantly associated with MI due to coronary artery disease (N = 1,876; OR: 1.82 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI: 1.67-1.97; P < 0.001) but not with MI with nonobstructive coronary artery disease (N = 188; OR: 1.13 per 1-SD increase; 95% CI: 0.96-1.34; P = 0.14). PRS-CAD's performance did not differ by sex. A 1-SD increase in PRS-CAD was associated with higher risk of 1-year hospitalization or death in patients with MI with nonobstructive coronary artery disease (HR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.08-2.10; P = 0.02) but not in patients with MI due to coronary artery disease (HR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.91-1.07; P = 0.67). CONCLUSIONS: PRS-CAD's association with AMI varied by subtype but not by sex in young adults, warranting caution in application.

acute myocardial infarction

Stratifying Lung Adenocarcinoma Risk with Multi-ancestry Polygenic Risk Scores in East Asian Never-Smokers.

BACKGROUND: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) in never-smokers is a major public health burden, especially among East Asian women. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are promising for risk stratification but are primarily developed in European-ancestry populations. We aimed to develop and validate single- and multi-ancestry PRSs for East Asian never-smokers to improve LUAD risk prediction. METHODS: PRSs were developed using genome-wide association study summary statistics from East Asian (8,002 cases; 20,782 controls) and European (2,058 cases; 5,575 controls) populations. Single-ancestry models included PRS-25, PRS-CT, and LDpred2; multi-ancestry models included LDpred2+PRS-EUR128, PRS-CSx, and CT-SLEB. Performance was evaluated in independent East Asian data from the Female Lung Cancer Consortium (FLCCA) and externally validated in the Nanjing Lung Cancer Cohort (NJLCC). We assessed predictive accuracy via AUC, with 10-year and (age 30-80) absolute risks estimates. RESULTS: The best multi-ancestry PRS, using East Asian and European data via CT-SLEB (clumping and thresholding, super learning, empirical Bayes), outperformed the best East Asian-only PRS (LDpred2; AUC=0.629, 95% CI:0.618,0.641), achieving an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI:0.629,0.653) and odds ratio of 1.71 (95% CI:1.61,1.82) per SD increase. NJLCC Validation confirmed robust performance (AUC =0.649, 95% CI: 0.623, 0.676). The top 20% PRS group had a 3.92-fold higher LUAD risk than the bottom 20%. Further, the top 5% PRS group reached a 6.69% lifetime absolute risk. Notably, this group reached the average population 10-year LUAD risk at age 50 (0.42%) by age 41, nine years earlier. CONCLUSIONS: Multi-ancestry PRS approaches enhance LUAD risk stratification in East Asian never-smokers, with consistent external validation, suggesting future clinical utility.

East Asian never smokers

Harnessing Polygenic Risk Scores to Refine Venous Thromboembolism Risk Stratification.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a major cause of morbidity in patients of all ages. Despite growing interest in polygenic risk scores (PRS) for VTE, their utility remains understudied. Our objective was to evaluate the independent impact of a PRS on VTE susceptibility in adults and children. METHODS: We completed a retrospective, case-control study of two separate cohorts with evaluation of three VTE PRS models, with the primary analysis focused on a 293 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) PRS. The adult cohort included 597 VTE cases and 31&#x2009;998 controls, and the pediatric cohort included 109 cases and 448 controls, both obtained from a de-identified databank with linked genetic data. Separate adult and pediatric multivariable logistic regressions were performed to measure the association of risk factors with VTE. RESULTS: Higher PRS in adults was significantly associated with increased odds of VTE, with each 1-standard deviation increase in PRS conferring an adjusted odds ratio of 1.25 (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.25, 95% CI 1.15-1.36, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Leading risk factors for adults were cancer (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.43, 95% CI: 2.04-2.89, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and recent surgery (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.16, 95% CI: 1.83-2.54, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). The standardized PRS also exhibited increased risk for VTE in children (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.38, 95% CI 1.10-1.74, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.003). Central venous catheterization (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;5.65, 95% CI 3.40-9.50, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) was the foremost risk factor for pediatric VTE. CONCLUSION: VTE in adults and children is multifactorial, with clinical and genome-wide risk factors contributing. PRS may serve as a valuable adjunct to clinical risk factors for VTE risk stratification.

Humans

Polygenic scores for obstructive sleep apnoea reveal pathways contributing to cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) is a common chronic condition, with obesity its strongest risk factor. Polygenic scores (PGSs) summarise the genetic liability to phenotype and can provide insights into relationships between phenotypes. Recently, large datasets that include genetic data and OSA status became available, providing an opportunity to utilise PGS approaches to study the genetic relationship between OSA and other phenotypes, while differentiating OSA-specific from obesity-specific genetic factors. METHODS: Using race/ethnic diverse samples from over 1.2 million individuals from the Million Veteran Program, FinnGen, TOPMed, All of Us (AoU), Geisinger's MyCode, MGB Biobank, and the Human Phenotype Project, we developed and assessed PGSs for OSA, both without (BMIunadjOSA-PGS) and with adjustment for the genetic contributions of BMI (BMIadjOSA-PGS). FINDINGS: Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for OSA per 1 standard deviation of the PGSs ranged from 1.38 to 2.75. The associations of BMIadjOSA- and BMIunadjOSA-PGSs with CVD outcomes in AoU shared both common and distinct patterns. Only BMIunadjOSA-PGS was associated with type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and coronary artery disease, while both BMIadjOSA- and BMIunadjOSA-PGSs were associated with hypertension and stroke. Sex stratified analyses revealed that BMIadjOSA-PGS association with hypertension was driven by females (OR = 1.1, p-value = 0.002, OR = 1.01 p-value = 0.2 in males). OSA PGSs were also associated with body fat measures with some sex-specific associations. INTERPRETATION: Distinct components of OSA genetic risk are related and independent of obesity. Sex-specific associations with body fat distribution measures may explain differing OSA risks and associations with cardiometabolic morbidities between sexes. FUNDING: R01AG080598.

Humans