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Results for “prospective cohort”

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PubMed1992

Cost and complications during in-hospital transport of critically ill patients: a prospective cohort study.

We prospectively studied transport of a group of 100 surgery/trauma patients and a matched control group in the ICU. APACHE II scores for the two groups were 23 +/- 6 and 20 +/- 8. During transport both groups had ECG, heart rate, blood pressure, and oxygen saturation continuously monitored. We also determined the cost and results of transport for those patients requiring diagnostic testing. There were six diagnostic tests performed: CT scan of the abdomen (39%), CT scan of the head (31%), CT scan of the chest (8%), CT scan of the cervical spine (4%), angiography (14%), and tomography (4%). Average transport time was 74 +/- 16 minutes with a range of 20-225 minutes. Physiologic changes defined as a BP +/- 20 mm Hg, heart rate +/- 20 beats/min, respiratory rate +/- 5 breaths/min, or oxygen saturation +/- 5% for 5 minutes duration occurred in 66% of transported patients and 60% of ICU patients. There were no differences in arterial blood gas levels before and during transport. In 39% of transports, the results of diagnostic testing produced a change in patient management within 48 hours. Abdominal CT scanning and angiography were associated with the highest percentage of tests leading to a management change (51% and 57%). The average charge to the patient was $612.00 and the average cost to the hospital $452.00. Our results suggest that while physiologic changes are frequent during transport, they are also frequent in ICU patients as a consequence of the severity of illness.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Coagulation screening tests in high risk neonates: a prospective cohort study.

Forty seven infants in a prospective cohort of 170 high risk neonates without signs of overt bleeding had abnormal coagulation screening tests within 36 hours of birth. Early thrombocytopenia was a better predictor of prolonged prothrombin times and hypofibrinogenemia than very low birth weight, fetal growth retardation, or poor five minute Apgar scores.

Blood Coagulation Disorders↗

PubMed2026

Awake Craniotomy for Eloquent Region Glioblastoma Classified by Tumor Location-A Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The efficacy of awake craniotomy (AC) with intraoperative mapping for glioblastoma (GBM) in eloquent regions remains debated. This study aims to evaluate functional and survival outcomes of GBM patients undergoing AC stratified by tumor locations. METHODS: A combined retrospective (2015-2023, n = 114: 43 AC vs. 71 standard craniotomy) and prospective cohort (2023-2025, n = 28: 13 AC vs. 15 standard craniotomy) of GBM patients with motor/language-eloquent tumors was analyzed. Tumors were classified into motor subtypes (I: precentral gyrus; II: premotor/supplementary motor; III: internal capsule posterior limb; IV: other) and language subtypes (I: Broca's/precentral; II: postcentral/supramarginal gyrus; III: Wernicke's; IV: insular; V: other). Outcomes included extent of resection (EOR), postoperative motor/language recovery, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: The retrospective cohort demonstrated that AC has advantages in functional preservation across various motor/language subtypes. However, AC was associated with significantly deteriorated survival outcomes specifically in precentral gyrus GBMs. A prospective cohort study, enrolling only precentral gyrus GBMs for validation, yielded results consistent with the retrospective findings: worsened OS and PFS (OS: HR = 3.223, p = 0.0450; PFS: HR = 2.374, p = 0.0476); reduced EOR (AC: 74.3% ± 5.3%; standard craniotomy: 86.9% ± 12.3%, p = 0.0470); and better motor recovery. CONCLUSIONS: Functional preservation and survival outcomes of AC in GBM exhibited subtype-specific correlations with tumor locations. AC with intraoperative mapping effectively preserves neurological function in GBM patients. However, for tumors involving the precentral gyrus, the AC approach carries greater risks than benefits and should be considered with caution. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Strategic Intervention on Preserving Motor Function During Awake Craniotomy: NCT05143788. Strategic Intervention on Preserving Language Function During Awake Craniotomy: NCT05143775.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Physicians' attitudes toward preventive care services: a seven-year prospective cohort study.

We report results of a seven-year prospective cohort study of physicians' attitudes about and intentions to provide 27 preventive care services in their future practices. Respondents in the cohort were surveyed three times: first, during orientation to medical school; second, during their third year of medical school; and finally, following completion of their third-year of residency training. The majority of preventive care services were viewed as more important to clinical practice in primary care than in non-primary care specialties. Positive attitudes toward preventive care services generally persisted among both primary and non-primary care physicians. Respondents expressed only fair to medium levels of confidence in the ability of physicians in their specialty areas to provide any of the preventive services examined. Respondents reported low levels of confidence in the ability of primary care physicians to provide nutritional counseling, though they ranked it as important. Respondents were fairly or moderately confident in the ability of primary care physicians to provide counseling about smoking cessation, health, AIDS education, and substance abuse. Participants ranked smoking cessation counseling, health counseling, AIDS education, cancer detection education, and substance abuse counseling and education as very important. In general, physicians were less likely to plan on providing preventive services than they were to expect their residency programs to prepare most or all to provide the services. Findings document the need to prepare physicians better to provide preventive services.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗

PubMed2026

Low-carbohydrate diet score subtypes and all-cause mortality in general and chronic disease populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

OBJECTIVES: To examine associations of overall, healthy and unhealthy low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) scores with all-cause mortality in general and chronic disease populations. Healthy and unhealthy subtypes were compared with assess whether the observed associations depend on macronutrient quality rather than carbohydrate restriction alone. DESIGN: Systematic review and pairwise category meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, MEDLINE, ProQuest Medical Database and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception to 12 May 2026. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Prospective cohort studies of adults assessing LCD adherence using a validated three-macronutrient composite score and reporting HRs for all-cause mortality were eligible. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Random-effects meta-analyses compared each higher reported LCD category with the lowest category, stratified by LCD score subtype and population type. Certainty of evidence was assessed using NutriGrade. RESULTS: 18 prospective cohort studies included 779 158 participants and 219 457 deaths; all scored 7-9/9 on the NOS. In chronic disease populations, the highest healthy LCD category was associated with lower mortality than the lowest category (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.76; I²=0%; high certainty), as was the highest overall LCD category (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.96; I²=68%; high certainty). In the general population, the highest healthy LCD category was not associated with lower mortality than the lowest category (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.01; I²=69%; moderate certainty), and neither was the highest overall LCD category (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.03; I²=87%; low certainty). Unhealthy LCD scores were not associated with mortality in either population. CONCLUSIONS: Healthy LCD adherence was associated with lower all-cause mortality, particularly among individuals with chronic diseases. Unhealthy LCD scores were not associated with mortality in either population, suggesting that macronutrient quality and source may matter more than carbohydrate reduction alone.

Humans↗

PubMed1992

Fibrinolytic activity as a predictor of the outcome of prolapsed intervertebral lumbar disc surgery with reference to background variables: results of a prospective cohort study.

In a prospective study 122 patients with a slipped lumbar disc and no previous surgery were preoperatively examined for fibrinolytic activity. Surgical results for these patients were evaluated 12 months postoperatively by clinical overall assessment. In a multiple linear regression analysis fibrinolytic variables, euglobulin clot lysis time and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1, were shown to have predictive value regarding outcome of surgery; that is, normal fibrinolytic activity favors a satisfactory outcome and vice versa. Background variables and lipid profile were also recorded preoperatively. Body mass index, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, triglycerides and smoking were of statistical significance in relation to euglobulin clot lysis time and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1. Postoperative fibrinolytic re-examination of 20 patients seem to confirm that patients at risk of surgical failure have a prolonged depression of fibrinolytic activity.

Cohort Studies↗

PubMed2026

E-cigarette product characteristics and packaging features and interest in e-cigarette use: Results from a randomized within-person trial nested in three prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Product characteristics and packaging may be key targets for regulation to reduce e-cigarette use among youth, but existing data are limited. METHODS: Data are from an experimental study (2018-2020) nested within three prospective cohorts (age 14-26) in southern California (N = 3565). Participants were shown five e-cigarette (e-liquid) packages in a random order that varied in flavor (sweet vs. tobacco), flavor name (descriptive ["blueberry cheesecake"] vs. concept ["smurf cake"] vs. none [number only]), and cartoon image on package (yes/no). For each stimuli, survey items assessed the following outcomes: product appeal (self-enjoyment, others' enjoyment; Likert scale [1-5]), susceptibility to use (use if friends offered, curiosity; 4 ordered responses [definitely not-definitely yes]), peer acceptability (definitely not-definitely yes), and perceived harm (definitely not-definitely yes). Mixed effects proportional odds models evaluated within-person effects of each factor (flavor, flavor name, cartoon) with each outcome. RESULTS: Participants reported greater appeal, susceptibility, and peer acceptability (OR range=3.7-16.9; ps<0.05), and lower perceived harm (OR=0.61; 95%CI=0.53, 0.70) for sweet (vs. tobacco-flavored) e-cigarettes; effects were progressively stronger for younger cohorts. The descriptive flavor name rated higher than the concept flavor (OR range=1.13-2.02; ps<0.05) or number only (OR range=1.18-1.69; ps<0.05) for appeal and susceptibility measures; no differences for concept vs. number were found. The cartoon image rated higher for appeal, curiosity, and peer acceptability (OR range=1.24-1.51; ps<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Sweet flavors, descriptive flavor names, and cartoon images may increase the appeal of e-cigarettes among youth and young adults with no history of e-cigarette use, and are key targets for regulation.

Humans↗

PubMed1992

Reduced cancer morbidity and mortality in a prospective cohort of women with distal forearm fractures.

At the Department of Orthopedics of University Hospital, Lund, Sweden, cancer incidence and overall and cause-specific mortality were studied in a prospective cohort of 677 women who had experienced a fracture of the distal forearm in 1974 or 1975. The women were followed through population-based population, cancer, and death registries in southern Sweden. There was a significant reduction in overall cancer incidence (66 cases observed vs. 90.21 expected), breast cancer incidence (11 cases observed vs. 20.31 cases expected), and incidence of tumors of the female genital tract (5 cases observed vs. 11.84 expected). Overall mortality was also reduced (146 cases observed vs. 191.69 cases expected), and rates of death from circulatory disease (79 cases observed vs. 111.49 expected) and malignant tumors (30 cases observed vs. 40.41 expected) were both lower than expected.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Association between fruit and vegetable intake and risk of depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

Depression is a leading cause of global disability, and identifying modifiable lifestyle factors is a public health priority. We conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies examining the association between fruit and vegetable intake and incident depression. PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Embase, and Google Scholar were searched through November 2025. Data on study characteristics, dietary assessment, outcomes, effect estimates, and covariates were independently extracted by two reviewers. Random-effects models were used to calculate pooled relative risks (RRs), and linear and non-linear dose-response relationships were assessed. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2, and evidence certainty was rated with GRADE. Thirteen cohorts with 385,449 participants and 26,592 depression cases were included. Highest versus lowest combined fruit and vegetable intake was associated with a 37% lower risk of depression (RR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.80). Each 200 g/day increase corresponded to a 16% risk reduction (RR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.74-0.94). Separate analyses showed that fruit and vegetable intake reduced depression risk by 16% and 12%, respectively, with a non-linear dose-response for vegetables. These findings indicate that higher consumption of fruits and vegetables is associated with lower depression risk, supporting dietary strategies as a potential approach for mental health prevention. However, given the observational nature of the included studies, these results should be interpreted with caution, as residual confounding may partially account for the observed associations. Registration: This study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD420261279998).

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Risks of non-breast, non-ovarian cancers for BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The non-breast non-ovarian cancers associated with BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variants (PVs) are controversial. We aimed to examine this using a prospective cohort design. METHODS: This study included 1260 BRCA1 and 1058 BRCA2 PV carriers (91% were females) from two consortia: the Breast Cancer Family Registry (BCFR) and the Kathleen Cuningham Foundation Consortium for Research into Familial Breast Cancer Follow-Up Study (kConFab-FUS). The carriers were free of cancer other than breast or ovarian cancer at baseline and had a median baseline age of 45.5 years. For 16 types of non-breast, non-ovarian cancers, standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) relative to population incidence, the probabilities of relative risk effect size > 2 (i.e., moderate risk) and cumulative risks to age 80 years were estimated. RESULTS: During a median follow-up time of 11.4 years, 161 non-breast, non-ovarian cancers were observed. For BRCA1 PV carriers, little evidence of increased risk was observed. The prostate, pancreatic, and all non-pancreatic cancer SIRs were 1.7 (95% CI 0.7-4.2), 1.1 (95% CI 0.3-4.6) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.68-1.06), respectively; the probabilities of relative risk > 2 were 0 and 67% for prostate and pancreatic cancers, respectively. For BRCA2 PV carriers, increased risks of pancreatic (SIR = 6.6, 95% CI 3.8-11.6), prostate (SIR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.9-6.8) and stomach (SIR = 3.1, 95% CI 1.01-9.8) cancer were observed, with a cumulative risk to age 80 years of 8.3, 82.0, and 1.6%, respectively. For all the other non-breast, non-ovarian cancers combined, the SIR was 0.85 (95% CI 0.66-1.10). CONCLUSIONS: Apart from pancreatic, prostate, and possibly stomach cancers for BRCA2 PV carriers, and possibly pancreatic cancer for BRCA1 PV carriers, there is no evidence that BRCA1 and BRCA2 PV carriers have substantially increased risks of other non-breast, non-ovarian cancers. Our prospective risk estimates are informative for cancer risk assessment for people with BRCA1 and BRCA2 PVs.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

One-carbon metabolism and chemotherapy-induced toxicities in patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: One-carbon metabolism (OCM) is a target of the chemotherapeutic agent capecitabine. OBJECTIVES: We investigated OCM biomarker concentrations in relation to capecitabine-induced toxicities in patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer. METHODS: Within a prospective cohort, 297 patients receiving adjuvant capecitabine-based chemotherapy were included. Pretreatment plasma concentrations of the OCM biomarkers folate, vitamin B2, vitamin B6, vitamin B12, total homocysteine, methionine, serine, and glycine were determined. We also investigated whether associations differed according to methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T genotypes. Chemotherapy-induced toxicities were defined as toxicity-induced modifications of capecitabine treatment. To allow for inspection of shapes of the associations, restricted cubic splines and Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS: In total, 156 (53%) patients experienced toxicity-induced modifications of capecitabine treatment. Folate was not associated with toxicities in the overall population. Higher folate concentrations were associated with a lower risk of toxicities in patients with MTHFR C677T CT/TT genotype (HRperdoubling: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.57, 0.98) but not in patients with CC genotype (HRperdoubling: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.63). Higher concentrations of vitamin B2 were associated with a lower risk of toxicities (HRperdoubling: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.99), whereas higher glycine concentrations were associated with a higher risk of toxicities (HRperdoubling: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.18, 2.94). The association between vitamin B6 and vitamin B12 and toxicities appeared nonlinear. Homocysteine, methionine, and serine were not associated with toxicities. CONCLUSIONS: Future studies investigating whether nutrition-guided optimization of OCM biomarkers will result in improved treatment tolerance are warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2024

Identification of biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets for pancreatic cancer by proteomic analysis in two prospective cohorts.

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the deadliest malignancy due to late diagnosis. Aberrant alterations in the blood proteome might serve as biomarkers to facilitate early detection of PC. We designed a nested case-control study of incident PC based on a prospective cohort of 38,295 elderly Chinese participants with ∼5.7 years' follow-up. Forty matched case-control pairs passed the quality controls for the proximity extension assay of 1,463 serum proteins. With a lenient threshold of p < 0.005, we discovered regenerating family member 1A (REG1A), REG1B, tumor necrosis factor (TNF), and phospholipase A2 group IB (PLA2G1B) in association with incident PC, among which the two REG1 proteins were replicated using the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, with effect sizes increasing steadily as diagnosis time approaches the baseline. Mendelian randomization analysis further supported the potential causal effects of REG1 proteins on PC. Taken together, circulating REG1A and REG1B are promising biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets for the early detection and prevention of PC.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Age-stratified associations of glycemia, blood pressure, and cholesterol with mortality in diabetes: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Optimization of HbA1c, blood pressure and cholesterol, referred to as the "ABCs", is central to the management of diabetes. However, the age-specific associations of these factors with mortality in patients with diabetes remains unclear. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 43,732 Chinese adults aged ≥ 40 years with diabetes were included from the China Cardiometabolic Disease and Cancer Cohort (4C) Study. Participants were stratified by age (< 55, 55-<65, 65-<75, ≥ 75 years). Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray competing risk models were employed to estimate the associations of HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality across age groups. Relative importance and population attributable fractions (PAFs) were computed for each metabolic factor. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 3,975 deaths were documented. Age significantly modified the associations of HbA1c, SBP, and LDL-C with all mortality outcomes (all P for interaction < 0.05). Among participants aged < 75 years, HbA1c showed graded positive associations with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality. The SBP thresholds associated with increased mortality risk were 140 mmHg in those aged < 65 years and 160 mmHg in those aged 65-<75 years. Among those aged ≥ 75 years, however, the patterns of these associations differed markedly. Elevated mortality risk was observed only at HbA1c ≥ 9%, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.51 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.91) for all-cause mortality and a subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of 1.70 (95% CI: 1.23-2.36) for cardiovascular mortality, while SBP showed no significant association with any mortality outcome in this age group. Moreover, LDL-C emerged as a significant risk factor for cardiovascular mortality. Compared with participants with LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, those with LDL-C of 1.8-<2.6 mmol/L exhibited a significantly higher risk (SHR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.11-3.11). Additionally, LDL-C had the largest PAF for cardiovascular mortality (9.6%) within this age group. CONCLUSIONS: The impacts of ABC factors on mortality risk vary substantially by age among adults with diabetes. In patients aged ≥ 75 years, less stringent glycemic and blood pressure targets may be appropriate, whereas lipid management remains critically important for reducing cardiovascular mortality.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Large-Scale Plasma Proteomics Enhances Prediction of Liver-Related Events Among Individuals With Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a protein risk score (ProRS) for predicting liver-related events (LREs) in patients with diabetes and compare its predictive performance with the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and an established polygenic risk score. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 13 516 individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models and LASSO regression were applied to identify proteins associated with incident LREs and construct the ProRS. Predictive performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 171 (1.3%) incident LREs occurred. We identified 877 proteins associated with LRE risk, primarily enriched in inflammatory signalling, extracellular matrix remodelling and complement/coagulation cascades. In the training set, we developed a 24-protein ProRS (C-index, 0.842; 95% CI 0.797-0.884) that stratified individuals into low-, medium- and high-risk groups, with 10-year cumulative incidences of LREs of 0.2%, 1.2% and 14.2%, respectively. Compared with the low-risk group, the hazard ratio for LREs was 57.1 (95% CI 31.9-102) in the high-risk group. In the internal validation set, the ProRS model (C-index, 0.876; 95% CI 0.827-0.920) accurately predicted both short- and long-term LREs and outperformed FIB-4 index (C-index, 0.733; 95% CI 0.657-0.807) and polygenic risk score (C-index, 0.636; 95% CI 0.564-0.706). CONCLUSIONS: The protein risk score demonstrated superior performance compared with the FIB-4 index and the polygenic risk score in predicting incident LREs among individuals with prediabetes and T2D. The score allows stratification of individuals according to liver-related risk, though external validation in multi-ethnic cohorts is warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Predicting bloodstream infection by plasma cell-free metagenomic sequencing: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients receiving myelosuppressive chemotherapy or haematopoietic cell transplantation are at high risk for life-threatening bloodstream infections. A novel pre-emptive treatment paradigm guided by pathogen detection before symptoms appear might reduce this risk, but no validated screening test is available. This study evaluated the sensitivity and specificity of plasma microbial cell-free DNA metagenomic sequencing (mcfDNA-Seq) for predicting bloodstream infections in children and adolescents receiving therapy for high-risk leukaemia. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, between Aug 9, 2017, and Feb 28, 2022, leftover clinical plasma samples were prospectively collected up to once per day from patients who were younger than 25 years, receiving care for leukaemia at St Jude Children's Research Hospital (Memphis, TN, USA), and at high risk for life-threatening bloodstream infections. mcfDNA-Seq was used to identify pathogen DNA in blood samples obtained during the 7 days before to 1 day after bloodstream infection onset, and in control samples from the same population in the absence of fever or infection. The testing laboratory was masked to sample status. Primary outcomes were predictive sensitivity of mcfDNA-Seq for detecting the expected bloodstream infection pathogen during the 3 days preceding the day of bloodstream infection onset, with a prespecified favourable sensitivity of 50%, and predictive specificity of mcfDNA-Seq in control samples. Exploratory analyses comprised assessing sensitivity and specificity restricted to bacteria or common bloodstream infection pathogens, and after applying a data-derived DNA fragment concentration cutoff; estimating the predictive sensitivity on each of the 7 days before bloodstream infection onset; identifying clinical characteristics that affected predictive sensitivity or specificity; and examining the clinical relevance of additional organisms identified by mcfDNA-Seq during bloodstream infection episodes. Diagnostic sensitivity was also assessed on samples collected on the day of, or day after, diagnosis of bloodstream infection. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03226158. FINDINGS: 94 evaluable bloodstream infections occurred in 60 (38%) of 158 enrolled participants; 19 episodes were previously described in the pilot phase of this study. The predictive sensitivity of mcfDNA-Seq was 51·9% (95% CI 40·5-63·1) for all bloodstream infection episodes, 53·8% (42·2-65·2) for bacterial infection only, and 51·9% (40·5-63·1) when applying a DNA fragment concentration cutoff of 140 molecules per μL. Sensitivity was lowest at day -7 and increased daily until the day of diagnosis. Diagnostic sensitivity was 81·3% (95% CI 71·0-89·1) for all bloodstream infection episodes and 83·1% (72·9-90·7) for bacterial infections only. Predictive specificity was 82·7% (95% CI 76·0-88·2), but improved to 88·9% (83·0-93·3) for common bloodstream infection pathogens, and to 93·8% (88·9-97·0) when also applying the DNA fragment concentration cutoff. Predictive sensitivity was higher in participants with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 11·1 [1·7-74·2] vs those with acute myeloid leukaemia), and it was lower in polymicrobial infections (aOR 0·0 [0·0-0·2] vs monomicrobial Gram-positive infections). Clinical false-positive results were positively associated with gastrointestinal disturbance alone (p=0·037) or combined with recent administration of high-dose cytarabine (p=0·012). Additional organisms identified by mcfDNA-Seq that were not identified by blood culture were less likely than expected organisms to have an increasing DNA concentration during the days preceding bloodstream infection diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: mcfDNA-Seq can detect causative pathogens before the onset of some bloodstream infection episodes in profoundly immunocompromised patients. Predictive specificity might be improved by restricting results to a subgroup of relevant organisms, excluding patients with high risk of false-positive results, or applying a higher concentration cutoff. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate mcfDNA-Seq-guided pre-emptive therapy for preventing life-threatening bloodstream infections in patients with high risk. FUNDING: The National Cancer Institute, American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, and Karius.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

Premenarche risk factors for future dysmenorrhoea: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dysmenorrhoea, or pain during menstruation, is common in adolescence and is often dismissed or left untreated. Dysmenorrhoea can interfere with daily functioning and can lead to other chronic pain conditions; however, little is known about the risk factors for dysmenorrhoea. We aimed to characterise premenarche risk factors for the presence and severity of future dysmenorrhoea. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we obtained data for female adolescents from the population-based Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study (USA) who were premenarchal at baseline (age 9-10 years) and had both reached menarche and completed the Menstrual Cycle Survey at 3-year follow-up (age 12-13 years). Parents or guardians provided sociodemographic information and completed the Child Behavior Checklist, the Sleep Disturbance Scale for Children, and the Pubertal Development Scale, which captured data on non-painful somatic symptoms, attention problems, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbances, and pubertal development at baseline. Our primary objective was to analyse associations between dysmenorrhoea at 3-year follow-up (status and severity) with select symptom domains (sleep problems, attention problems, somatic symptoms, anxious or depressive symptoms, and baseline pain status) at baseline. We also investigated associations between dysmenorrhoea and participant characteristics (pubertal status, race or ethnicity, and income-to-needs ratio) that underlie social determinants of health. Differences by race were tested using Fisher exact tests. Differences by ethnicity and baseline pain status were tested using χ2 tests. Differences in continuous variables were assessed using ANOVA. Wilcoxon-Rank Sum tests were used in analyses of sleep problems, attention problems, and somatic symptoms, and ANOVA was used for pubertal status and income-to-needs ratio. Multinomial logistic regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea severity, and linear regression was used to test associations with dysmenorrhoea status and menstrual pain interference. FINDINGS: 2254 female adolescents were included in this study. 1299 (57·6%) participants developed dysmenorrhoea at age 12-13 years, and 247 (19·0% of those with dysmenorrhoea) reported severe dysmenorrhoea. Non-painful somatic symptoms were prospectively associated with future dysmenorrhoea (odds ratio [OR] 1·17 [95% CI 1·04-1·32]; p=0·0070), whereas anxiety or depression, sleep disturbances, and attention problems were not. Sleep disturbances were prospectively associated with menstrual pain interference (β coefficient 0·16 [95% CI 0·01-0·31]). Advanced pubertal status at ages 9-10 years was prospectively associated with risk of dysmenorrhoea 3 years later (OR 1·79 [95% CI 1·47-2·17]; p<0·0001), as was lower income-to-needs ratio (0·96 [0·93-1·00]; p=0·031). Black (1·38 [1·05-1·83]; p=0·024) and Hispanic (1·34 [1·03-1·68]; p=0·010) young females were at a significantly greater risk of experiencing dysmenorrhoea than were White and non-Hispanic young females, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Sociodemographic characteristics and clinical symptoms present before menarche might help to identify at-risk individuals for dysmenorrhoea before pain becomes a lifelong issue. FUNDING: The National Institute of Nursing Research, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, and the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute for Child Health and Human Development.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Psychometric Properties and Prognostic Value of the UCSD Shortness of Breath Questionnaire in Hypersensitivity Pneumonitis: A Prospective Cohort Study.

RATIONALE: Dyspnea is a prominent symptom of hypersensitivity pneumonitis (HP), limiting patients' activity and impairing their quality of life. The University of California San Diego Shortness of Breath questionnaire (UCSD) is a 24-item instrument used to assess dyspnea severity in patients with various respiratory conditions. OBJECTIVE: To examine the psychometric properties of the UCSD and assess the validity of its scores as measures of dyspnea severity and prognostic value in a prospective cohort with HP. METHODS: We evaluated the reliability, validity, and responsiveness of UCSD scores and assessed the association between score change and survival in a cohort of patients with HP who completed the UCSD and other HP severity metrics at baseline, 6 and 12 months. We introduce the reliable change index (RCI) and the likely change index (LCI) as ways to assess the statistical significance of within-individual change in UCSD scores and conducted analyses to provide context. RESULTS: At baseline, internal consistency (Cronbach's coefficient alpha) was 0.97; there were significant, moderately strong correlations between UCSD scores and percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%) r = -0.39, percent predicted diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO%) r = -0.33), and Borg dyspnea scores (0.55). UCSD scores were significantly different between the lowest and highest FVC%, 64.9 ± 18.9 vs. 36.2 ± 22.9. A 10-point worsening in the UCSD score was associated with a nearly 15-fold increase in time-to-death over the follow-up period. CONCLUSION: The UCSD has acceptable psychometric properties for assessing dyspnea severity in patients with HP. Worsening dyspnea is associated with shortened survival.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Source- and Solubility-specific Choline, Gut Microbiota, and Dyslipidemia Risk: Trimethylamine N-oxide-associated and Non-trimethylamine N-oxide-Associated Patterns in a Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Dietary choline, a major precursor of the gut microbial metabolite trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), is implicated in dyslipidemia risk; however, source- and form-specific associations and interactions with gut microbiota remain unclear. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine longitudinal associations of source- and form-specific dietary choline with plasma TMAO and dyslipidemia and to identify gut microbiota interactions. METHODS: Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (2018-2023), dietary intake was assessed via 3 consecutive 24-h recalls in this prospective cohort study. Two-level generalized linear mixed-effects models were applied in 4828 adults (mean age: 55.9 ± 12.6 y, 56.6% females) to assess choline-dyslipidemia associations. Choline-TMAO and TMAO-dyslipidemia analyses were conducted in 1091 participants free of dyslipidemia at baseline. Among 7169 adults with gut microbiome data, Least Absolute Selection and Shrinkage Operator and logistic regression identified lipid-associated gut genera; TMAO relationships were examined in a subset of 693 participants. RESULTS: Higher intakes of total [Q4 compared with Q1: odds ratio (OR) = 1.261; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.007, 1.580], red meat-derived (OR: 1.753; 95% CI: 1.196, 2.568), and lipid-soluble choline (OR: 1.304; 95% CI: 1.047, 1.624) were associated with higher risk of elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL cholesterol), whereas vegetable-derived choline was inversely associated. Egg-derived and lipid-soluble choline were positively associated with plasma TMAO, which was prospectively associated with 5-y incident dyslipidemia (Q4 compared with Q1-OR: 1.620; 95% CI: 1.047, 2.509), elevated LDL cholesterol (Q3 compared with Q1-OR: 2.478; 95% CI: 1.187, 5.174), and hypertriglyceridemia (Q4 compared with Q1-OR: 1.829; 95% CI: 1.028, 3.225). Three TMAO-associated genera were identified: Lachnospiraceae and Phascolarctobacterium as pro-risk taxa and Turicibacter as protective. The adverse LDLcholesterol association of egg-derived choline was observed exclusively in Phascolarctobacterium-enriched individuals. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary choline source and solubility differentially associated with dyslipidemia risk through TMAO-associated and non-TMAO-associated patterns, with gut microbiota as key modulators.

Humans↗