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Results for “protein risk score”

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PubMed2026

Machine Learning-Driven Prediction of Coronary Artery Disease Risk Based on UK Biobank Plasma Proteomics.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a leading global cause of mortality, yet the predictive accuracy of conventional risk models is limited. Here, we integrate conventional risk factors, polygenic risk scores, and large-scale proteomics to develop a unified model for enhanced CAD risk prediction. METHODS: Using data from UK Biobank, participants with plasma proteomics and genetic risk data were included after excluding prevalent CAD. Participants from England were split into training (n=32 330) and internal validation (n=13 857) sets, and Scotland/Wales participants formed an external validation set (n=5775). Incident CAD was ascertained from linked health records. A 202-protein proteomic risk score was derived by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression, and CatBoost models were trained using conventional risk factors alone and with incremental addition of polygenic risk scores and protein proteomic risk scores; Shapley Additive Explanations-guided forward selection identified a compact protein panel. RESULTS: Across cohorts, the median age was 58 years and ∼45% were men. Protein proteomic risk score was dose-dependently associated with CAD risk. Compared with conventional risk factors alone, integrating polygenic risk scores and protein proteomic risk scores improved discrimination, with the area under the curve increasing from 0.750 (95% CI, 0.732-0.767) to 0.789 (95% CI, 0.772-0.805) in internal validation and from 0.717 (95% CI, 0.683-0.750) to 0.762 (95% CI, 0.732-0.791) in external validation. A 9-protein panel (GDF15 [growth differentiation factor 15], MMP12 [matrix metalloproteinase 12], NPPB [natriuretic peptide B], PGF [placental growth factor], REN [renin], ADGRG2 [adhesion G-protein coupled receptor], ACE2 [angiotensin-converting enzyme 2], CDCP1 [CUB domain-containing protein 1], CXCL17 [C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 17)]) captured most proteomic predictive information. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that integrating conventional risk factors, polygenic risk scores, and proteomic data improves CAD risk prediction. This study highlights the utility of proteomics in precision cardiovascular medicine and simplified risk stratification tools.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Proteomic signatures for sudden cardiac death and related intermediate phenotypes.

BACKGROUND: Novel markers for sudden cardiac death (SCD) are needed. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore whether a protein risk score derived from a large-scale proteomics dataset improves risk prediction of SCD in the general population. METHODS: A total of 52,705 individuals with 1459 unique plasma protein measurements were included from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project. A protein risk score was developed using lasso-penalized Cox regression on 40,722 participants enrolled at the English centers and validated on 11,983 participants enrolled at the remaining centers. RESULTS: The protein risk score formula developed from the derivation set comprised 64 unique plasma proteins including latent-transforming growth factor beta-binding protein 2, protein tyrosine phosphatase receptor sigma, and spondin-1. In the test set, a per standard deviation increase in protein risk score was associated with a hazard ratio of 2.60 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.12-3.18) for SCD. Adding a protein risk score to SCD clinical risk factors resulted in a concordance index increase of 0.063 (95% CI 0.037-0.105) for SCD. For ventricular arrhythmia-mediated SCDs, an increase in concordance index when a protein risk score was added to SCD clinical risk factors was 0.070 (95% CI 0.010-0.188). A protein risk score added to SCD clinical risk factors resulted in a risk reclassification of 16.9% (95% CI 9.0-24.7) at a 10-year risk threshold of 5%. A protein risk score was significantly associated with intermediate phenotypes of SCD including corrected QT prolongation, an increase in left ventricular mean myocardial thickness, and a decrease in left ventricular global longitudinal strain. CONCLUSION: A protein risk score derived from a single plasma sample significantly improved risk prediction of SCD and related intermediate phenotypes.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Large-Scale Plasma Proteomics Enhances Prediction of Liver-Related Events Among Individuals With Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a protein risk score (ProRS) for predicting liver-related events (LREs) in patients with diabetes and compare its predictive performance with the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and an established polygenic risk score. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 13 516 individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models and LASSO regression were applied to identify proteins associated with incident LREs and construct the ProRS. Predictive performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 171 (1.3%) incident LREs occurred. We identified 877 proteins associated with LRE risk, primarily enriched in inflammatory signalling, extracellular matrix remodelling and complement/coagulation cascades. In the training set, we developed a 24-protein ProRS (C-index, 0.842; 95% CI 0.797-0.884) that stratified individuals into low-, medium- and high-risk groups, with 10-year cumulative incidences of LREs of 0.2%, 1.2% and 14.2%, respectively. Compared with the low-risk group, the hazard ratio for LREs was 57.1 (95% CI 31.9-102) in the high-risk group. In the internal validation set, the ProRS model (C-index, 0.876; 95% CI 0.827-0.920) accurately predicted both short- and long-term LREs and outperformed FIB-4 index (C-index, 0.733; 95% CI 0.657-0.807) and polygenic risk score (C-index, 0.636; 95% CI 0.564-0.706). CONCLUSIONS: The protein risk score demonstrated superior performance compared with the FIB-4 index and the polygenic risk score in predicting incident LREs among individuals with prediabetes and T2D. The score allows stratification of individuals according to liver-related risk, though external validation in multi-ethnic cohorts is warranted.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Proteomic Profiling Captures Residual Cardiovascular Risk Beyond the PREVENT Model in Individuals With Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Stages 2-3.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome reflects complex pathobiological interactions among metabolic disorders, kidney injury, and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Stages 2 and 3 represent critical phases of disease progression characterised by high pathological heterogeneity. This study aimed to develop a CVD protein risk score (PRS) for this population and evaluate its incremental predictive value over the PREVENT model. METHODS: This study included 24 017 participants with CKM Stages 2-3 from the UK Biobank. Using 2923 plasma proteins measured via the Olink platform, a PRS was developed in a training set (n = 19 218) using the LASSO method. In the validation set (n = 4799), the incremental predictive performance of this score over the PREVENT model was assessed using Harrell's C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: A risk score comprising 63 proteins was constructed, primarily reflecting inflammation, kidney injury and matrix remodelling. Key proteins included growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1 (HAVCR1), matrix metallopeptidase 12 (MMP12) and NT-proBNP. In the validation set, after adjusting for PREVENT risk factors, individuals in the high PRS group had a 2.56-fold higher risk of CVD compared to those in the low score group (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.96-3.37). Integrating the score into the PREVENT model improved the C-statistic by 0.034 (0.672-0.706) and achieved a 10-year NRI of 15.8% (95% CI: 9.5%-20.9%) and an IDI of 2.2% (95% CI: 1.3%-3.3%). CONCLUSION: Combining the PREVENT model with the PRS developed in this study enhances the prediction of future CVD events in the CKM Stages 2-3 population. This approach facilitates the capture of residual risk and supports precision risk stratification and management for this high-risk group.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Large-Scale Plasma Proteomics Identifies Early Molecular Deviations and Improves Risk Prediction for Heart Failure Among Individuals With Obesity.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a major global public health challenge, with obesity being one of its key risk factors. Although several HF risk prediction models have been developed in the general population, few are specifically tailored to individuals with obesity. This underscores the urgent need for precise biomarkers to improve individual risk stratification and enable personalized prevention strategies. We aimed to develop and validate a plasma proteomics-based protein risk score (PRS) to predict incident HF among individuals with obesity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analysed 9831 participants with obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) from the UK Biobank with baseline measurements of 2911 circulating proteins and up to 16 years of follow-up. Multivariable Cox regression identified proteins associated with incident HF after comprehensive covariate adjustment. A PRS was constructed using LASSO regression and evaluated in a held-out test set. Protein trajectories before HF onset were reconstructed using LOESS modelling. To enhance clinical feasibility, a minimal protein panel was identified using LightGBM with forward feature selection. RESULTS: A total of 727 participants developed HF during follow-up. Multivariable cox analyses identified 578 proteins significantly associated with HF. LASSO regression further selected 81 proteins to build the PRS, which showed a strong association with HF risk in both training (HR 3.57; 95% CI 3.19-4.00) and test cohorts (HR 2.45; 95% CI 2.20-2.74). Adding the PRS improved prediction beyond age and sex (ΔC = 0.091) and beyond the Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) model (ΔC = 0.052), with consistent gains in NRI and IDI. Proteomic deviations were detectable up to 16 years before diagnosis. A four-protein panel (GDF15, NT-proBNP, TNFRSF10B, CTHRC1) achieved robust discrimination (AUC 0.789), outperforming NT-proBNP alone (AUC 0.695) and complementing the PCP-HF model (combined AUC 0.803). DISCUSSION: Large-scale plasma proteomics substantially improves HF risk prediction in individuals with obesity and reveals long-standing molecular alterations preceding clinical onset. A simplified four-protein panel maintains robust predictive accuracy and provides a practical approach for the early detection and targeted prevention of obesity-related HF.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Plasma proteomics and coronary artery calcium score: synergistic, concordant and contrasting predictions of cardiovascular outcomes in The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores inform subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) burden, helping guide preventative treatments. However, prediction of cardiovascular (CV) events by CAC is largely limited to ASCVD outcomes. This study investigated whether a previously validated proteomic test for predicting a broad composite of four-year CV events could enhance the prognostic utility of CAC. METHODS: We used a 27-protein CV risk score (Prot-CVR), derived from ~5,000 SomaScan™ Assay plasma protein measurements, to predict four-year risk of a composite CV and mortality outcome (myocardial infarction, stroke/TIA, heart failure hospitalization, death) in 2,122 participants with ≥1 CV risk factors from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) observational cohort at exam 5 and compared predictions to CAC Agatston scores. Discriminatory performance was assessed using C-Index and 4-year area under the curve (AUC). Cox Proportional Hazard (CoxPH) ratios were calculated for the composite outcome, ASCVD outcome (myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, stroke, coronary heart disease death), and individual events. Changes in Prot-CVR and CAC scores from baseline to MESA exam 5 (+10-years) in CV event versus event-free participants were assessed using 2-tailed paired t-tests. CoxPH regression models of CV event status distributed by Prot-CVR, CAC, and relevant co-variates were evaluated for performance relative to individual models. RESULTS: Individual Prot-CVR and CAC models predicting the composite outcome had comparable 4-year AUCs, but Prot-CVR had a higher C-index (0.68 (0.65-0.70) versus 0.63 (0.60-0.65), p=0.001) and greater hazard ratios for the composite outcome (p<0.001), death (p<0.001), and heart failure (p=0.015). A combined CoxPH model of Prot-CVR + CAC + Age had a higher 4-year AUC (0.72, p<0.05) and C-Index (0.71, p<0.05) than Prot-CVR or CAC alone. Both Prot-CVR and CAC scores detected an increase in risk prior to an approaching CV event in ~10-year sensitivity-to-change analysis. For 49.6% of MESA population with CAC=0 at baseline, Prot-CVR was greater in composite event versus event free participants at 4 years (0.23 versus 0.15, p=0.006) and full follow-up (0.18 versus 0.13, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Protein testing complements CAC for CV risk assessment although the improvement is modest. Prot-CVR may resolve which patients with CAC=0 are at heightened CV risk.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

Multi-trait polygenic scores for COPD and COPD exacerbations implicate druggable proteins.

BACKGROUNDWe constructed multi-trait polygenic risk scores (PRSs) predicting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and exacerbations, validated their performance in diverse cohorts, and identified PRS-related proteins for potential therapeutic targeting.METHODSPRSmix+, a multi-trait PRS framework, is used to train a composite PRS (PRSmulti) in COPDGene non-Hispanic White participants (n = 6,647). Associations of PRSmulti with COPD status (GOLD 2-4 vs. GOLD 0 or ICD) and exacerbation frequency were tested in COPDGene African American (n = 2,466), ECLIPSE (n = 1,858), Mass General Brigham Biobank (n = 15,152), and All of Us (n = 118,566). Protein prediction models were applied to GWAS summary statistics from traits contributing to PRSmulti and were validated with proteomic data in COPDGene (n = 5,173) and UK Biobank (n = 5,012).RESULTSPRSmix+ selected 7 traits for PRSmulti. In multivariable models, PRSmulti was associated with COPD status (meta-analysis random effects [RE] OR 1.58 [95% CI: 1.28-1.94]) and exacerbation frequency (meta-analysis RE β 0.21 [95% CI: 0.11-0.31]), with higher effect sizes observed in smoking-enriched cohorts. PRSmulti outperformed traditional single-trait PRS in all tested cohorts. Using protein prediction models, we identified 73 proteins associated with the PRSs that were also validated with measured protein levels in COPDGene and UK Biobank. Of these proteins, 25 were linked to approved or investigational drugs. Notable targets include RAGE/sRAGE, IL1RL1, and SCARF2, all implicated in COPD pathogenesis and exacerbations.CONCLUSIONSMulti-trait PRS improves prediction of COPD and exacerbation risk. Integration with proteomic data identifies druggable protein targets, offering a promising avenue for precision medicine in COPD management.TRIAL REGISTRATIONCOPDGene: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00608764; ECLIPSE: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00292552.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Genomic structural equation modeling elucidates the shared genetic architecture of allergic disorders.

BACKGROUND: The intricate shared genetic architecture underlying allergic disorders-including allergic asthma, atopic dermatitis, contact dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, allergic conjunctivitis, allergic urticaria, anaphylaxis, and eosinophilic esophagitis-remains incompletely characterized. METHODS: Our study employed genomic structural equation modeling (Genomic SEM) to define the common factor representing the shared genetic architecture of allergic disorders. Coupled with diverse post-GWAS analytical methods, we aimed to discover susceptible loci and investigate genetic associations with external traits. Furthermore, we explored enriched genetic pathways, cellular layers, and genomic elements, and investigated putative plasma protein biomarkers. Polygenic risk score (PRS) analyses, leveraging our integrated GWAS data, were conducted to assess chromosomal-level risk associations for allergic disorders. RESULTS: A well-fitted genomic SEM integrated GWAS data, revealing the shared genetic architecture of allergic disorders. We identified a total of 2038 genome-wide significant SNP loci (p < 5e-8), including 31 previously unreported loci. Fine-mapping of variants and gene sets pinpointed 2 causal variants and 31 candidate susceptible genes. Genetic correlation analyses further illuminated the shared genetic architecture underlying multiple traits, notably psychiatric disorders. Preliminary findings identified four putative causal plasma protein biomarkers. CONCLUSION: Notably, this study presents the first comprehensive genetic characterization of allergic disorders through a GWAS analysis of an unmeasured composite phenotype, providing novel insights into shared etiological pathways across these conditions.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

A validated, modifiable proteomic score from the EXSCEL trial predicts cardiovascular events in diabetes.

BACKGROUNDAdults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at increased risk for stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death, yet individual risk is heterogeneous and incompletely captured by clinical models.METHODSIn the Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL), adults with T2DM were randomized to a GLP-1 RA (exenatide) or a placebo and followed longitudinally for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). High-throughput discovery proteomics was done in plasma collected at baseline and 12 months. Proteins associated with time to MACE were identified using multivariable regression and incorporated into supervised machine learning models. A multi-protein score was developed and externally validated in 2 independent population-based and trial cohorts.RESULTSThe proteomic score showed incremental improvement in cardiovascular risk discrimination beyond clinical factors alone, and several proteins were consistently prioritized across modeling approaches. The protein score and a top-ranked protein, tetranectin, were modified by GLP-1 RA treatment, and a decrease in protein score was associated with improved outcomes, supporting modifiability of MACE risk.CONCLUSIONExternal validation confirmed generalizability across cohorts with and without diabetes. Together, these findings demonstrate that plasma proteomic signatures can enhance cardiovascular risk stratification and identify treatment-responsive biomarkers in T2DM, supporting their potential role in precision prevention strategiesFUNDINGThe EXSCEL study was funded by Amylin Pharmaceuticals. This research was supported by contracts HHSN268201200036C, HHSN268200800007C, HHSN268201800001C, N01HC55222, N01HC85079, N01HC85080, N01HC85081, N01HC85082, N01HC85083, N01HC85086, 75N92021D00006, and grants R01HL146145, U01HL080295, U01HL130114, R01HL172803, and R01HL144483 from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, with additional contribution from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke. Additional support was provided by R01AG023629 from the National Institute on Aging.

Aged↗

PubMed2026

A novel lactylation-related gene signature deciphers the immunosuppressive microenvironment and stratifies precision therapy in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a leading cause of cancer mortality, largely due to the heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment (TME) and the limited efficacy of immunotherapy in microsatellite stable (MSS) tumors. Histone lactylation, a post-translational modification derived from the Warburg effect, serves as a critical bridge linking metabolic reprogramming to gene regulation and immune evasion; however, its specific prognostic value and clinical implications in CRC remain to be fully elucidated. METHODS: In this study, we systematically analyzed transcriptome profiling data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts, supplemented by single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) analysis and Human Protein Atlas (HPA) protein-level validation. By integrating univariate Cox regression, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) analysis, and multivariate Cox regression, we constructed a novel lactylation-related gene (LRG) risk signature. We extensively evaluated the association between this risk signature and patient prognosis, immune infiltration patterns, somatic mutations, and therapeutic sensitivity. RESULTS: A robust 9-gene prognostic signature (DHRS7, SPR, MBD2, RBM17, CSRP2, S100A4, TMSB4X, TKT, COPS4) was identified and corroborated at the protein level. Patients with high risk scores exhibited significantly worse overall survival (OS) across the training and two independent validation cohorts. Immunogenomic and scRNA-seq analyses revealed that high-risk tumors were characterized by an immunosuppressive and stromal-dense microenvironment-with stromal cells exhibiting the highest lactylation risk scores-enriched with regulatory T cells (Tregs), and frequently harbored PIK3CA mutations. Differential expression analysis indicated that this immune exclusion is structurally maintained by enriched extracellular matrix (ECM) organization and TGF-β signaling. Conversely, low-risk tumors displayed an inflamed phenotype with active antitumor immunity. Pharmacogenomic prediction identified distinct therapeutic stratifications: low-risk patients exhibited significant sensitivity to standard chemotherapeutics (fluorouracil, oxaliplatin) and EGFR/HER2 inhibitors (e.g., lapatinib, erlotinib). In contrast, high-risk patients showed specific vulnerabilities to novel targeted agents, including PI3K pathway inhibitors (TG-100-115, XL765), microenvironment-modulating agents (sildenafil, GANT-61), and epigenetic inhibitors (UNC0638). CONCLUSION: We established a novel lactylation-related risk signature that effectively stratifies CRC patients by prognosis and TME characteristics. By elucidating the crosstalk between metabolic dysregulation, stromal barriers, and immune exclusion, this study provides potential biomarkers and stratified therapeutic strategies-ranging from standard chemotherapy to targeted metabolic and stromal interventions-to optimize precision medicine for CRC patients.

Colorectal cancer↗

PubMed2024

Integrated ubiquitomics characterization of hepatocellular carcinomas.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with aggressive HCC have limited therapeutic options. Therefore, a better understanding of HCC pathogenesis is needed to improve treatment. Genomic studies of HCC have improved our understanding of cancer biology. However, the ubiquitomic characteristics of HCC remain poorly understood. We aimed to reveal the ubiquitomic characteristics of HCC and provide clinical feature biomarkers of the aggressive HCC that may be used for diagnosis or therapy in the clinic. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The comprehensive proteomic, phosphoproteomic, and ubiquitomic analyses were performed on tumors and adjacent normal liver tissues from 85 patients with HCC. HCCs displayed overexpression of drugable targets CBR1-S151 and CPNE1-S55. COL4A1, LAMC1, and LAMA4 were highly expressed in the disease free survival-poor patients. Phosphoproteomic and ubiquitomic features of HCC revealed cross talk in metabolism and metastasis. Ubiquitomics predicted diverse prognosis and clarified HCC subtype-specific proteomic signatures. Expression of biomarkers TUBA1A, BHMT2, BHMT, and ACY1 exhibited differential ubiquitination levels and displayed high prognostic risk scores, suggesting that targeting these proteins or their modified forms may be beneficial for future clinical treatment. We validated that TUBA1A K370 deubiquitination drove severe HCC and labeled an aggressive subtype of HCCs. TUBA1A K370 deubiquitination was at least partly attributed to protein kinase B-mediated USP14 activation in HCC. Notably, targeting AKT-USP14-TUBA1A complex promoted TUBA1A degradation and blocked liver tumorigenesis in vivo. CONCLUSIONS: This study expands our knowledge of ubiquitomic signatures, biomarkers, and potential therapeutic targets in HCC.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Plasma inflammatory proteome profiles identify MASLD among children with overweight or obesity.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Pediatric metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasingly prevalent among children with overweight or obesity, yet its early diagnosis remains a major clinical challenge. This study aimed to identify circulating inflammatory proteins associated with MASLD and to develop a proteomic risk score (ProScore) to improve diagnostic accuracy. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study of 161 children (median age 8.5 years) with overweight or obesity, MASLD was assessed by vibration-controlled transient elastography, with 42 cases identified. Plasma concentrations of 92 inflammation-related proteins were quantified using a high-throughput proximity extension assay. The ProScore was compared with eleven conventional anthropometric/metabolic indices (WHtR, METS-IR, SPISE, PNFI, VAI, LAP, TyG, TyG-ALT, TyG-WC, TyG-WHtR, and TyG-BMI) and a genetic risk score (GRS). Six machine learning algorithms were employed and diagnostic performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC) with fivefold cross-validation. RESULTS: Fifteen proteins were significantly associated with MASLD. A six-protein panel (FGF-21, CDCP1, CD244, OPG, Flt3L, MCP-1) achieved the highest diagnostic accuracy (AUC = 0.84), exceeding that of all conventional indices (AUC = 0.65-0.78; all P < 0.05). ProScore performance remained robust in school-based validation (AUC = 0.83), with no substantial improvement when combined with conventional indices. Diagnostic accuracy was higher in children with lower GRS (AUC = 0.92) than in those with higher GRS (AUC = 0.80; P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: A proteomic signature of systemic inflammation provides accurate, non-invasive identification of MASLD in at-risk children, outperforming conventional metabolic and genetic tools, and may have utility in clinical and public health settings.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Cross-omics risk scores of inflammation markers are associated with all-cause mortality: The Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

Inflammation is a critical component of chronic diseases, aging progression, and lifespan. Omics signatures may characterize inflammation status beyond blood biomarkers. We leveraged genetics (polygenic risk score [PRS]), metabolomics (metabolomic risk score [MRS]), and epigenetics (epigenetic risk score [ERS]) to build multi-omics-multi-marker risk scores for inflammation status represented by the level of circulating C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin 6 (IL-6), and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α). We found that multi-omics risk scores generally outperformed single-omics risk scores in predicting all-cause mortality in the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging. Compared with circulating inflammation biomarkers, some multi-omics risk scores had a higher hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality when including both score and circulating IL-6 in the same model (1-SD IL-6 MRS-ERS: HR = 2.20 [1.55-3.13] vs. 1-SD circulating IL-6 HR = 0.94 [0.67,1.32]. 1-SD IL-6 PRS-MRS: HR = 1.47 [1.35,1.59] vs. 1-SD circulating IL-6 HR = 1.33 [1.18, 1.51]. 1-SD PRS-MRS-ERS: HR = 1.95 [1.40, 2.70] vs. 1-SD circulating IL-6: HR = 0.99 [0.71, 1.39]). In the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), NHS II, and Health Professional Follow-up Study with available omics, 1 SD of IL-6 PRS and 1-SD IL-6 PRS-MRS had HR = 1.12 [1.00,1.26] and HR = 1.13 [1.01,1.26] among individuals >65 years old without mutual adjustment of the score and circulating IL-6. Our study demonstrates that some multi-omics scores for inflammation markers may characterize important inflammation burden for an individual beyond those represented by blood biomarkers and improve our prediction capability for the aging process and lifespan.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Markers of microvascular instability predict severity and survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: Most research on idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) has focused on the interplay among fibroblasts, the immune system and epithelial cells. There is growing evidence that microvascular dysfunction also plays a role in disease progression, but large human translational studies are lacking. In this research, we aim to identify a proteomic signature of microvascular instability and assess the impact of current therapeutics on the microvasculature. METHODS: Olink proteomic data from patients with IPF were obtained from the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (PFF-PR) (n=914) and an independent validation cohort (n=366). Among the PFF-PR, 640 patients also have whole-blood RNA sequencing data available. A subset of 79 microvascular-associated proteins was curated, and their associations with disease severity and transplant-free survival were examined. An adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was used to generate a novel microvascular risk score. RESULTS: Higher plasma levels of five microvascular-associated proteins (SDC1, MMP10, THBS2, HGF and SERPINA5) were associated with lung function and survival in both cohorts. Whole-blood RNA sequencing of patients with microvascular risk revealed enrichment of immune-mediated processes. Patients with higher microvascular risk who were subsequently put on nintedanib in the following year had significantly better 3-year transplant-free survival compared with patients who did not receive antifibrotic intervention (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.89, p=0.0142). DISCUSSION: Integrative multi-omics analyses suggest that perturbations to microvascular remodelling contribute to disease severity and progression in IPF. This analysis offers a framework for a precision medicine approach for IPF.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis↗

PubMed2025

Patient stratification by genetic risk in Alzheimer's disease is only effective in the presence of phenotypic heterogeneity.

Case-only designs in longitudinal cohorts are a valuable resource for identifying disease-relevant genes, pathways, and novel targets influencing disease progression. This is particularly relevant in Alzheimer's disease (AD), where longitudinal cohorts measure disease "progression," defined by rate of cognitive decline. Few of the identified drug targets for AD have been clinically tractable, and phenotypic heterogeneity is an obstacle to both clinical research and basic science. In four cohorts (n = 7241), we performed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and Mendelian randomization (MR) to discover novel targets associated with progression and assess causal relationships. We tested opportunities for patient stratification by deriving polygenic risk scores (PRS) for AD risk and severity and tested the value of these scores in predicting progression. Genome-wide association studies identified no loci associated with progression at genome-wide significance (α = 5×10-8); MR analyses provided no significant evidence of an association between cognitive decline in AD patients and protein levels in brain, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and plasma. Polygenic risk scores for AD risk did not reliably stratify fast from slow progressors; however, a deeper investigation found that APOE ε4 status predicts amyloid-β and tau positive versus negative patients (odds ratio for an additional APOE ε4 allele = 5.78 [95% confidence interval: 3.76-8.89], P<0.001) when restricting to a subset of patients with available CSF biomarker data. These results provided no evidence for large-effect, common-variant loci involved in the rate of memory decline, suggesting that patient stratification based on common genetic risk factors for progression may have limited utility. Where clinically relevant biomarkers suggest diagnostic heterogeneity, there is evidence that a priori identified genetic risk factors may have value in patient stratification. Mendelian randomization was less tractable due to the lack of large-effect loci, and future analyses with increased samples sizes are needed to replicate and validate our results.

Alzheimer Disease↗

PubMed2026

Kv11.1 (hERG) Protein Interaction Networks Connect Endocytic Trafficking to Polygenic Influences on Cardiac Repolarization.

Polygenic scores (PGS) capture the combined effect of many common genetic variants on quantitative traits and disease risk, yet their functional consequences at the protein level remain poorly defined. Here, we integrated quantitative and interaction proteomics to resolve how polygenic liability for cardiac repolarization manifests in human cells. We studied human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-CMs) from donors with extreme PGS for QT interval duration, a clinically relevant electrophysiologic trait associated with arrhythmia risk. Global quantitative proteomics revealed increased abundance of mitochondrial proteins in high-PGS cardiomyocytes. To define protein network-level effects on a key repolarizing ion channel, we performed multiplexed affinity purification-mass spectrometry (AP-MS) of Kv11.1. While mitochondrial changes did not directly explain Kv11.1-associated complexes, interactome analysis revealed increased association of Kv11.1 with myosin motor proteins and endosomal recycling machinery in high-PGS cells. These findings suggest altered channel trafficking dynamics of Kv11.1, distinct from the trafficking defects observed in monogenic Kv11.1 variants. Together, these data show that integrating global and interaction proteomics can resolve how polygenic variation reshapes protein networks. Future work using these methods could connect genomic risk to subcellular remodeling and our work provides a generalizable framework to probe the proteomic basis of complex traits. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Polygenic scores (PGS) predict disease risk, but how biological pathways are influenced by these common variants remains difficult to define. We generated human induced pluripotent stem cells from individuals with extreme high- and low- PGS for QT interval, a key electrocardiographic measure linked to arrhythmia risk. By combining global proteomics and interactomics for a common ion channel involved in regulating the QT interval (Kv11.1) we found potential mechanisms that are influenced by common genetic traits in patients. Our work provides an approach to connect polygenic scores to pathway-level molecular mechanisms in human cells and a general framework for uncovering how complex genetic architecture drives disease-relevant biology.

AP-MS↗

PubMed2026

Inherited Predisposition to Increased Systemic Inflammation Predicts a Broad Class of Disease Phenotypes.

Chronic, low-grade systemic inflammation is a polygenic trait captured with the INFLA-score, a composite of C-reactive protein, platelet count, leukocyte count, and granulocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio. We derived a polygenic risk score from the INFLA-score (iPRS) in a multi-ancestry population from the UK Biobank (n=421,368), then evaluated and used it in a phenome-wide association study among participants in the All of Us Research Program (AoU). The multi-ancestry iPRS was tested for association with the INFLA-score in AoU (N=4,833 with biomarker data) via linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, and genetically-determined principal components (PCs) and with 2,821 phecodeX-defined phenotypes in AoU (N=265,068) via logistic regression, adjusting for sex, age, EHR length, race, ethnicity and PCs. The iPRS predicted the INFLA-score (R-squared=0.026, beta=0.980, p<2x10-16) and was associated with 47 phenotypes (Bonferroni-corrected p<0.05). The strongest associations were with blood-related phenotypes: elevated white blood cell count (OR=1.19, p=3.85x10-66), thrombocytopenia (OR=0.86, p=5.70x10-44), platelet defects (OR=0.86, p=2.47x10-43), neutropenia (OR= 0.86, p=5.52x10-18), myeloproliferative disorder (OR= 1.2, p=2.77x10-15). Others included celiac disease (OR=0.713, p=2.98x10-46), ankylosing spondylitis (OR=1.4, p=1.33 x 10-17), hypertension (OR=1.04, p=4.56x10-15), rheumatoid arthritis (OR=1.09, p=1.02x10-13), hematuria (OR=1.05, p=1.96x10-10). Removing major-histocompatibility-complex SNPs abolished associations with known autoimmune diseases, while all other associations remained. We replicated 17 (42.5%) of 40 significant phenotypes available in the Vanderbilt University Medical Center's BioVU. Our findings demonstrate that systemic inflammation can be predicted using the iPRS across multiple ancestries, and the iPRS is associated with numerous clinical endpoints. This multi-ancestry iPRS may have future utility in stratifying risk for inflammation-driven conditions across diverse populations.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2025

Polygenic Risk Scores for Preeclampsia Prediction Beyond Gold-Standard Clinical Models in Multiethnic Populations.

BACKGROUND: Preeclampsia is a major cause of maternal and fetal mortality and morbidity. Early risk stratification enables timely preventative therapy in high-risk women. Polygenic risk scores (PGS) improve prediction in complex diseases, but their added value for preeclampsia remains unclear, particularly in comparison to gold-standard first-trimester prediction models and across non-European ancestries. METHODS: We evaluated the performance of both a preeclampsia and systolic blood pressure PGS in 2 prospective pregnancy cohorts with detailed phenotyping: the Fetal Medicine Foundation study (n=5207; 2127 cases) and the Pregnancy Outcome Prediction study (n=3659; 228 cases). Risk models included (1) clinical factors; (2) clinical factors plus PGS; (3) advanced model including first-trimester mean arterial pressure, PAPP-A (pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A), and uterine artery pulsatility index; and (4) advanced model plus PGS. Discriminative performance, measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, was assessed overall and by ancestry. RESULTS: The preeclampsia PGS was independently associated with preeclampsia (odds ratio per SD, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17-1.31]; P<0.001). It modestly improved prediction over clinical models (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.746 versus 0.750; P=0.017) but not over the advanced model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.817 versus 0.818; P=0.326). The systolic blood pressure PGS showed stronger performance, improving prediction over both models in women of European ancestry. No improvement was observed with either score in women of African ancestry. CONCLUSIONS: PGSs for preeclampsia and SBP provide modest added predictive value beyond clinical risk factors in European ancestry women. Limited utility in African ancestry women reflects underrepresentation in the genome-wide association studies used to develop current scores. As cohort sizes grow and models are refined, PGSs may become important tools for equitable risk stratification in maternal health.

Adult↗