[Mammography screening without overdiagnosis].
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Elsebeth Lynge.
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The present study was undertaken to assess the impact of reproductive behavior on the social class gradient in breast cancer occurrence in Denmark. Objectives were to study whether the gradient across socioeconomic groups could be explained by fertility differences, whether the gradient across educational groups could be explained by fertility differences and whether the effect of socioeconomic group on breast cancer incidence and mortality could be explained by education and vice versa. We studied 674,084 women aged 20-39 at the census on 9 November 1970 for whom we had complete data on fertility history. The cohort was followed up for breast cancer incidence and mortality until 8 November 1998. Fertility history varied considerably across socioeconomic group, where 38% of the academics were childless at the age of 30, in contrast to only 8% of women in agriculture. The academics had the highest risk of breast cancer and women in agriculture had the lowest risk. For incidence, the gradient in the relative risks was 1.74, which changed to 1.49 when fertility history was incorporated and to 1.29 when school education was also taken into account. For school education, women with > or = 12 years of schooling had the highest risk and women with < or = 7 years of schooling had the lowest risk. For incidence, the gradient in the relative risk was 1.38, which changed to 1.26 when fertility history was incorporated and to 1.22 when socioeconomic group was also taken into account.
Epidemiologic studies have shown an increased risk of breast cancer following hormone replacement therapy (HRT). The aim of this study was to investigate whether different treatment regimens or the androgenecity of progestins influence the risk of breast cancer differently. The Danish Nurse Cohort was established in 1993, where all female nurses aged 45 years and above received a mailed questionnaire (n = 23,178). A total of 19,898 women returned the questionnaire (86%). The questionnaire included information on HRT types and regimens, reproductive history and lifestyle-related factors. Breast cancer cases were ascertained using nationwide registries. The follow-up ended on 31 December 1999. Women with former cancer diagnoses, women with missing information on HRT, surgical menopause, premenopausal, as well as hysterectomized women were excluded, leaving 10,874 for analyses. Statistical analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards model. A total of 244 women developed breast cancer during follow-up. After adjustment for confounding factors, an increased risk of breast cancer was found for the current use of estrogen only (RR = 1.96; 95% CI = 1.16-3.35), for the combined use of estrogen and progestin (RR = 2.70; 95% CI = 1.96-3.73) and for current users of tibolone (RR = 4.27; 95% CI = 1.74-10.51) compared to the never use of HRT. In current users of combined HRT with testosterone-like progestins, the continuous combined regimens were associated with a statistically significant higher risk of breast cancer than the cyclical combined regimens (RR = 4.16, 95% CI = 2.56-6.75, and RR = 1.94, 95% CI = 1.26-3.00, respectively). An increased risk of breast cancer was noted with longer durations of use for the continuous combined regimens (p for trend = 0.048). The European traditional HRT regimens were associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. The highest risk was found for the use of continuous combined estrogen and progestin.
BACKGROUND: Since updated population registers do not exist in many countries it is often difficult to sample valid population controls from the study base to a case-control study. Use of patient controls is an alternative option if the exposure experience under study for these patients are interchangeable with the experience for population controls. Patient controls may even be preferable from population controls under certain conditions. In this study we examine if colon cancer patients can serve as surrogates for proper population controls in case-control studies of occupational risk factors. METHODS: The study was conducted from 1995 to 1997. Incident colon cancer controls (N = 428) aged 35-69 years with a histological verified diagnosis and population controls (N = 583) were selected. Altogether 254 (59%) of the colon cancer controls and 320 (55%) of the population controls were interviewed about occupational, medical and life style conditions. RESULTS: No statistical significant difference for educational level, medical history or smoking status was seen between the two control groups. There was evidence of a higher alcohol intake, less frequent work as a farmer and less exposure to pesticides among colon cancer controls. CONCLUSIONS: Use of colon cancer controls may provide valid exposure estimates in studies of many occupational risk factors for cancer, but not for studies on exposure related to farming.
OBJECTIVE: It has been estimated that alcohol drinking increases the risk of breast cancer in women by approximately 7% for each increment of 10 g alcohol per day. However, the few studies conducted on breast cancer among men have failed to detect an association with quantitative measures of alcohol drinking, even if the alcohol intake is generally higher in men than in women. On the other hand, increased risks of male breast cancer were inconsistently reported in alcoholics or patients with liver cirrhosis. We have investigated the role of alcohol drinking in male breast cancer using data collected in a population-based case-control study on seven rare cancers, conducted in Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, and Sweden. METHODS: The cases were 74 histologically verified male breast cancer patients aged 35-70 years. The controls (n = 1432) were selected from population registers, and frequency-matched to the cases by age group and geographic area. To check for consistency, a separate analysis was conducted using as controls the patients with a rare cancer other than male breast recruited simultaneously in the European study (n = 519 men). RESULTS: Based on population controls, the risk of developing breast cancer in men increased by 16% (95% CI: 7-26%) per 10 g alcohol /day (p < 0.001). An odds ratio of 5.89 (95% CI: 2.21-15.69) was observed for alcohol intake greater than 90 g per day, as compared with light consumers (< 15 g per day). Similar associations were observed when other rare cancers patients were used as controls. CONCLUSION: We found that the relative risk of breast cancer in men is comparable to that in women for alcohol intakes below 60 g per day. It continues to increase at high consumption levels not usually studied in women.
OBJECTIVE: To compare the mortality for women in Sweden, Norway and Denmark in order to search for clues for the low life expectancy of Danish women. METHODS: Prospective age-period-cohort study covering 40 years for all Swedish, Norwegian and Danish women aged 40-84 during the period 1960-2000, and born 1900-1950. OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals for deaths. RESULTS: The high risk of dying among Danish women was associated with being born between the two World Wars, and that a similar pattern was not found for women in Norway and Sweden. A tendency of a cohort effect was observed for Swedish women born around 1940. CONCLUSIONS: The currently low life expectancy of Danish women compared with that of women in Norway and Sweden is partly a transitional phenomenon caused by excessive death rates for women born between the two World Wars. Data on smoking prevalence by birth cohort and age indicate that a high percentage of Danish women in these cohorts were smokers throughout their adult life.
BACKGROUND: Modern epidemiology increasingly uses data on families. The authors constructed an extended fertility database for women born in Denmark from 1930 onwards by supplementing the existing Fertility Database with household data from the 1970 census. METHODS: A fertility history was constructed for all women participating in the 1970 census, but aiming for complete data only for women aged 20-39. The fertility history of these women prior to the 1970 census was constructed from the census data including 1,648,813 persons coded as children. An algorithm was used transforming household information into fertility history data by matching women and children according to family position. Children for whom the algorithm gave no match were searched for in the Fertility Database; children not found in the Fertility Database either were searched for manually. The fertility history after the 1970 census was retrieved from the Fertility Database. RESULTS: Using data from the census 1970, 98.5% of the children were linked to a mother, and 99.6% of these links were estimated to be correct, corresponding to 98.1% of the children being linked correctly. In total, 964,720 children of women aged 20-39 in 1970 were identified, which was equivalent to 96.6% of the expected live-born children, and to 99.1% of the expected surviving children. CONCLUSION: Census household data proved to be an excellent data source for construction of fertility histories.
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BACKGROUND: Use of surrogate responders often needs to be considered in case-control studies with a high case fatality. METHODS: Agreement between 98 colon cancer patients and their closest relative was expressed as a percentage of the exact agreement and by Kappa coefficients and intra-class correlation coefficients. RESULTS: The percentage of "don't know" answers was higher for surrogates than for index cases and the highest percentage was seen for questions on early events like childhood diseases. Agreement was best for responses to dichotomous questions on smoking and for prevalent or chronic diseases like diabetes or psoriasis, and lower (54-64%) when a quantitative response of, e.g., smoking was requested. The next-of-kin reported fewer job periods than the study person, 4.5 and 2.8, respectively, and there was a higher agreement for the latest job held than for the longest held job. We found an overall agreement between 91% and 100% for responses to ever having worked in a specific type of industry or occupation. CONCLUSIONS: Use of next-of-kin data will often be a better alternative than excluding severely ill or deceased cases, if the exposure under study correlates with disease progression.
OBJECTIVES: We examined which occupations and industries are currently at high risk for bladder cancer in men. METHODS: We combined data from 11 case-control studies conducted between 1976-1996 in six European countries. The study comprised 3346 incident cases and 6840 controls, aged 30-79 years. Lifetime occupational and smoking histories were examined using common coding. RESULTS: Odds ratios for eight a priori defined high-risk occupations were low, and with the exception of metal workers and machinists (OR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.02-1.32), were not statistically significant. Higher risks were observed for specific categories of painters, metal, textile and electrical workers, for miners, transport operators, excavating-machine operators, and also for non-industrial workers such as concierges and janitors. Industries entailing a high risk included salt mining, manufacture of carpets, paints, plastics and industrial chemicals. An increased risk was found for exposure to PAHs (OR for highest exposure tertile = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.07-1.4). The risk attributable to occupation ranged from 4.2 to 7.4%, with an estimated 4.3% for exposure to PAHs. CONCLUSIONS: Metal workers, machinists, transport equipment operators and miners are among the major occupations contributing to occupational bladder cancer in men in Western Europe. In this population one in 10 to one in 20 cancers of the bladder can be attributed to occupation.
BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most frequent cancer in women and the incidence has increased over time. Our objectives were to study: (1) the socioeconomic differences in breast cancer incidence and mortality in Denmark, (2) how different socioeconomic groups have contributed to the increasing incidence, (3) whether the diverging trend between breast cancer incidence and mortality reflects different socioeconomic distributions of breast cancer cases and breast cancer deaths, and (4) to compare measures of socioeconomic status based on own and spouses' occupation, respectively. We addressed these questions by studying the socioeconomic distribution of breast cancer incidence and breast cancer mortality in Danish women during the last 25 years. METHODS: In all 1 402 225 women in Denmark were individually followed up for death, emigration, and incident breast cancer in 1970-1995. Of the 1 402 225 women included in the study, 730 549 were economically active in 1970, and 480 379 women were both married and economically active. Socioeconomic status was assessed based on the occupation in 1970. RESULTS: For all women classified by their own socioeconomic group, the standardized incidence (SIR) and the standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were highest in academics (SIR = 1.39, SMR = 1.29), and lowest in women in agriculture (SIR = 0.77, SMR = 0.75). For married, economically active women classified by their own socioeconomic group the SIR and SMR were highest in academics (SIR = 1.40, SMR = 1.44) and lowest in women in agriculture (SIR = 0.76, SMR = 0.76). Classified by their husbands' socioeconomic group, the SIR and SMR were highest in women married to academics (SIR = 1.21, SMR = 1.16) and lowest in women married to men in agriculture (SIR = 0.79, SMR = 0.79). From 1970 to 1995, the risk of developing breast cancer increased by 38% in women aged 50-64. All social groups contributed to this increase, the increase being 45% in unskilled workers, and 26% in academics. CONCLUSION: During the last quarter of the 20th century academics had the highest risk of breast cancer in Denmark. The size of the social gradient in breast cancer occurrence depended on the measure used. The time trends in social distribution will result in breast cancer becoming more frequent.
Epidemiological studies have shown an increased risk of breast cancer associated with the use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). This notion is mostly based on studies from the USA. During the last decades unopposed estrogen treatment has been used to a lesser extent, whereas the combined estrogen-progestin treatment regimen is now prescribed worldwide. In the USA the predominant compounds are conjugated estrogens and medroxyprogesterone-acetate, whereas oestradiol combined with testosterone-like progestins is commonly used in Europe. These differences are mainly the result of traditions. Recent studies originating from both the USA and Europe suggest that the combined treatment regimens with estrogen and progestin increase the risk of breast cancer beyond the risk following the use of unopposed estrogen. At present it is not known if progestins with different androgenecity influence the risk of breast cancer to a varying degree. This review focuses on studies published after the latest meta-analysis in 1997, with special attention given to the type of progestin used and the treatment mode, i.e. cyclical or continuous regimen.
This report covers the outcome of the first three invitation rounds of the organised mammography screening programme in the county of Fyn. The programme started in November 1993, and the third invitation round ended on 31 December 1999. The screening takes place either at a special clinic located at University Hospital Odense or in a mobile unit. Women living in and around the city of Odense are examined at the clinic (about 55%), while the rest are examined in the mobile unit. Two-view mammography is used at the first screening. Women with dense breast tissue will continue to have two-view mammography (about 60%), whereas the rest will have singleview mammography at the subsequent screens. All screening images are exposed at the mammography-screening clinic and evaluated with double reading in the clinic. The programme targets women aged 50-69, except those undergoing treatment for breast cancer or going for regular check-ups following breast cancer. Based on the updated population register, the IT-Centre of the county of Fyn issues the invitations. Invited are all women aged 50-69 and living in the county of Fyn when their general practitioners' patients are invited. During the first 3 invitation rounds, 136,079 screening tests were made. Of these, 129,375 tests were made in the women aged 50-69 targeted by the programme. In addition, 6682 screening tests were made in women aged 70 and above, and 22 screening tests were made in women below the age of 50. As a consequence of the mammography screening 2657 assessments were made, 1145 women had surgery, 782 women were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer, and 109 women were diagnosed with ductal carcinoma in situ. A participation rate for the first invitation round was calculated immediately after the end of the round based on the number of participants divided by the number of women invited. This percentage was 88%. Invitation data are, however, not stored. It is therefore not possible now to calculate the participation rates in previous invitation rounds based on the same method. We have therefore chosen to calculate the participation rate as the coverage, i.e. the number of participants divided by the average number of women in the county of Fyn during a given invitation round. Calculated in this way, 84% participated in the first round, 84% in the second round, and 82% in the third round. It should be remembered that these figures do not take into account that some women are not invited because they 1) were undergoing current treatment for breast cancer or going for regular check-ups following breast cancer, or 2) did not participate in the previous round (and never actively informed the programme that they wanted an invitation to the next invitation round), relevant only for the second and third invitation round. For the second and third invitation rounds, the programme only invited women who participated in the previous invitation round, asked the clinic for an invitation, or entered the target population since the last invitation round. Therefore the participation rate in the second invitation round among actually invited women will be close to 94%, as 94% of those participating in the first round came for the second round. For the third invitation round, the participation rate among actually invited women will be close to 96%, as 96% of those participating in the first and second rounds came for the third round. One per cent of the participants in the first invitation round were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ. The detection rate was 0.5% in both the second and third invitation rounds. Ductal carcinoma in situ cases constituted 14% of the detected cases in the first and second rounds, and 10% in the third round. The percentage of invasive breast cancer 10 mm of less was 38%, 31%, and 32%, respectively, and 68%, 74%, and 73%, respectively, were node-negative. The screening programme of the county of Fyn fulfilled all the quality assessment parameters specified by the European guidelines on breast cancer screening, except two. The proportionate interval cancer rate was higher than specified in the guidelines, probably mainly due to the fact that the Fyn programme operates without early recalls. The proportion of stage II+ cancers was higher than specified in the guidelines, which seems, however, to be due to inconsistency between some of the performance indicators in the European guidelines. This analysis of the outcome from the first three invitation rounds of the mammography screening programme in the county of Fyn thus showed that it is a programme of high quality with a favourable profile of the prognostic indicators. The screening programme is hopefully well on its way to reducing breast cancer mortality in the county of Fyn.
Epidemiological studies have shown an increased risk of breast cancer associated with the use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). This notion is mostly based on studies from the USA. During the last decades unopposed estrogen treatment has been used to a lesser extent, whereas the combined estrogen-progestin treatment regime is now prescribed worldwide. In the USA the predominant compounds are conjugated estrogens and medroxyprogesterone-acetate, whereas oestradiol combined with testosterone-like progestins is commonly used in Europe. These differences are largely the result of traditions. Recent studies originating from both the USA and Europe suggest that the combined treatment regimens with estrogen and progestin increase the risk of breast cancer beyond the risk following the use of unopposed estrogen. At present it is not known if progestins with different androgenicity influence the risk of breast cancer to a varying degree. This review focuses on studies published after the latest meta-analysis in 1997, with special attention given to the type of progestin used and the treatment mode, i.e., cyclical or continuous regimen.
Screening makes it possible to detect cancer before the disease gives rise to symptoms. A more effective treatment could thus be offered, and patients would then have a better prognosis. If screening works, mortality from a given cancer disease should decline in the screened population. At present three screening tests meet this requirement: 1) Pap smears for cervical dysplasia, with screening started at the latest at the age of 30 and not before the age of 20; 2) Mammography screening for breast cancer in women aged 50-69; and 3) faecal occult blood testing for colorectal cancer in men and women aged 50-74. But screening means the testing of healthy persons for cancer, and it therefore has a number of negative side effects, such as false positive and false negative tests. Whether or not screening is preferable in a given situation therefore depends on how the advantages are weighted against the disadvantages.
INTRODUCTION: Service mammography has been offered biennially to women aged 50-69 years in the municipality of Copenhagen since 1991. The results were compared to breast cancer cases before initiation of screening. The comparison concerns prognostic factors and the treatment-related consequences. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from the Copenhagen service mammography screening were linked to data from the DBCG database. RESULTS: Before screening, 16% of breast cancer cases had a tumour size of 10 mm or less, this percentage increased to 41 in the screen-detected cases. Sixty per cent of breast cancer cases showed no evidence of metastatic spread to axillary lymph nodes before screening; this percentage increased to 78 per cent in the screen-detected cases. Forty per cent of ductal carcinomas showed a malignancy grade I before screening, compared to 53% in the screen-detected cases. Thirteen per cent were treated with breast conserving therapy before screening, as opposed to 48% in the screen-detected cases. Forty-one per cent needed postoperative adjuvant treatment before screening, compared with 21% in the screen-detected cases. DISCUSSION: A marked improvement was seen in the prognostic and treatment-related characteristics of the screen-detected breast cancer cases, as compared to breast cancer cases from the same area before screening was initiated.
INTRODUCTION: Biennial service mammography screening for breast cancer has been offered to women aged 50-69 years in the municipality of Copenhagen since 1991. We report the results of the first three invitation rounds. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data were collected from the Copenhagen service mammography screening database and other Danish registers. RESULTS: The average participation rate during the first three invitation rounds was 66%. The breast cancer detection rate was 10/1,000 screened in the first invitation round and 5/1,000 in the consecutive rounds. The probability of a false positive mammography was 6% at the prevalent screen, and this was reduced to 3% at incidence screens. Fifty-two cases of interval cancer were seen after the first invitation round. The expected number was 152, which gives a proportional interval cancer rate of 0.34. The sensitivity was 86% and the specificity 94% after the first round. DISCUSSION: The detection rate of breast cancer was high, especially in the prevalence round. The trend in the incidence of breast cancer at the subsequent rounds was similar to that before screening, which indicates that mammography screening does not lead to any greater over-diagnosis. The rate of false positive mammography was high at the initial screening round, but was acceptable at subsequent rounds, and a false positive mammography does not seem to have affected participation in subsequent rounds. The Copenhagen screening programme conforms to international quality assurance guidelines for process evaluation.