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Harry Hemingway

Publications and source records attributed to Harry Hemingway.

27 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Prognosis of angina with and without a diagnosis: 11 year follow up in the Whitehall II prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognosis of angina among people with and without diagnosis by a doctor and an abnormal cardiovascular test result. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with a median follow up of 11 years. SETTING: 20 civil service departments originally located in London. PARTICIPANTS: 10 308 civil servants aged 35-55 years at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Recurrent reports of angina; quality of life (SF-36 physical functioning); non-fatal myocardial infarction; death from any cause (n = 344). RESULTS: 1158 (11.4%) participants developed angina, and 813 (70%) had no evidence of diagnosis by a doctor at the time of the initial report. Participants without a diagnosis had an increased risk of impaired physical functioning (age and sex adjusted odds ratio of 2.36 (95% confidence interval 1.91 to 2.90)) compared with those who had neither angina nor myocardial infarction throughout follow up. Among reported cases of angina without a diagnosis, the 15.5% with an abnormality on a study electrocardiogram had an increased risk of death (hazard ratio 2.37 (1.16 to 4.87)). These effects were similar in magnitude to those in participants with a diagnosis of angina. CONCLUSION: Undiagnosed angina was common and had an adverse impact on prognosis comparable to that of diagnosed angina, particularly among people with electrocardiographic abnormalities. Efforts to improve prognosis among people with angina should take account of this submerged clinical iceberg.

Adult↗

Measuring spatial effects in time to event data: a case study using months from angiography to coronary artery bypass graft (CABG).

The application of Bayesian hierarchical models to measure spatial effects in time to event data has not been widely reported. This case study aims to estimate the effect of area of residence on waiting times to coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and to assess the role of important individual specific covariates (age, sex and disease severity). The data involved all patients with definite coronary artery disease who were referred to one cardiothoracic unit from five contiguous health authorities covering 488 electoral wards (areas). Time to event was the waiting time in months from angiography (diagnosis) to CABG (event). A number of discrete time survival models were fitted to the data. A discrete baseline hazard was estimated by fitting waiting time non-parametrically into the models. Ward was fitted as a spatial effect using a Gaussian Markov random field prior. Individual specific covariates considered were age, sex and number of diseased vessels. The recently proposed DIC criteria was used for comparing models. Results showed a marked spatial effect on time to bypass surgery after including age, sex and disease severity in the model. Notably this spatial effect was not apparent when these covariates were not included in the model. The observed small area spatial variation in time to CABG warrants further investigation.

Bayes Theorem↗

Effects of moderate and vigorous physical activity on heart rate variability in a British study of civil servants.

Physical inactivity and low resting heart rate variability (HRV) are associated with increased coronary heart disease incidence. In the Whitehall II study of civil servants aged 45-68 years (London, United Kingdom, 1997-1999), the strength of the association of moderate and vigorous activity with higher HRV was examined. Five-minute recordings of heart rate and HRV measures were obtained from 3328 participants. Calculated were time domain (standard deviation of NN intervals) and high-frequency-power measures as indicators of cardiac parasympathetic activity and low-frequency power of parasympathetic-sympathetic balance. Leisure-time physical activity (metabolic equivalent-hours per week) was categorized as moderate (>or=3-<5) and vigorous (>or=5). Moderate and vigorous physical activity were associated with higher HRV and lower heart rate. For men, linear trends of higher low-frequency power with increasing quartile of vigorous activity (304.6 (low), 329.0, 342.4, 362.5 (high); p < 0.01) and lower heart rate with increasing quartile of moderate activity (69.6 (low), 69.2, 68.9, 67.8 (high); p < 0.05) were found. These associations remained significant after adjustment for smoking and high alcohol intake. For men whose body mass index was >25 kg/m(2), vigorous activity was associated with HRV levels similar to those for normal-weight men who engaged in no vigorous activity. Vigorous activity was associated with higher HRV, representing a possible mechanism by which physical activity reduces coronary heart disease risk.

Aged↗

Ethnic differences in invasive management of coronary disease: prospective cohort study of patients undergoing angiography.

OBJECTIVES: To compare rates of revascularisation in south Asian and white patients undergoing coronary angiography in relation to the appropriateness of revascularisation and clinical outcome. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of patients with two and a half years' follow up; appropriateness of revascularisation rated by nine experts with no knowledge of ethnicity of patient. SETTING: Tertiary cardiac centre in London with referral from five contiguous health authorities. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive patients (502 south Asian, 2974 white) undergoing coronary angiography in the appropriateness of coronary revascularisation study (ACRE). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Coronary revascularisation, non-fatal myocardial infarction, mortality. RESULTS: There was no difference between south Asian and white patients in the proportions deemed appropriate for revascularisation (72% (361) v 68% (2022)) or in the proportions for whom the physician's intended management was revascularisation (39% (196) v 41% (1218)). Among patients appropriate for revascularisation, age adjusted rates of coronary angioplasty (hazard ratio 0.69, 95% confidence interval 0.47 to 1.00, P=0.058) and coronary artery bypass grafting (0.74, 0.58 to 0.91, P=0.007) were lower in south Asian than in white patients. These differences were smaller but still present after adjustment for socioeconomic status and after restriction of analysis to those patients for whom the intended management was revascularisation. There were no differences in mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction between south Asian and white patients (1.07, 0.78 to 1.47). CONCLUSION: Among patients deemed appropriate for coronary artery bypass grafting, south Asian patients are less likely than white patients to receive it. This difference is not explained by physician bias.

Aged↗

Systematic review of prospective cohort studies of psychosocial factors in the etiology and prognosis of coronary heart disease.

The extent to which the associations between psychosocial factors and coronary heart disease (CHD) are causal has seldom been the subject of systematic enquiry. We are updating our previous systematic review up to 2001. The objective of this study is to assess the relative strength of the epidemiological evidence for causal links between psychosocial factors and CHD incidence among healthy populations, and prognosis among CHD patients. Our methods were to systematically review prospective cohort studies identified through the Science Citation index, which met pre-specified quality criteria. We found that the proportion of etiologic studies reporting a strong or moderate association was: 6/18 for Type A behavior and hostility, 15/22 for depression, 4/8 for anxiety, 10/13 for psychosocial work characteristics and 6/9 for social support. For prognostic studies the proportions were: 2/15 for type A behavior and hostility, 18/34 for depression, 8/18 for anxiety, 2/4 for psychosocial work characteristics and 14/21 for social support. Positive studies were more likely to be cited by other papers than negative studies. We concluded that, based on prospective epidemiological data, there was evidence for an association between depression, social support and psychosocial work characteristics and CHD aetiology and prognosis. Evidence for an effect of anxiety or type A behavior was less consistent. Methods to address bias in the reporting of psychosocial data are required.

Adult↗

Secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease: a randomised trial of training in information management, evidence-based medicine, both or neither: the PIER trial.

BACKGROUND: Sub-optimal management of cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients is widespread in primary and secondary care, with risk factors frequently unrecorded or untreated. AIM: To investigate the effectiveness of educational interventions developed in primary care, on recording, prescribing and control of risk factors among all patients recorded by their general practitioner as having CVD. DESIGN OF STUDY: Factorial, duster-randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Primary care teams representing the range of practice development in a geographically defined area in inner London. METHOD: Participating practices were randomly allocated to one of the four intervention groups: information, evidence, both or neither. Interventions were tailored to suit individual practice needs. At a mean of 19 months after baseline, and three months after the end of intervention, practices carried out the follow-up assessment of recording, treatment, and control of risk factors in the same CVD patients. RESULTS: Adequate recording of all three risk factors, found inapproximately a third of patients at baseline, increased non-significantly by 10.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.9 to 24.9) in the information (versus not information) group and by 6.6% (95% [CI] = 8.9 to 22.0) in the evidence (versus not evidence) group. Factorial improvements in prescribing and control of risk factors tended not to be significant. Adequate recording of an three risk factors showed the greatest improvement in the information plus evidence group (19.9% increase, P for heterogeneity across the four groups < or = 0.001). Mean change from baseline to follow-up within the four intervention groups suggested improvements in the combined information plus evidence group in cholesterol recording (22.5% increase), prescribing of lipid lowering drugs (4.4% increase) and mean cholesterol (0.7 mmol/l decrease). CONCLUSIONS: Adequate risk factor recording did not differ between the information (versus not information) or the evidence (versus not evidence) intervention groups. Combined training in information systems and evidence-based medicine should be considered in the design of future interventions, to improve secondary prevention of CVD.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗