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M Roller

Publications and source records attributed to M Roller.

21 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Risk modelling: which models to choose?

Using as examples excess lung cancer mortality in coke oven workers and lung tumor induction in rats by inhalation of diesel engine emissions or cadmium chloride aerosol, the maximum likelihood estimate and the upper limit of risk were determined using a set of conventional risk models. The additional safety offered by going to the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval when deriving a unit risk value was found to be less than a factor of 5 in all but one case, and usually much less than 2. It is concluded that the selection of an adequate model is the most critical step in risk assessment, and that an additional safety factor may be required to allow for a better protection of the public in case models other than the most conservative ones come into use.

Animals↗

Carcinogenicity studies on natural and man-made fibres with the intraperitoneal test in rats.

Female Wistar rats were injected intraperitoneally (i.p.) with a suspension of 11 fibrous and 3 granular dusts. A dose of 0.25 mg actinolite or UICC chrysotile induced tumours of the peritoneum in more than 50% of the animals. Even 0.05 and 0.01 mg proved to be carcinogenic, although no adhesions of the abdominal organs could be observed. The findings are in conflict with the hypothesis that a scar is always the morphological precondition for the development of an asbestos-induced tumour. Actinolite injected i.p. in a solution of polyvinylpyridine-N-oxide gave a lower tumour incidence than when suspended only in saline, possibly due to inactivation of the fibre surface. Persistent glass fibres were less effective than actinolite having a similar fibre size distribution. On the other hand, relatively thick basalt fibres and ceramic fibres gave higher tumour incidences than expected. Wollastonite fibres were not carcinogenic, probably because of their low durability. Large amounts of polyvinylchloride, alpha-ferric oxide hydrate and wood dust also led only to adhesions of the abdominal organs and fibrosis; a definite carcinogenic effect was not detected.

Animals↗

Cancer risk assessment for oral exposure to PAH mixtures.

Cancer risk estimates for oral uptake of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) currently are based on risk estimates for benzo[a]pyrene (BAP). The potency of PAH mixtures often is calculated using relative potency values (BAP equivalency factors). We used recent oral carcinogenicity studies with BAP and coal tar mixtures, as well as older studies for a critical reappraisal of the current practice. A literature survey identified several carcinogenicity studies with oral and dermal exposure and lung implantation that allow a direct comparison of the carcinogenic potency of pure BAP and PAH mixtures. Moreover, when the PAH composition of the mixture has been analysed, prediction of the potency of PAH mixtures by BAP equivalency factors could be compared with the observed PAH potency. The analysis indicates that BAP equivalency factors do not describe adequately the potency of PAH mixtures and lead to underestimations of carcinogenic potency in most cases. Evaluation of several studies with various PAH mixtures revealed that the potency ratio between pure BAP and the PAH mixture in the same assay is highly dependent on the exposure pathway and the target organ, therefore potency estimates for PAH mixtures should be derived separately for oral, dermal and inhalative exposure using data from studies with the relevant pathway. A cancer slope factor for oral PAH exposure was derived based on data from a recent feeding study with coal tar mixtures. By using incidence data for all exposure-related tumours, a slope factor for humans of 11.5 (human excess risk per oral lifetime exposure with 1 mg BAP kg(-1)day(-1) in a PAH mixture) was obtained. Our analysis led to the conclusion that the contribution of BAP to the carcinogenic potency of the mixture depends on the exposure pathway and type of cancer observed but is relatively constant for various PAH mixtures from industrial sources. Thus, the derived oral slope factor is recommended to be used for the risk assessment of PAH-contaminated soils.

Administration, Oral↗