PubMed · 12345266
Spatial-dynamic population systems: analysis and projection.
Abstract
"In this paper a set of more-detailed multiregional population accounts is proposed to specify more realistically the exposure time of populations at risk for various components of population change. The concepts of population-time at risk and forward demographic rates based on the initial population are discussed. The relations of the forward demographic rates defined in this paper with the occurrence-exposure demographic rates are discussed. A more precise and straightforward multiregional population model is developed on the basis of forward demographic rates. The model is also expressed in the familiar matrix form of multiregional, cohort-survival models." Some applications of the model are made to data for China.
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J Shen. 1994. Spatial-dynamic population systems: analysis and projection.. https://doi.org/10.1068/a260471
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