PubMed · 12969598
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Douglas Chamberlain, Anthony J Handley, Michael Colquhoun. 2003. Time for change?. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0300-9572(03)00264-8
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BACKGROUND: During the past quarter century, advances in treatment of cardiovascular disease have occurred that might potentially benefit survivors of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). Little is known, however, about the temporal patterns in long-term survival among persons resuscitated from SCA. We hypothesized that long-term survival would improve over time and that this temporal pattern would be most evident for cardiac causes of death. METHODS AND RESULTS: The investigation was a retrospective cohort study of survival among persons who were discharged alive from the hospital after resuscitation from out-of-hospital SCA due to heart disease in King County, Wash, between May 1, 1976, and December 31, 2001 (n=2035). Calendar time was divided into four 5-year intervals: 1976 to 1980, 1981 to 1985, 1986 to 1990, and 1991 to 1995, and one 6-year interval, 1996 to 2001. Age-adjusted survival curves were constructed, and Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between mortality and time period. During 11 201 person-years of follow-up, 1334 persons died. Compared with the initial time period, the HR for total mortality was 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.73 to 1.01) for 1981 to 1985, 0.82 (0.69 to 0.96) for 1986 to 1990, 0.66 (0.55 to 0.79) for 1991 to 1995, and 0.58 (0.47 to 0.71) for 1996 to 2001 (HR for trend=0.87 [0.84 to 0.91] for each successive time period). In analyses that assessed cardiac mortality, an even stronger temporal association was evident (HR for trend=0.79 [0.75 to 0.84]). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survival after resuscitation from SCA improved steadily over time in this cohort. To continue this trend, future studies should identify circumstances in which proven treatments are underutilized as well as investigate new therapies that might benefit survivors of SCA.
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to determine the prognostic factors of mortality among patients with cardiorespiratory arrest (CRA) assisted by 061 emergency teams in Andalusia. PATIENTS AND METHOD: Retrospective observational study from January 1998 to December 1999 of 1950 cases of out-of-hospital CRA (OH-CRA) assisted by Andalusian 061 emergency teams (ETs). Independent (predictor) variables considered in the study were those defined in the Utstein style, after categorization. The dependent (outcome) variable was out-of-hospital mortality. A multivariate model was constructed using logistic regression to define the factors that, when considered together, predict mortality. The model was calibrated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. For the discrimination of the model, we calculated the area under the ROC curve. RESULTS: The incidence of OH-CRA was 27/100,000. Among our population of 1950 patients, 24.95% (483) were admitted alive to hospital and 75.05% (1444) died in the out-of hospital setting; 1393 patients were male and 552 were female. The mean age was 61.3 28.4 years. The model revealed the following mortality prognostic factors: personnel performing cadiopulmonary resuscitation before ET arrival (healthcare/non-healthcare), presence of defibrillation, number of defibrillations, CRA site, general function categories before CRA, and cardiac massage within the first minute by ET. CONCLUSIONS: In order to reduce the CRA-induced mortality in our setting, defibrillation and cardiac massage by ETs must be done without delay. It is fundamental to achieve greater health awareness and education among both the general population and the healthcare workers involved in the survival chain.
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