Model selection and optimal sampling in high-throughput experimentation.

Abstract

The practical difficulties encountered in analyzing the kinetics of new reactions are considered from the viewpoint of the capabilities of state-of-the-art high-throughput systems. There are three problems. The first problem is that of model selection, i.e., choosing the correct reaction rate law. The second problem is how to obtain good estimates of the reaction parameters using only a small number of samples once a kinetic model is selected. The third problem is how to perform both functions using just one small set of measurements. To solve the first problem, we present an optimal sampling protocol to choose the correct kinetic model for a given reaction, based on T-optimal design. This protocol is then tested for the case of second-order and pseudo-first-order reactions using both experiments and computer simulations. To solve the second problem, we derive the information function for second-order reactions and use this function to find the optimal sampling points for estimating the kinetic constants. The third problem is further complicated by the fact that the optimal measurement times for determining the correct kinetic model differ from those needed to obtain good estimates of the kinetic constants. To solve this problem, we propose a Pareto optimal approach that can be tuned to give the set of best possible solutions for the two criteria. One important advantage of this approach is that it enables the integration of a priori knowledge into the workflow.