PubMed Health⌕ Search

SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “statistical inference”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,657 records · Page 92Linked to original sources

Model-based inference of recombination hotspots in a highly variable oncogene [corrected].

An emergent problem in the study of pathogen evolution is our ability to determine the extent to which their rapidly evolving genomes recombine. Such information is necessary and essential for locating pathogenicity loci using association studies, and it also directs future screening, therapeutic and vaccination strategies. Recombination also complicates the use of phylogenetic approaches to infer evolutionary parameters including selection pressures. Reliable methods that identify the presence of regions of recombination are therefore vital. We illustrate the use of an integrated model-based approach to inferring recombination structure using all available sequences of the highly variable, transforming Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesviral gene, ORF-K1. This technique learns the parameters of a statistical model that takes recombination hotspots, population genetic effects, and variable rates of mutation into account. As there are no known mechanisms to explain the high mutation rate in this DNA viral gene, recombination may account for some of the variability observed. We infer recombination hotspots in conserved sites such as the tyrosine kinase signaling motif, referred to here as recombination drift, as well as in nonconserved sites, a process described as recombination shift.

Bayes Theorem↗

Effects of sibutramine alone and with alcohol on cognitive function in healthy volunteers.

AIMS: To investigate the effects of sibutramine in combination with alcohol in a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, four-way crossover study in 20 healthy volunteers. METHODS: On each study day each volunteer received either: sibutramine 20 mg+0.5 g kg-1 alcohol; sibutramine 20 mg+placebo alcohol; placebo capsules+0.5 g kg-1 alcohol; or placebo capsules+placebo alcohol. Alcohol was administered 2 h following ingestion of the study capsules. During each study day, assessments of cognitive performance were made prior to dosing, and at 3, 4.5, 6 and 10 h post dosing. Blood alcohol concentration was estimated using a breath alcometer immediately prior to each cognitive performance test session. Each study day was followed by a minimum 7 day washout period. RESULTS: Alcohol was found to produce statistically significant impairments in tests of attention (maximum impairment to speed of digit vigilance=49 ms) and episodic memory (maximum impairment to speed of word recognition=74 ms). Alcohol also increased body sway (maximum increase 17.4 units) and lowered self rated alertness (maximum decrease 13.6 mm). These effects were produced by an inferred blood alcohol level of 53.2 mg dl-1. Sibutramine was not found to potentiate any of the effects of alcohol. There was a small, yet statistically significant, interaction effect observed on the sensitivity index of the picture recognition task. In this test, the combined effects of sibutramine and alcohol were smaller than the impairments produced by alcohol alone. Sibutramine, when dosed alone, was associated with improved performance on several tasks. Sibutramine improved attention (mean speed of digit vigilance improved by 21 ms), picture recognition speed (improvement at 3=81) and motor control (tracking error at 3 h reduced by 1.58 mm). Also sibutramine improved postural stability (reducing body sway at 3 h by 14.2 units). Adverse events reported were unremarkable and consistent with the known pharmacology of sibutramine and alcohol. CONCLUSIONS: There was little evidence of a clinically relevant interaction of sibutramine with the impairment of cognitive function produced by alcohol in healthy volunteers. The single statistically significant interaction indicated a reduction, rather than a worsening, of alcohol-induced impairment when sibutramine is taken concomitantly. Sibutramine when administered alone is associated with improved performance on several tasks.

Adult↗

Further studies in the variability of pock counts.

The problem of estimating viral activity from pock counts that exhibit a substantial degree of overdispersion is revisited from the viewpoint of quasilikelihood with unknown parameters in the variance function. Score statistics are developed for tests and interval estimates of both mean and variance parameters. These yield somewhat different conclusions than do methods based exclusively on point estimates and standard errors, especially for the variance parameters. A Monte Carlo study confirms that, in the absence of strong prior information about the shape of the error distribution, inferences on variances are highly unstable in small to moderate samples.

Animals↗

Controlling false-negative errors in microarray differential expression analysis: a PRIM approach.

MOTIVATION: Theoretical considerations suggest that current microarray screening algorithms may fail to detect many true differences in gene expression (Type II analytic errors). We assessed 'false negative' error rates in differential expression analyses by conventional linear statistical models (e.g. t-test), microarray-adapted variants (e.g. SAM, Cyber-T), and a novel strategy based on hold-out cross-validation. The latter approach employs the machine-learning algorithm Patient Rule Induction Method (PRIM) to infer minimum thresholds for reliable change in gene expression from Boolean conjunctions of fold-induction and raw fluorescence measurements. RESULTS: Monte Carlo analyses based on four empirical data sets show that conventional statistical models and their microarray-adapted variants overlook more than 50% of genes showing significant up-regulation. Conjoint PRIM prediction rules recover approximately twice as many differentially expressed transcripts while maintaining strong control over false-positive (Type I) errors. As a result, experimental replication rates increase and total analytic error rates decline. RT-PCR studies confirm that gene inductions detected by PRIM but overlooked by other methods represent true changes in mRNA levels. PRIM-based conjoint inference rules thus represent an improved strategy for high-sensitivity screening of DNA microarrays. AVAILABILITY: Freestanding JAVA application at http://microarray.crump.ucla.edu/focus

Algorithms↗

Probabilistic inference-based classification applied to myoelectric signal decomposition.

A new probabilistic inference based technique (IBC) for the classification of motor unit action potentials (MUAP's) is presented. This new technique discovers statistically significant relationships in the data and uses these relationships to generate classification rules. The technique was applied to the classification of MUAP's extracted from simulated myoelectric signals. Its performance was compared to that of classical template matching algorithms (TBC) applied to the same data. Using 32 time samples as features to represent the MUAP's it was found that the IBC based technique performed significantly better (p less than 0.005) than the TBC algorithms (83.0 +/- 2.6% versus 78.1 +/- 2.8% peak correct classification performance). As the size of the training set was reduced or as increasing numbers of random classification errors were introduced into the training data, the performance of the IBC and TBC techniques declined similarly. IBC performance remained superior until very small training sets (less than 30 MUAP's per motor unit) or training sets with large numbers of errors (greater than 50%) were used. Because the probabilistic inference technique can utilize nominal data it has the potential to use declarative problem domain knowledge which conceivably could improve its performance.

Action Potentials↗

The use of Chi-square maps in the analysis of census data.

"This paper addresses itself to one of the problems inherent in any spatial analysis of census data, namely the variable size of the enumeration units. This variation renders some proportions unstable, due to the small numbers involved. Attempts to overcome this, using visual methods, can be unsatisfactory, whilst doing nothing to aid statistical analysis. Chi-square maps are suggested as a satisfactory alternative in both contexts, and data for Reading, Berkshire are displayed to illustrate this. These maps suggest that some inferences, based upon indicators derived from proportions, may be unsound."

Censuses↗

Haplotype reconstruction from SNP alignment.

In this paper, we describe a method for statistical reconstruction of haplotypes from a set of aligned SNP fragments. We consider the case of a pair of homologous human chromosomes, one from the mother and the other from the father. After fragment assembly, we wish to reconstruct the two haplotypes of the parents. Given a set of potential SNP sites inferred from the assembly alignment, we wish to divide the fragment set into two subsets, each of which represents one chromosome. Our method is based on a statistical model of sequencing errors, compositional information, and haplotype memberships. We calculate probabilities of different haplotypes conditional on the alignment. Due to computational complexity, we first determine phases for neighboring SNPs. Then we connect them and construct haplotype segments. Also, we compute the accuracy or confidence of the reconstructed haplotypes. We discuss other issues, such as alternative methods, parameter estimation, computational efficiency, and relaxation of assumptions.

Base Sequence↗

Y-chromosome specific YCAII, DYS19 and YAP polymorphisms in human populations: a comparative study.

Two hypervariable Y-specific markers, the YCAII and DYS19 STRs, and the more stable Y Alu Polymorphism (YAP) have been analysed in about 1400 individuals of 21 different populations, mainly from Europe but also from the Middle East, Africa and Asia. On the basis of the frequency distributions of these three Y-markers we compare, using different statistical analyses, their power in detecting population genetic structure and in distinguishing closely related groups. The pattern of populations' genetic affinities inferred from the three markers considered altogether suggests a strong genetic structure that, with a few exceptions, broadly corresponds to the linguistic relatedness and/or geographic location of the sampled populations.

Alleles↗

The distribution of mitochondrial activity in relation to optic nerve structure.

BACKGROUND: The observation of a buildup of mitochondria at the level of the lamina cribrosa in the optic nerve head has traditionally been attributed to axoplasmic stasis. However, this region is also the transition zone for myelination, resulting in differing energy requirements. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between myelination and mitochondrial activity in optic nerve tissue. METHODS: Histological, histochemical, and immunocytochemical techniques were used to demonstrate the distribution of myelin, cytochrome-c oxidase activity, and laminar structure in human optic nerve tissue. A study of rabbit optic nerve and retina and unmyelinated human pituitary stalk was also performed. Cytochrome-c oxidase activity in the human optic nerve tissue was measured using microphotometry. RESULTS: There was a striking inverse relationship between myelination and mitochondrial distribution in all tissue studied. Statistical analysis of microphotometric data showed this distribution to be highly significant. CONCLUSION: We caution against the previous inference of a process of axoplasmic stasis and suggest that, instead, the distribution of mitochondria reflects the functional requirement of different regions of the ganglion cell axon. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Optic neuropathy is associated with several inherited disorders of mitochondria. We suggest that a fine balance exists between energy demand and tissue function in the optic nerve, which may explain why optic nerve pathological features are seen in those with mitochondrial disease.

Adult↗

Applying FSL to the FIAC data: model-based and model-free analysis of voice and sentence repetition priming.

This article presents results obtained from applying various tools from FSL (FMRIB Software Library) to data from the repetition priming experiment used for the HBM'05 Functional Image Analysis Contest. We present analyses from the model-based General Linear Model (GLM) tool (FEAT) and from the model-free independent component analysis tool (MELODIC). We also discuss the application of tools for the correction of image distortions prior to the statistical analysis and the utility of recent advances in functional magnetic resonance imaging (FMRI) time series modeling and inference such as the use of optimal constrained HRF basis function modeling and mixture modeling inference. The combination of hemodynamic response function (HRF) and mixture modeling, in particular, revealed that both sentence content and speaker voice priming effects occurred bilaterally along the length of the superior temporal sulcus (STS). These results suggest that both are processed in a single underlying system without any significant asymmetries for content vs. voice processing.

Brain Mapping↗

Association models for periodontal disease progression: a comparison of methods for clustered binary data.

We investigate population-averaged (PA) and cluster-specific (CS) associations for clustered binary logistic regression in the context of a longitudinal clinical trial that investigated the association between tooth-specific visual elastase kit results and periodontal disease progression within 26 weeks of follow-up. We address estimation of population-averaged logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations (GEE), and conditional likelihood (CL) and mixed effects (ME) estimation of CS logistic regression models. Of particular interest is the impact of clusters that do not provide information for conditional likelihood methods (non-informative clusters) on inferences based upon the various methodologies. The empirical and analytical results indicate that CL methods yield smaller test statistics than ME methods when non-informative clusters exist, and that CL estimates are less efficient than ME estimates under certain conditions. Moreover, previously reported relationships between population-averaged and cluster-specific parameters appear to hold for the corresponding estimates in the presence of these clusters.

Cluster Analysis↗

Exact logistic regression: theory and examples.

We provide an alternative to the maximum likelihood method for making inferences about the parameters of the logistic regression model. The method is based appropriate permutational distributions of sufficient statistics. It is useful for analysing small or unbalanced binary data with covariates. It also applies to small-sample clustered binary data. We illustrate the method by analysing several biomedical data sets.

Algorithms↗

Variable selection and Bayesian model averaging in case-control studies.

Covariate and confounder selection in case-control studies is often carried out using a statistical variable selection method, such as a two-step method or a stepwise method in logistic regression. Inference is then carried out conditionally on the selected model, but this ignores the model uncertainty implicit in the variable selection process, and so may underestimate uncertainty about relative risks. We report on a simulation study designed to be similar to actual case-control studies. This shows that p-values computed after variable selection can greatly overstate the strength of conclusions. For example, for our simulated case-control studies with 1000 subjects, of variables declared to be 'significant' with p-values between 0.01 and 0.05, only 49 per cent actually were risk factors when stepwise variable selection was used. We propose Bayesian model averaging as a formal way of taking account of model uncertainty in case-control studies. This yields an easily interpreted summary, the posterior probability that a variable is a risk factor, and our simulation study indicates this to be reasonably well calibrated in the situations simulated. The methods are applied and compared in the context of a case-control study of cervical cancer.

Analysis of Variance↗

Characterizing the response of PET and fMRI data using multivariate linear models.

This paper presents a new method for characterizing brain responses in both PET and fMRI data. The aim is to capture the correlations between the scans of an experiment and a set of external predictor variables that are thought to affect the scans, such as type, intensity, or shape of stimulus response. Its main feature is a Canonical Variates Analysis (CVA) of the estimated effects of the predictors from a multivariate linear model (MLM). The advantage of this over current methods is that temporal correlations can be incorporated into the model, making the MLM method suitable for fMRI as well as PET data. Moreover, tests for the presence of any correlation, and inference about the number of canonical variates needed to capture that correlation, can be based on standard multivariate statistics, rather than simulations. When applied to an fMRI data set previously analyzed by another CVA method, the MLM method reveals a pattern of responses that is closer to that detected in an earlier non-CVA analysis.

Analysis of Variance↗

Toward assigning helical regions in alignments of ribosomal RNA and testing the appropriateness of evolutionary models.

We suggest a nucleotide substitution model that takes correlation between base-paired nucleotides into account. The model includes the estimation of the transition-transversion ratio and allows inference of the shape parameter of a discrete gamma distribution to include rate heterogeneity. A Cox-test statistic, applied to a diatom ribosomal RNA alignment, shows that the suggested correlation model explains evolution of the stem region better than usual independence models. Moreover, the Cox-test procedure is extended to shed some light upon the problem of assigning helical regions in a secondary structure based alignment. This approach provides an estimate of the percentage of stem positions that do not appear to be correlated.

Base Sequence↗

Testing claims of gene conversion between multigene family members: examples from echinoderm actin genes.

Molecular genetics studies often infer the occurrence of gene conversion events based on simple sequence similarity observations that do not include any statistical analyses. I show that the statistical significance of two previously proposed gene conversion events can easily be tested and point out that a variety of methods are available to perform gene conversion analyses.

Actins↗

Health cards, maternal reports and the measurement of immunization coverage: the example of Guatemala.

Immunization against major childhood diseases has been an essential component of health policies in developing countries. However, despite its importance and the efforts invested by many organizations in promoting immunization programs, consistent and accurate measurement of immunization coverage has not yet been achieved. In this paper, we explore the implications of alternative methods of measuring immunization coverage rates in Guatemala, using data from the 1987 Encuesta Nacional de Salud Materno Infantil, and we consider the dangers of making inferences about levels and trends in coverage from cross-sectional data. The results indicate that (1) service statistics may well lead to overestimates of coverage; (2) survey estimates derived from health cards can also produce severely biased estimates; and (3) in spite of problems associated with maternal recall, mothers' reports of their children's vaccination status probably result in substantially improved estimates of immunization coverage.

Bias↗