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At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Externally validated risk prediction models for gestational diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Risk prediction models for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) offer potential for early identification and targeted prevention. External validation is crucial to assess model performance across diverse populations. Despite the availability of numerous GDM prediction models, limited evidence exists on their external validation frequency, methodological quality, and clinical applicability. This systematic review evaluated externally validated GDM prediction models, focusing on methodological rigor, reporting standards, and clinical relevance to inform future research and implementation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Databases including Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Emcare, and CINAHL were searched up to May 1, 2025. Studies reporting external validation of GDM risk prediction models were included. Two reviewers independently screened studies. Data were extracted using the CHARMS framework, and risk of bias and applicability were assessed using PROBAST+AI. The study protocol was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO; CRD420251125758). RESULTS: Twenty-six studies validated 33 models, with validation sample sizes ranging from 50 to 75 161. Over half used the IADPSG criteria to define GDM. Discrimination metrics were commonly reported, but calibration, overall performance, and clinical utility were often lacking. Meta-analysis was feasible for only four models: Teede et al., Nanda et al., Naylor et al., and Van Leeuwen et al., each showing fair discrimination. The Teede et al. model was the most widely validated, with 11 external validations across six continents and a pooled AUC of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.76). Despite fewer validations, the Nanda et al. model achieved the highest pooled discrimination (5 validations; pooled AUC 0.77, 95% CI: 0.74-0.80). The Naylor et al. and van Leeuwen et al. models also underwent meta-analysis, as sufficient external validation studies were available to support comparative performance assessment. Notably, 69.23% of studies had a high risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: While many models showed acceptable predictive performance, most validations were methodologically weak. Future studies should follow best-practice guidelines and promote scalable validation strategies, such as algorithm sharing, to enhance clinical utility.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Clinical Variable-Based Machine Learning for Predicting Early mCRPC Using Exclusively Clinical Variables: Development and Multicenter External Validation.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) exhibits heterogeneous progression patterns, with early progression to metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) within 12 months indicating aggressive tumor biology and poor prognosis. Current risk stratification tools (CHAARTED, LATITUDE) offer limited individualized prediction. Machine learning approaches are increasingly applied to predict prostate cancer progression, but most models show modest performance (AUC 0.68-0.72), limited external validation, or require genomic variables unavailable in routine practice. This study aimed to develop and externally validate a novel RINH algorithm for predicting early mCRPC progression (≤ 12 months) using exclusively clinical variables, positioning it as a superior alternative to conventional ML classifiers. METHODS: This multicenter study enrolled 412 patients with de novo mHSPC from seven Spanish academic centers using mixed retrospective-prospective data collection. Twenty clinical variables were recorded, including demographics, PSA, ISUP grade, metastatic localization, CHAARTED/LATITUDE classifications, and treatment modalities. Following RINH-based outlier exclusion (55 patients), 357 patients (29 with early progression, 8.1%) were used to train six ML algorithms: RINH, Logistic Regression, Linear Discriminant, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Subspace Discriminant. A two-tiered validation strategy integrated stratified fivefold cross-validation across all centers and formal external validation using center 1 (n = 121, 19 events) for training and centers 2-7 (n = 207, 10 events) for independent testing. Performance metrics included AUC, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1-score. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: Artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML) are transforming oncology, promising personalized risk stratification beyond traditional clinical criteria. In metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC), early progression to castration resistance (mCRPC) within 12 months signals aggressive biology and poor prognosis, yet current tools (CHAARTED, LATITUDE) offer limited individualized prediction. Multiple ML models have been proposed with variable success: most achieve modest performance (AUC 0.68-0.72), lack robust external validation, or rely on genomic variables inaccessible in routine practice. We propose a novel approach using the Rivality Index Neighborhood (RINH) algorithm, demonstrating superior predictive capacity in an initial multicenter validation with exclusively clinical variables. This study provides rigorous multicenter external validation, advancing toward implementable precision oncology tools. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: The RINH algorithm achieves superior predictive performance for early mCRPC progression using exclusively clinical variables, representing a significant advance toward implementable risk stratification. However, low reliability scores in external validation underscore that excellent performance metrics alone do not guarantee stability. Before clinical deployment, validation in substantially larger cohorts with higher progression events is essential. If validated, this model could enable personalized, risk-adapted therapeutic strategies, refining patient selection for treatment intensification or de-escalation.

Humans↗
PubMed1978

External validity in the assessment of intellectual development in adulthood.

The relation of intelligence and competence is discussed and external validity issues are examined for the dimensions of settings, measurement variables, treatment variables and experimental units. It is argued that external validity across situations and life stages cannot be obtained for any single measure of intellectual ability. External validity problems are exacerbated beyond young adulthood since single criterion goals comparable to that of educational aptitude in work with the young are not available, and tasks do not retain ecological validity when the situational context of the individual under study changes due to developmental progression and idiosyncratic modification of individual life situation and roles. External validity in adulthood must therefore be addressed by examining task-by-person-by-situation interfaces separately for different life stages and across cohort groupings. A major test construction and validation program is outlined, and examples are given showing how some of the aspects of such a program can be operationalized.

Cognition↗
PubMed2026

Development and external validation of an explainable machine learning model for predicting chronic kidney disease progression in the Korean population.

BACKGROUND: Current risk stratification models, such as the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE), exhibit variable performance across ethnic groups and fail to capture dynamic clinical trajectories. This study aimed to develop and validate a Korean-specific machine learning (ML) model for predicting chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression using an ensemble approach. METHODS: We used electronic health records from Seoul National University Hospital for model development (n = 28,209) and the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES) CKD cohort for external validation (n = 3,960). The primary outcome was a composite of ≥40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or progression to end-stage renal disease within 2 years. A soft-voting ensemble of four ML algorithms (XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and Random Forest) was developed. RESULTS: The ensemble model demonstrated robust discrimination in internal validation (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC], 0.939; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.934-0.944), significantly exceeding the KFRE (AUROC, 0.879-0.884). External validation in the KoGES cohort showed comparable discrimination (AUROC, 0.859; 95% CI, 0.798-0.914) versus KFRE (four-variable AUROC, 0.882; 95% CI, 0.818-0.935). Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis identified baseline eGFR, serum creatinine, eGFR slope, albumin, and hemoglobin as key prognostic features, supporting a complementary framework using KFRE for community screening and the ML model for hospital-based risk stratification. CONCLUSION: The ensemble ML model accurately predicts short-term CKD progression in Korean patients. By incorporating longitudinal features and ensemble learning, it provides a precise alternative to Western-derived equations, particularly in tertiary care settings.

Chronic kidney failure↗
PubMed1976

Testing the internal and external validity of a simplified dental caries index on an adult population.

This analysis of a caries index, proposed in 1966 to WHO as a simplified method of measurement, as tested on a 16- to 45-year-old population who were seeking dental care at the University of Minnesota School of Dentistry revealed several weaknesses associated with the index. An analysis of the external validity of this index, a comparison with subjects' DMFS scores, revealed a correlation coefficient of 0.71. Although the index purports to measure the prevalence and severity of dental caries by dividing the dentition into five zones representing increasing severity of dental caries experience, an analysis of this index's internal validity, i.e. whether these five zones truly represent a rank-order scale of severity, revealed misclassification rates of from 21% for the total population up to 44% for a subgroup. When zones were recombined to reduce the misclassification rates, the descriptive capabilities of the index were greatly reduced as most subjects were then classified in only one or two of the zones.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2025

Identification and external validation of a prognostic signature based on myeloid-derived suppressor cells-related LncRNAs to evaluate survival prognosis and treatment efficacy in invasive breast carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Originating in the hematopoietic tissue, myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) significantly contribute to tumor-related immunological processes. However, their relationship with long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) and breast cancer remains incompletely understood. In this study, we introduced MDSCs-associated lncRNAs as novel prognostic biomarkers to assess outcomes in patients with invasive breast carcinoma (BRCA). METHODS: Information regarding BRCA cases, including clinical and genomic details, was obtained from the TCGA repository. Predictive indicators were discovered, and their reliability underwent thorough verification. A clinically useful nomogram was developed following application-based validation. Additional investigations encompassed functional analysis, TMB assessment, TME profiling, immunotherapy efficacy forecasting, and drug sensitivity testing along with target identification. Long non-coding RNA expression was measured using reverse transcription quantitative PCR. RESULTS: A risk stratification model incorporating eight MDSCs-related lncRNAs effectively predicted patient outcomes. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival analysis clearly indicated a much worse prognosis among patients classified as high-risk (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). The nomogram accurately forecasted overall survival (OS). Analysis of functional enrichment revealed that pathways associated with epithelial cells showed activity among patients at higher risk. Characterization of the tumor microenvironment showed increased immune cell presence in those classified as low-risk. Conversely, individuals with greater risk displayed higher tumor mutational burden. TIDE and IPS analyses indicated superior immunotherapy responsiveness in the low-risk BRCA subgroup. Among 47 drugs with notable IC50 variations, Ribociclib, PD173074, KU-55933, NU7441, and nutlin-3a exhibited lower IC50 values within the low-risk group, whereas Lapatinib demonstrated greater efficacy among the high-risk group. Moreover, 10 potential therapeutic agents and their targets were predicted for high-risk patients. RT-qPCR validation confirmed the robustness of the model. CONCLUSIONS: We successfully verified a new model of molecular markers of MDSCs-related lncRNAs, offering critical insights for predicting outcomes and guiding therapeutic decisions in BRCA cases.

Bioinformatics↗
PubMed2026

Diagnostic performance of machine learning models for malignant and non-malignant pleural effusion: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Accurately distinguishing malignant pleural effusion (MPE) from non-malignant pleural effusion is clinically important, but the generalisability and methodological quality of machine-learning (ML) models remain uncertain. METHODS: We searched eight databases to 23 April 2026. Diagnostic performance was pooled using random-effects and Reitsma bivariate models, and study quality was assessed using PROBAST+AI. RESULTS: Forty-two studies were included; 17 contributed to the AUC meta-analysis and 14 to the bivariate analysis. The pooled AUC was 0.90 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.85-0.94; 95&#xa0;% prediction interval 0.62-0.98), with sensitivity of 0.80 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.77-0.83) and specificity of 0.87 (95&#xa0;% CI 0.79-0.92). Only nine studies reported external, temporal or independent validation. Externally validated studies had a lower pooled AUC than studies without external validation (0.83 vs 0.92), with lower specificity observed in the two externally validated studies contributing sensitivity and specificity data. All 42 development assessments had high overall quality concerns, and all 42 model evaluations were judged at high risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: ML models showed good apparent accuracy for distinguishing MPE from non-MPE, but the evidence was limited by substantial heterogeneity, high risk of bias and scarce external validation. The pooled estimates reflect the average performance of different selected models rather than the expected accuracy of a single clinical test. ML models should be regarded as adjuncts to existing diagnostic pathways until they are confirmed by rigorous multicentre prospective external validation and clinical-impact studies.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Non-small cell lung cancer and tumor-educated platelets: screening of biomarkers and construction of a prognostic model.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, emphasizing the urgent need for effective early detection strategies. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) provides a unique perspective on tumor pathogenesis, focusing on concepts such as "long-term stasis leading to accumulation". Tumor-educated platelets (TEPs) offer potential as biomarkers due to their ability to reflect cancer heterogeneity and facilitate less invasive diagnostic approaches. This study aims to identify TEP-related prognostic biomarkers for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to construct and validate a multigene prognostic model by integrating platelet transcriptomic data with tumor tissue datasets. METHODS: We performed comprehensive analysis of gene expression datasets obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) repositories to characterize transcriptomic differences among lung cancer specimens, normal tissue samples, and TEPs. Using R software, we identified Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and subsequently applied a multi-stage analytical pipeline to TEP-associated DEGs, incorporating univariate Cox proportional hazards regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, multivariate Cox regression, and stepwise regression modeling to pinpoint genes with prognostic significance. These prognostically relevant genes served as the foundation for developing a risk stratification model. We computed individual risk scores across both training and validation cohorts, enabling patient stratification into high- and low-risk categories. Model robustness was assessed through internal cross-validation and external validation procedures, while predictive performance was quantified using risk calibration metrics and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Through systematic bioinformatics screening, we identified a four-gene prognostic signature comprising NELL2, C4orf48, PRAM1, and KLHL35, which served as the foundation for developing our risk stratification algorithm. Rigorous internal cross-validation and external cohort validation substantiated the moderate predictive performance of this signature. Comprehensive clinicopathological correlation analysis revealed that elevated risk indices, advanced pathological staging (stage III-IV), increased primary tumor dimensions, regional lymph node metastasis, and distant organ dissemination each demonstrated statistically significant associations with diminished overall survival (OS) outcomes in lung cancer patients. The clinical nomogram exhibited acceptable calibration, with calibration plots showing reasonable concordance between predicted and observed survival probabilities across all time points. Discriminative capacity assessment via time-dependent ROC analysis yielded area under the curve (AUC) values consistently surpassing 0.6, confirming moderate prognostic discrimination. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that our integrated multi-gene model conferred potential net clinical benefit compared to individual prognostic variables across the full spectrum of clinically relevant threshold probabilities (0-1 range), thereby establishing its potential utility for risk-informed clinical decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified NELL2, C4orf48, PRAM1, and KLHL35 as candidate TEP-related prognostic biomarkers for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The developed prognostic model shows preliminary potential for patient stratification, but its clinical application, particularly as a platelet-based liquid biopsy tool, requires further validation in independent TEP-based cohorts.

Tumor-educated platelets (TEPs)↗
PubMed2025

A Digital Tool for Clinical Evidence-Driven Guideline Development by Studying Properties of Trial Eligible and Ineligible Populations: Development and Usability Study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guideline development preferentially relies on evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). RCTs are gold-standard methods to evaluate the efficacy of treatments with the highest internal validity but limited external validity, in the sense that their findings may not always be applicable to or generalizable to clinical populations or population characteristics. The external validity of RCTs for the clinical population is constrained by the lack of tailored epidemiological data analysis designed for this purpose due to data governance, consistency of disease or condition definitions, and reduplicated effort in analysis code. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a digital tool that characterizes the overall population and differences between clinical trial eligible and ineligible populations from the clinical populations of a disease or condition regarding demography (eg, age, gender, ethnicity), comorbidity, coprescription, hospitalization, and mortality. Currently, the process is complex, onerous, and time-consuming, whereas a real-time tool may be used to rapidly inform a guideline developer's judgment about the applicability of evidence. METHODS: The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence-particularly the gout guideline development group-and the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network guideline developers were consulted to gather their requirements and evidential data needs when developing guidelines. An R Shiny (R Foundation for Statistical Computing) tool was designed and developed using electronic primary health care data linked with hospitalization and mortality data built upon an optimized data architecture. Disclosure control mechanisms were built into the tool to ensure data confidentiality. The tool was deployed within a Trusted Research Environment, allowing only trusted preapproved researchers to conduct analysis. RESULTS: The tool supports 128 chronic health conditions as index conditions and 161 conditions as comorbidities (33 in addition to the 128 index conditions). It enables 2 types of analyses via the graphic interface: overall population and stratified by user-defined eligibility criteria. The analyses produce an overview of statistical tables (eg, age, gender) of the index condition population and, within the overview groupings, produce details on, for example, electronic frailty index, comorbidities, and coprescriptions. The disclosure control mechanism is integral to the tool, limiting tabular counts to meet local governance needs. An exemplary result for gout as an index condition is presented to demonstrate the tool's functionality. Guideline developers from the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence and the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network provided positive feedback on the tool. CONCLUSIONS: The tool is a proof-of-concept, and the user feedback has demonstrated that this is a step toward computer-interpretable guideline development. Using the digital tool can potentially improve evidence-driven guideline development through the availability of real-world data in real time.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

The role of artificial intelligence in the diagnosis and prognosis of traumatic brain injury based on brain CT scans: a systematic review.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of emergency department visits and a major contributor to injury-related mortality and long-term neurological disability. Non-contrast computed tomography (CT) is the gold-standard imaging modality for the rapid diagnosis of TBI. Clinical outcomes depend strongly on early detection and prompt acute management. Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models may support faster automated identification of traumatic findings and early prediction of patient prognosis.&#xa0;A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, and the Cochrane Library in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines to evaluate AI-based models for automated detection of TBI-related findings on CT and for prediction of clinical outcomes. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using QUADAS-2 for diagnostic accuracy studies and PROBAST&#x2009;+&#x2009;AI for prediction model studies.&#xa0;Twenty-two studies were included. Sixteen studies evaluated diagnostic tasks and 10 evaluated prognostic outcomes, with four studies contributing to both categories. Diagnostic performance was generally high, with many studies reporting AUC values approaching or exceeding 0.90, particularly for larger lesion volumes.Prognostic performance was more variable, with moderate to high discrimination and substantial heterogeneity. Only 9 studies incorporated independent external validation, and performance was frequently lower in external cohorts. All prognostic model studies were judged to be at high overall risk of bias using PROBAST&#x2009;+&#x2009;AI, and most diagnostic accuracy studies also demonstrated high or unclear risk of bias in at least one QUADAS-2 domain, most frequently in patient selection.&#xa0;AI-based models applied to brain CT demonstrate strong technical performance for both diagnostic and prognostic tasks in TBI. However, most studies relied on retrospective designs and lacked independent external validation which limits models generalizability and raises concern for potential overfitting. Prospective, multicenter studies with standardized methodologies and rigorous external validation are required before widespread clinical implementation.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

A weakly supervised deep learning-based recurrence prediction and risk stratification of lung adenocarcinoma from pathology whole-slide images.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of postoperative recurrence in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is essential for guiding clinical decision-making and improving patient outcomes. Although various predictive models have been developed, most rely on complex genomic analyses and high-dimensional clinical data. The complexity of these approaches substantially limits their feasibility for routine clinical use. To address this clinical challenge, this study aims to predict postoperative recurrence using routinely available hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained images and characterize the associated biological features. METHODS: A total of 329 patients who underwent curative resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (FHWMU) were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to training and internal validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. An independent external validation cohort comprising 70 patients from the Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium (CPTAC) was included. Three patch-level feature extractors (Inception_V3, ResNet18, and DenseNet121) were evaluated within a weakly supervised multiple-instance learning (MIL) framework incorporating automated region-of-interest (ROI) detection on segmented whole-slide images (WSIs). Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Transcriptomic profiling and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were conducted to investigate biological differences between risk groups. RESULTS: The model achieved AUCs of 0.923 in the training cohort, 0.891 in the internal validation cohort, and 0.847 in the external validation cohort. The model effectively stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups with significantly different recurrence-free survival (RFS) across all cohorts (all P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and retained prognostic value within AJCC stages I-III. Transcriptomic analyses revealed consistent enrichment of cell cycle-related pathways and neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) formation in high-risk patients across both institutional and CPTAC cohorts, aligning with distinct biological profiles of the model-derived risk stratification. CONCLUSIONS: This weakly supervised deep learning framework enables accurate and externally validated prediction of postoperative recurrence in LUAD using routinely available histopathological images, and integration of histopathological features with molecular analyses enhances biological interpretability. This work provides a clinically accessible and cost-effective tool for postoperative risk assessment in LUAD patients.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Predictive Models for Hypoglycemia Risk in Haemodialysis Patients With Diabetic Kidney Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

AIM: To provide evidence for selecting and developing reliable clinical assessment tools for hypoglycemia in diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. DESIGN: Review. METHODS: Systematic searches were performed in 9 Chinese and English databases to collect literature regarding the development of hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease. Two reviewers independently performed literature screening, data extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and applicability evaluation. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability of the included studies. Meta-analysis was conducted using R software. DATA SOURCES: CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, CBM, PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMbase, Web of Science, and CINAHL. The search period covered from the establishment date of each database to December 2025. RESULTS: Six studies, comprising six prediction models, were included. Two studies performed internal validation, and three conducted external validation. All models reported the area under the curve, ranging from 0.813 to 0.866, and calibration measures. Four studies were rated as having a high risk of bias, while all six demonstrated good overall applicability. The meta-analysis showed that the pooled AUC value of the six studies was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.823-0.867). CONCLUSION: Research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease remains in the developmental stage. Although the included prediction models exhibited satisfactory apparent discriminatory ability and clinical applicability, most of the original studies suffered from a high risk of bias and lacked adequate validation. The true predictive performance and clinical application value of these models remain to be further verified. Accordingly, routine and unconditional clinical application is not recommended at this stage. Future studies should include more high-quality, multicenter external validation and develop models with high generalizability, favourable clinical applicability, and robust predictive performance to facilitate early identification of hypoglycemia risk in this population. IMPACT: This study systematically evaluated the hypoglycemia risk prediction models for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis, and the research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models for maintenance haemodialysis patients during dialysis is still in the development stage. This study provides a reference for clinical medical staff to select or develop hypoglycemia risk prediction and assessment tools for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. REPORTING METHOD: This study was conducted in accordance with the relevant guidelines of the EQUATOR Network and followed the TRIPOD-SRMA Checklist. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: No patient or public contribution. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD420251243352.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Cross-Platform Proteomics and Machine Learning Algorithms Nominate Plasma Biomarkers of Stroke Diagnosis.

BACKGROUND: Blood-based biomarkers for stroke subtyping could improve triage in emergency settings. We used cross-platform proteomics to identify plasma biomarkers differentiating major stroke diagnostic groups. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study using 2 biorepositories. Plasma was collected in the emergency department from adults with suspected stroke before therapeutic intervention. Differentially enriched proteins were identified across acute ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, transient ischemic attack, and stroke mimics using SomaScan discovery proteomics (Grady). Differentially enriched proteins were nominated using pairwise and multigroup comparisons and adjusted for clinical covariates. Protein panels were created using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression. Internal validation used repeated nested cross-validation (rCV) and targeted mass spectrometry (MS), while external validation used data-independent acquisition &#xa0;mass spectrometry in an independent cohort (Yale). RESULTS: We included 100 subjects (40 with acute ischemic stroke, 20 with intracerebral hemorrhage, 20 with transient ischemic attack, 20 with stroke mimics) in discovery and 80 subjects (20 per group) in external validation cohorts. SomaScan quantified 7307 proteins, of which 61 differentiated stroke subtypes. We identified 7 protein classifiers for acute ischemic stroke (rCV-area under the curve, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.78-0.86]), 6 for intracerebral hemorrhage (rCV-area under the curve, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.64-0.76]), 8 for transient ischemic attack (rCV-area under the curve, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.73-0.84]), and 7 for stroke mimics (rCV-area under the curve, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.77-0.86]). Targeted proteomics internally validated 11 proteins, and data-independent acquisition-mass spectrometry externally validated 32 proteins, including VTN (vitronectin), PLG (plasminogen), and S100A9 as top stroke mimics, transient ischemic attack, and intracerebral hemorrhage classifiers. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights plasma proteomics as a valuable tool for discovering protein biomarkers of stroke diagnosis. These findings support further validation in larger, multicenter cohorts to facilitate biomarker-guided stroke diagnosis in acute care.

Humans↗
PubMed1978

A critique of project evaluations.

In recent years an increased stress has been placed on the evaluation of mental health, education, and welfare service programs. The majority of studies readily available to most evaluators represent local project evaluations which usually contain diverse references to different aspects of the evaluative process. For evaluative results to be even minimally useful to other projects, however, certain requirements must be met. These are: (1) internal validity, (2) external validity, (3) specification of the population and treatment being implemented, and (4) standardization of indicators of treatment impact. To determine the extent to which published project impact evaluations meet these criteria, a study was undertaken to "evaluate the evaluations" themselves within heroin addiction treatment programs. Six high-yield journals and 100 random sources were systematically searched for reports of evaluations which provided measures of success in terms of the consumer. Articles were analyzed in regard to our four prerequisites for cross-project comparisons regarding process variables, impact variables, and methodologies. It became clear, however, that our original objectives in evaluating either the usefulness of published project evaluations or testing any specific impact hypotheses were not achievable due to the state of evaluative measurement and reporting practices at this time. The major problems we eoncountered in our inability to complete a necessary and potentially fruitful comparative assessment of project evaluations are discussed in detail with recommendations for future work.

Heroin Dependence↗